Flash Flood Warning 26, NWS Louisville, KY

000 
WGUS73 KLMK 100938
FFSLMK
INC117-175-100945-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
435 AM EST THU JUL 10 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 615 AM EST FOR 
WASHINGTON AND ORANGE COUNTIES IN SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED...

THE THUNDERSTORMS OVER THIS AREA HAVE DISSIPATED. WHILE SCATTERED 
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE OVER THESE COUNTIES WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR 
...RAINFALL AMOUNTS SHOULD BE TOO LIGHT TO PRESENT ANY FLOODING 
PROBLEMS.

$$

JA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
410 AM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

MCS DROPPING SOUTHEAST INTO INDIANA COUNTIES THIS MORNING WHILE
ANOTHER AREA OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS MOVING EAST ACROSS EAST
CENTRAL KENTUCKY. ALTHOUGH AREA OF STORMS IN INDIANA IS WEAKENING,
IT IS STILL DROPPING SIGNIFICANT PRECIPITATION WITH ONE TO TWO AND
ONE HALF INCHES REPORTED ACROSS NORTHERN TIER OF COUNTIES. ALTHOUGH
SYSTEM SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN, RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD SOUTH
ACROSS SOUTHERN INDIANA COUNTIES AND INTO NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY
FROM LOUISVILLE NORTHEAST.

MODELS STILL GENERALLY SIMILAR THIS MORNING EXCEPT FOR AREAS NOTED
IN MODEL DISCUSSION FROM NCEP. WILL USE A BLEND OF ETA AND GFS WITH
FRONT MOVING INTO FA THIS EVENING.

MAIN PROBLEMS THIS FORECAST IS TIMING OF SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS AND
ENDING OF SHOWERS AS FRONT PUSHES THROUGH. TEMPERATURES THIS
AFTERNOON WILL ALSO BE A CHALLENGE AND HOW WARM THEY GET WILL BE
GREATLY DEPENDENT ON HOW MUCH OF EXTENSIVE CLOUD COVER BREAKS UP
DURING THE MORNING AND HOW FAST SHOWERS DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON.

SHORT TERM:

SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ONGOING OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE INTO
THE EARLY PART OF THIS MORNING THE WEAKEN BY MID MORNING. EXPECT A
FEW BREAKS IN CLOUDS TO DEVELOP BUT NOT AS MUCH AS WEDNESDAY WITH
EXTENSIVE CLOUDS FROM THUNDERSTORMS ALONG FRONT PUSHING ACROSS
ILLINOIS AT 07Z. AIR WILL REMAIN UNSTABLE AND WITH HIGH PRECIPITABLE
WATER VALUES...THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY
RAIN PRODUCERS. WILL GO WITH FLOOD WATCH FOR MUCH OF SOUTHERN
INDIANA AND NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY FROM LOUISVILLE NORTHEAST WHERE
HEAVIER RAIN HAS FALLEN THIS MORNING AND WHERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH
FRONT WILL ARRIVE DURING OR SHORTLY AFTER PEAK HEATING.

TONIGHT THE FRONT WILL PUSH INTO FA DURING THE EVENING HOURS WITH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ENDING AS FRONT PUSHES THROUGH WITH A
SHARP DROP-OFF IN MEAN RH. EXPECT PRECIPITATION TO BE ABOUT OUT OF
FA BY DAYBREAK.

DRIER AND A LITTLE COOLER WEATHER FOR FRIDAY. WEAK SHORT WAVE
PUSHING THROUGH AREA OF SATURDAY. WILL ADD SOME CLOUDS BUT WILL NOT
MENTION ANY PRECIPITATION ATTM.

WILL REFLECT SLOW WARMUP IN HIGH TEMPERATURES .

.EXTENDED...SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

MADE LITTLE IF ANY CHANGES TO EXTENDED FOR NOW.

.LMK...FLOOD WATCH TODAY FOR MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND PARTS
       OF NORTH CENTRAL KENTUCKY FROM LOUISVILLE NORTHEAST.

SCHOLZ

INZ076>079-083-084-089>092-KYZ023>043-045>049-053>057-061>067-
070>078-081-082-101000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY
1000 PM EDT WED JUL 9 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL KENTUCKY AND SOUTH
CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...OVERNIGHT.

THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS INDIANA AND ILLINOIS ARE EXPECTED TO DROP
SOUTHEAST OVERNIGHT AND AFFECT SOUTH CENTRAL INDIANA AND PORTIONS OF
NORTH CENTRAL AND POSSIBLY EAST CENTRAL KENTUCKY DURING THE EARLY
MORNING HOURS. IF THE STORMS HOLD TOGETHER...THEY WILL PRODUCE VERY
HEAVY RAIN DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND STRONG WIND GUSTS. THUS A SLIGHT
RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTH CENTRAL
INDIANA AND MUCH OF CENTRAL KENTUCKY OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AS A COOL FRONT
APPROACHES THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY. SOME OF THESE STORMS WILL BE
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTERS AND LAW ENFORCEMENT OFFICIALS ARE ENCOURAGED TO CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHOULD THEY OBSERVE ANY SEVERE WEATHER OR
FLOODING.

FUNK