Flash Flood Warning 99, NWS Little Rock, AR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
300 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2003

LOOKS LIKE HEAVY RAINS MAY AFFECT THE WESTERN SECTION OF OUR
FORECAST AREA TONIGHT. THERE MAY BE MORE HEAVY RAIN PAST THE FIRST
PERIOD AS THE SLUG OF MOISTURE TRANSLATES NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE
SURFACE BOUNDARY. VERTICAL VELOCITIES AND SURFACE CONVERGENCE WILL
PROVIDE AMPLE LIFT TO HIGH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES. TEMPERATURES
WILL BE LOWER THAN THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS IN LIGHT OF ALL THE RAIN
AND CLOUDS THAT WILL BE OVER THE STATE. SLOW MOVEMENT OF THE
FRONT/BOUNDARY WILL KEEP RAIN CHANCES IN THE FORECAST UNTIL THE
MORNING HOURS SUNDAY...BUT IT WILL BE ENDING FROM WEST TO EAST.
COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE ACROSS THE STATE FOR THE FIRST PART
OF THE WEEK.

HRO   65  74  60  74 /  70  80  80  50
LIT   69  81  66  82 /  50  50  60  50
HOT   69  81  66  82 /  60  60  70  50
PBF   69  83  67  83 /  40  40  50  50

.LZK...NONE.

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ARZ003>007-012>016-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-121000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
730 PM CDT THU SEP 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR A LARGE PART OF ARKANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS PUSHED FROM WESTERN INTO CENTRAL
ARKANSAS TODAY. THE LINE PRODUCED LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS IT
PROGRESSED SLOWLY TO THE EAST...WITH SOME AREAS PICKING UP 1 TO 2
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION. THE HEAVIEST PRECIPITATION OCCURRED IN
PORTIONS OF OUACHITA COUNTY NEAR CAMDEN...WITH SOME FLASH FLOODING
NOTED.

THE LINE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BECOME MORE DISORGANIZED AS IT
HEADS INTO EASTERN ARKANSAS THIS EVENING. DURING THE EVENING
HOURS...SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOST
CONCENTRATED ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF THE STATE...WITH LOCALLY
HEAVY DOWNPOURS NOTED.

LATER TONIGHT...THE FOCUS WILL SHIFT BACK INTO WESTERN ARKANSAS AS A
COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE PLAINS AND BECOMES NEARLY STATIONARY
IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA. SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME
WIDESPREAD IN THE WESTERN COUNTIES...WITH AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL
LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A FRONT WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY IN EASTERN OKLAHOMA ON FRIDAY.
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE IN WESTERN
ARKANSAS AND WILL GRADUALLY PUSH INTO CENTRAL SECTIONS OF THE
STATE. AGAIN...AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL APPEAR LIKELY.

RAINFALL WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST LATE SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
AS THE FRONT EXITS THE STATE. COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL FOLLOW WITH
CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE REGION. BELOW NORMAL
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BEHIND THE FRONT.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

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