Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Louisville, KY

000 
WGUS73 KLMK 101752
FFSLMK
KYC223-102000-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
150 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 4 PM EDT FOR TRIMBLE
COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY...

AT 150 PM EDT, WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED THAT THE HEAVY RAINS 
ARE GRADUALLY EXITING TRIMBLE COUNTY TO THE SOUTHEAST. EARLIER, 2 TO 
2.5 INCHES OF RAIN FELL WITHIN ABOUT ONE HOURS TIME, PARTICULARLY 
ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF TRIMBLE COUNTY NEAR THE LOCUST CREEK 
AREA.

EVEN THOUGH THE HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXITING THE COUNTY, SIGNIFICANT 
RUNOFF IS LIKELY ACROSS THE COUNTY THROUGH 4 PM. DO NOT CROSS ANY 
AREAS THAT APPEAR FLOODED, AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND SHOULD FLOODING 
IMPACT YOUR AREA.

REPORT FLOODING TO YOUR NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY WILL
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
LOUISVILLE.

$$

SMALLCOMB

000 
WGUS73 KLMK 101841
FFSLMK
KYC103-223-102000-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
241 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM EDT FOR 
TRIMBLE AND HENRY COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED...

TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS HENRY AND TRIMBLE COUNTIES HAVE RANGED 
FROM 1.5 TO 2.5 INCHES, MOST OF WHICH FELL WITHIN A VERY SHORT 
PERIOD OF TIME EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON. THERE MAY STILL BE SOME MINOR 
RUNOFF OCCURRING, HOWEVER THE THREAT FOR FLASH FLOODING HAS ENDED 
WITH THE DEPARTURE OF THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION. 

LOCAL LAW ENFORCEMENT HAS REPORTED NO SIGNIFICANT FLOODING PROBLEMS, 
HOWEVER SOME LOW SPOTS AND SMALL CREEKS MAY STILL CONTAIN WATER. DO 
NOT CROSS AREAS THAT APPEAR FLOODED.

$$

SMALLCOMB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
955 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

...SHORT TERM UPDATE...

500MB WAVE OVER SE MO MAKING SLOW PROGRESS EWD, AHEAD OF WHICH SCT
SHRA PERSIST OVER LMK FA ATTM. VERY MOIST AIRMASS, WITH FREEZING
LEVELS NEAR 14KFT AND PWS LOCALLY POOLING TO 2.5 INDICATE POTL FOR
HIGH PCPN EFFICIENCY CELLS THROUGH THE EVENING. FACTORING IN LAST
NIGHTS RAINS, LOCATIONS ACROSS SRN IN CONTINUE TO BE THE MOST PRONE
TO FLOODING, SO FLOOD WATCH WILL CONTINUE THERE. PER LAPS, SFC BASED
INSTABILITY INCR ATTM, ESP ACROSS SRN KY WHERE ONLY SCT CLOUDS
EXIST. HWVR, PER RECENT ACARS RAOB OUT OF KSDF, DECENT INVERSION
NOTED AROUND 850MB, SO CURRENT PCPN ONLY HAS LIMITED INSTABILITY
ABOVE 850MB TO WORK WITH. BY NOON OR SO, THIS INVERSION SHOULD BE
OVERCOME AS SFC TEMPS INCR, LEADING TO AN INCR IN TSRA ACTIVITY OVER
FA ALONG/AHEAD OF SFC TROF AS IT MOVES EWD INTO FA. DECENT SHEAR AND
INSTABILITY COMBINATION WOULD SUPPORT SOME STORM ORGANIZATION THIS
AFTERNOON, WITH HIGH WINDS THE MOST PROBABLE OF THE SVR MODES. SWATH
OF SUBSIDENCE AFTER 0Z/FRI SHOULD PUT AN END TO SIG PCPN FROM W TO E
ACROSS THE FA THIS EVE. XXV

.LMK...FLOOD WATCH THRU 8 PM EDT FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA
AND PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY FROM LOUISVILLE NORTHEAST.

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-110945-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
550 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY TONIGHT.
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AHEAD OF THE FRONT THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. SOME OF THESE STORMS MAY PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. FOR THIS REASON THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER
HAS INDICATED THAT A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS EXISTS TODAY AND
TONIGHT.

IN ADDITION SOME OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE HEAVY RAIN AND A
FLOOD WATCH AS BEEN ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND A
FEW COUNTIES IN NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY THROUGH 8 PM EDT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

JA