Severe Thunderstorm Warning 201, NWS Louisville, KY

Issued

May 17, 2003, 2:25 PM CDT (19:25 UTC)

Expired

May 17, 2003, 3:15 PM CDT

In force

50 min

Issued by

NWS Louisville, KY

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Adair County, KY, Metcalfe County, KY

The Louisville radar (KLVX), 115 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

000 
WUUS53 KLMK 171925 CCA
SVRLMK
KYC001-169-172015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
223 PM CDT SAT MAY 17 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LOUISVILLE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ADAIR COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
  METCALFE COUNTY IN SOUTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT

* AT 217 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM JUST SOUTH OF EDMONTON TO 5    
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF SUBTLE...OR FROM 44 MILES EAST OF BOWLING       
  GREEN TO 50 MILES EAST OF   BOWLING GREEN...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 
  MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BREEDING AROUND 230 PM CDT
  GRADYVILLE AROUND 235 PM CDT
  GLENS FORK...COLUMBIA AROUND 245 PM CDT
  CANE VALLEY AROUND 250 PM CDT
  COBURG AROUND 255 PM CDT
  VESTER AROUND 300 PM CDT

DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 55 MPH ARE EXPECTED FROM THIS LINE OF
STORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE UNTIL THE LINE OF STORMS
HAS PASSED. STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND ANY DOWNED POWER LINES.

INTENSE LIGHTNING WILL OCCUR WITH THIS LINE OF STORMS. IF OUTDOORS...
STAY AWAY FROM ISOLATED TALL OBJECTS SUCH AS TREES. MOVE INSIDE IF
POSSIBLE. WHEN INDOORS...STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS AND AVOID USING
TELEPHONES UNLESS IT IS AN EMERGENCY. TRY TO UNPLUG UNNECESSARY
ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES BEFORE THE STORM APPROACHES.

AT TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WARNED AREA. REMEMBER, THAT 
SEVERE STORMS CAN PRODUCE TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO WARNING.

LAT...LON 3686 8558 3692 8558 3702 8573 3711 8562
          3711 8550 3725 8527 3724 8516 3709 8515
          3694 8534 3694 8545 3688 8550

$$

SMALLCOMB

NWS Louisville, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 17, 1:30 PM CDT, 55 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
230 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2003

SHORT TERM:
MAIN FCST PROBLEMS: 1. WX ASSOCIATED WITH CLOSED LOW
OVER AR THIS MRNG. SYSTEM WILL GRADUALLY FILL AND WEAKEN DURING
NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS BUT ANOTHER ROUND OF MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINS AGAIN TONIGHT PERHAPS INTO SUN MORNING.

2.....SOME SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE OVER ERN HALF OF FA FOR
A TIME TONIGHT. REMANNTS OF MORNING SQUALL LINE TO SW OF FA...
GUD SFC HEATING AND INCREASING FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES FOR
TORNADO PRODUCING TSTMS FOR A TIME TONIGHT. A WATCH WILL BE ISSUED FOR
PORTIONS OF ERN FA IN MINUTES.

AFTER TONIGHT...DEEP GULF RH TO REMAIN IN PLACE ACROSS FA UNTIL
NEXT FRONTAL SYSTEM REACHES THE AREA ON TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
HARD NOT TO MTN CHC OF TRW ON SUN NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT.

IN GENERAL PREVIOUS FCST TRENDS FOR TEMPS AND WEATHER LUK GOOD...
SOME UPWARD ADJUSTMENTS IN POPS FOR A FEW PERIODS TOO.

LONG TERM:
TUESDAY NIGHT AND THROUGH MIDDAY WEDNESDAY...WILL CONTINUE CHANCE
POPS AS TROUGH MOVES TO THE EAST OF THE LOWER OH VLY. FROM WEDNESDAY
NIGHT THROUGH REMAINDER OF EXTENDED NO MENTION OF POPS WITH VERY
SEASONABLE TEMPS IN THE LOWER 70S.

.LMK...NONE.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-181100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
316 PM EDT SAT MAY 17 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT.

A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE ACROSS KENTUCKY THIS EVENING WITH CONTINUE
TO PUMP VERY MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR INTO THE OUTLOOK AREA.
ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL FORM EARLY THIS EVENING
AND THEN SHOULD DISSIPATE AFTER MIDNIGHT. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
STORMS WILL BE VERY HEAVY DOWNPOURS. LOCALIZED RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2
INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA. THIS
AMOUNT OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL COULD CAUSE FLOODING PROBLEMS SINCE
THE GROUND REMAINS VERY WET AND NEARLY SATURATED.

IN ADDITION TO THE LOCALIZED FLOODING THREAT...THERE IS ALSO A
THREAT OF ISOLATED TORNADOES. THIS THREAT IS MAINLY RELEGATED TO
EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY WHERE A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800
PM EDT THIS EVENING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR LOCAL
MEDIA...FOR POSSIBLE WARNINGS IN YOUR LOCATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED OVER CENTRAL
KENTUCKY INTO SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA SUNDAY AND MONDAY AS A MOIST AIR
MASS REMAINS OVER THE AREA. A COLD FRONT THEN WILL APPROACH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY RESULTING IN ANOTHER ROUND OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. ANY OF THE STORMS MAY PRODUCE BRIEF HEAVY
RAINFALL AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED THIS EVENING FOR ANY OBSERVATIONS OF
SEVERE WEATHER OF FLOODING.

JB

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kentucky, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.