Severe Thunderstorm Warning 203, NWS Lubbock, TX

SOUTH PLAINS AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
345 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

DAY ONE...
A CAP OF VERY WARM TEMPERATURES IN THE MID ATMOSPHERE ARE EXPECTED
TO PRECLUDE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING.  HOWEVER BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON...THE WARMEST TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TO SHIFT SLIGHTLY FURTHER WEST AND MODELS SHOW INCREASING
MID ATMOSPHERIC MOISTURE ROTATING NORTHEAST AROUND THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH CENTERED NEAR THE TEXAS COAST.  AS A RESULT PLAN ON INTRODUCING
A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER FOR LATE MONDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY FOR
CENTRAL AND WESTERN SECTIONS.  FCSTID = 04

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THE LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL BE SET UP OVER THE WESTERN CONUS LATE
MONDAY NIGHT. SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT COMBINED WITH THE SUBTROPICAL
HIGH SITUATED OVER EAST TEXAS...MAY PROVIDE THE MOISTURE OVER
CENTRAL MEXICO TO STREAM INTO THE SOUTH PLAINS ALONG ON ITS WESTERN
EDGE. GIVEN THE MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES ARE NOT TOO WARM...THERE
WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY EVENING THROUGH
TUESDAY NIGHT. BY WEDNESDAY THE MID LEVELS WARM UP CONSIDERABLY SO
HAVE LEFT OUT A MENTION OF THUNDERSTORMS.

A STRONG COOL FRONT...FOR LATE JUNE...WILL BEGIN TO MAKE ITS WAY
TOWARD THE SOUTH PLAINS LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT. LATEST DATA SUGGESTS
THAT THE FRONT WILL MOVE INTO WEST TEXAS BY AFTERNOON THURSDAY. RAIN
CHANCES WILL GO UP AS WELL AS INCREASING CLOUD COVER THROUGH FRIDAY.

THE WARMEST DAY APPEARS TO BE WEDNESDAY BEFORE THE FRONTAL PASSAGE
WITH TEMPS REACHING TOWARD THE CENTURY MARK. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL BE
MILD AS WELL BEFORE THE FRONT ARRIVES THURSDAY AFTERNOON. NEXT
WEEKEND APPEARS TO BE DRY AND TEMPERATURES WILL BEGIN TO WARM BACK
INTO THE 90S BY SUNDAY.

FCSTID = 09

FRIONA      63 95 65 94 / 00 20 20 20
TULIA       66 95 67 94 / 00 20 20 20
PLAINVIEW   67 95 68 94 / 00 20 20 20
LEVELLAND   67 97 68 95 / 00 20 20 20
LUBBOCK     69 97 69 95 / 00 20 20 20
BROWNFIELD  68 97 69 96 / 00 20 20 20
CHILDRESS   72 99 72 96 / 10 10 20 20
SPUR        71 99 71 96 / 00 10 20 20
ASPERMONT   72 100 73 97 / 00 10 20 20

.LBB...NONE.

TXZ021>044-221800-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
600 AM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

THIS IS A HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR THE EXTREME SOUTHERN
PANHANDLE...SOUTH PLAINS AND ROLLING PLAINS.

.DAY ONE...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

TXZ023>026-029>032-034>038-040>044-230300-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
625 PM CDT SUN JUN 22 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 563
UNTIL 1000 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES:

IN NORTHWEST TEXAS:

COTTLE                CROSBY                DICKENS
FLOYD                 GARZA                 HALE
HOCKLEY               KENT                  KING
LUBBOCK               LYNN                  MOTLEY
STONEWALL             TERRY

IN THE PANHANDLE OF TEXAS:

BRISCOE               CHILDRESS             HALL
SWISHER

THIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF ABERNATHY...BROWNFIELD...CHILDRESS...
CROSBYTON...DICKENS...FLOYDADA...GUTHRIE...HALE CENTER...JAYTON...
LEVELLAND...MATADOR...MEMPHIS...PADUCAH...PLAINVIEW...POST...
QUITAQUE...SILVERTON...SLATON...TAHOKA AND TULIA.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE
FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PEOPLE IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.