Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 10, NWS New Orleans, LA

March 6, 2003Saint Tammany Parish, Louisiana

NWS New Orleans, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 6, 2003, 4:57 PM CST for Saint Tammany Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 33 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 6, 2003, 4:57 PM CST (22:57 UTC)
Expired: Mar 6, 2003, 5:30 PM CST
In force: 33 min
Issued by: NWS New Orleans, LA
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Saint Tammany Parish, LA

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 11.0 hours before the alert went out and 40 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 814 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -74 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 533 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 64 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 113 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 128 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

825 
WUUS54 KLIX 062257
SVRNEW
LAC103-062330-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
457 PM CST THU MAR 6 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  ST. TAMMANY PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF COVINGTON

* UNTIL 530 PM CST

* AT 451 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES WEST OF MADISONVILLE...OR ABOUT 12
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF COVINGTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 60 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
   ABITA SPRINGS AT 505 PM CST
   BUSH...SUN AT 520 PM CST

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM WITH LARGE HAIL...STAY INDOORS AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE.

LAT...LON 3036 9013 3037 9023 3051 9023 3066 8990
          3065 8981 3060 8982 3050 8973

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 6, 4:30 PM CST, 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 6, 4:30 PM CST, 27 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS/BATON ROUGE LA
430 PM CST THU MAR 6 2003

FYI FOR SURROUNDING OFFICES AND MEDIA...GOLFBALL HAIL REPORTED IN
ASCENSION PARISH WITH 54 MAX VIL AND 39KFT TOP. VIL DENSITY4.1.
THE THREAT WILL BE WITH US FOR AWHILE AS AIRMASS ABOVE 3KFT IS VERY
UNSTABLE WITH STRONG VERTICAL VEERING AND 100+KT JET STREAK MOVING
ACROSS. HEAVY RAIN AND COLD AIR FUNNELS ALSO A CONCERN. BELIEVE 3000
FT STABLE LAYER WILL PRECLUDE WIND GUSTS AND TORNADOES BUT WILL
WATCH CLOSELY AS SEVERAL MESOS ARE NOTED ALOFT.
24

...PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...
THE FRONT ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA JUST SOUTH OF LAKE
PONTCHARTRAIN IS EXPECTED TO MOVE SOUTH TO NEAR THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY. MODELS INDICATE THE
AIATMOSPHERE WILL REMAIN WET THROUGH TONIGHT BEFORE BEGINNING TO DRY
OUT FRIDAY MORNING. UPPER TROF OVER WEST TEXAS WILL MOVE EAST AND
WEAKEN AS IT APPROACHES THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER. DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED
WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE WEAK AS IT CROSSES THE AREA. THE JET IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN NORTH OF OF THE AREA. SURFACE WINDS WILL BE
NORTHEASTERLY THROUGH SATURDAY THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST ON SUNDAY.
PRECIPITATION COULD LINGER INTO THE EARLY HOURS FRIDAY MORNING
ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN BEFORE ENDING. COOLER AIR
BEHIND THE FRONT IS SPREADING INTO THE AREA. SHOULD SEE TEMPERATURES
WARMING AGAIN ON FRIDAY. NEXT FRONT MOVES THROUGH THE AREA LATE
TUESDAY AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.

MCB 49/73/50/77 6100
BTR 50/73/50/78 6100
MSY 57/70/55/76 7200
GPT 56/68/52/73 8300

.NEW...NONE.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.

23

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 6, 11:00 AM CST, 5 hours 57 minutes before

LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-071200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
1100 AM CST THU MAR 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND
EXTREME SOUTHWEST AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS...
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
EXTREME SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA DURING THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLY
LINGERING DURING OVERNIGHT. A SLOW MOVING COLD FRONT AND A SERIES OF
UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES WILL AID IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF
THUNDERSTORMS. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE BRIEF
HEAVY RAIN AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH TONIGHT.

RIVER FLOODING...
SEVERAL RIVERS REMAIN IN HIGH FLOW OR IN FLOOD. REFER TO THE LATEST
RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS FOR MORE DETAILS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY MORNING
ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND COASTAL MISSISSIPPI. NO
HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...IS
NOT REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

23

The office that day

Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 6, 4:21 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Ascension, Livingston, Tangipahoa	54 min
Mar 6, 4:41 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Washington	64 min
Mar 6, 4:52 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Ascension, Assumption, Iberville, Saint James	38 min
Mar 6, 5:43 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Iberville	32 min
Mar 6, 5:51 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LIX	Livingston, Tangipahoa	24 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.