Alert archive / Louisiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 92, NWS Lake Charles, LA

November 18, 2003Avoyelles Parish, Louisiana

NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Nov 18, 2003, 4:31 AM CST for Avoyelles Parish, Louisiana. It was in force for 29 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 18, 2003, 4:31 AM CST (10:31 UTC)
Expired
Nov 18, 2003, 5:00 AM CST
In force
29 min
Issued by
NWS Lake Charles, LA
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Avoyelles Parish, LA

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Nov 18, 2:25 AM CSTTornado WatchSPC6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 00:00Z, 10.5 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2003-11-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 877 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Lake Charles Mun, LA at 00:00Z on 2003-11-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 200 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
877 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
631 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
58 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
200 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
7.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KLCH 181031
SVRLCH
LAC009-181100-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
427 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LAKE CHARLES HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  AVOYELLES PARISH IN CENTRAL LOUISIANA

* UNTIL 500 AM CST

* AT 425 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 4 MILES NORTH OF MOREAUVILLE...MOVING NORTHEAST
  AT 40 MPH.

* THIS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
BORDELONVILLE AROUND 445 AM.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH...DESTRUCTIVE
HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAIN.

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 800 AM CST TUESDAY MORNING 
FOR PARTS OF CENTRAL...SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL LOUISIANA. 
MORNING FOR SOUTHWESTERN LOUISIANA.

CALL 337-477-5285 TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3111 9213 3098 9200 3114 9174 3125 9190

$$

20

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Nov 18, 3:45 AM CST, 46 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 18, 3:45 AM CST, 46 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
345 AM CST TUE 18 NOV 2003

SQUALL LINE CONTINUES TO PUSH ACROSS SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST
LOUISIANA. TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT FOR THE OUR LOUISIANA PARISHES
OTHER THAN VERNON UNTIL 8 A.M. NO WARNINGS HAVE BEEN ISSUED OVER THE
LAST COUPLE OF HOURS WITH THE STORMS BUT GOOD SHEAR PROFILE STILL
EXISTS SO ISOLATED TORNADOES STILL NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION...

MAIN THREAT APPEARS TO BE HEAVY RAIN ALONG THE SQUALL LINE WITH
RAINFALL RATES NEAR 2 INCHES PER HOUR MOVING INTO SOUTH-CENTRAL
LOUISIANA. HEAVIEST RAIN APPEARS TO BE MOVING INTO AREAS THAT HAVE
HAD LITTLE RAIN OVER THE LAST MONTH OR SO WIDESPREAD FLOODING NOT
EXPECTED...BUT WILL KEEP FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON OVER LA ZONES.

SHOWERS WILL END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THE MORNING AND AFTERNOON
AS SURFACE WINDS BECOME SOUTHWEST AND THEN WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
SURFACE WINDS WILL BE RATHER GUSTY ESPECIALLY OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS SO WILL PUT IN A SCA OVER ALL THE COASTAL WATERS FOR TODAY.
MUCH DRIER AIR WILL BE USHERED INTO THE AREA BEHIND THE SURFACE COLD
FRONT AND DRY SEASONAL WEATHER WILL PREVAIL THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK.

UPPER TROF WILL DEEPEN OVER THE WESTERN U.S. OVER THE WEEKEND AND
PUSH ACROSS THE CENTRAL PLAINS. THIS WILL PUSH A RATHER STRONG
COLD FRONT THROUGH THE AREA LATE ON SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY MONDAY
WITH CHANCE OF RAIN WITH THE FRONT. BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED
BEHIND THE FRONT.

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

KLCH 79 50 71 46 / 60 00 00 00
KBPT 78 49 71 47 / 60 00 00 00
KAEX 76 47 67 42 / 80 00 00 00
KLFT 78 51 70 45 /100 00 00 00

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...FLOOD WATCH UNTIL NOON ALL PARISHES.
TORNADO WATCH 957 UNTIL 8AM LA ZONES 028>033-041>45-051>055.
TX...NONE.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY OVER COASTAL WATERS.

WILEY
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 17, 5:05 AM CST, 23 hours 26 minutes before
LAZ027>033-041>045-051>055-TXZ180>182-201-215-216-172300-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
505 AM CST MON NOV 17 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...CENTRAL...
SOUTH-CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
A STRONG UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM WILL COMBINE WITH ABUNDANT TROPICAL
MOISTURE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON WITH A
SQUALL LINE MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST TEXAS TONIGHT. SEVERE WEATHER
IS POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON AND AREAWIDE
TONIGHT WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED TORNADOES
POSSIBLE. HEAVY RAIN WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...
THE SQUALL LINE WILL PROGRESS ACROSS SOUTH LOUISIANA THROUGH
TUESDAY MORNING WITH THE THREAT OF SEVERE WEATHER AND HEAVY RAIN
CONTINUING. A COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP IN BEHIND THE FRONT BRINGING MUCH
MORE STABLE CONDITIONS THROUGH SATURDAY. AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WILL BRING A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY.

.INFORMATION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS, HAM RADIO OPERATORS, AND EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER OPERATIONS...
MAY BE REQUIRED THIS AFTERNOON INTO TUESDAY MORNING.

WILEY

In the hours before

Local storm report, Nov 18, 12:35 AM CST, 3 hours 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
1235 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1230 AM    JASPER                    TX   TORNADO
11/18/03   JASPER                         TORNADO SIGHTED BY PUBLIC
                                          NEAR HWY 96

JYM
Local storm report, Nov 18, 3:34 AM CST, 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
334 AM CST TUE NOV 18 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0310 AM    PINEVILLE                 LA   TSTM WND DMG
11/18/03   RAPIDES                        RELAYED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT...ROOF DAMAGE
                                          TO HOUSE AND LIMBS OFF
                                          TREES ON LOCKER RD IN
                                          PINEVILLE

JYM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 18, 12:26 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHVernon34 min
Nov 18, 12:56 AM CSTSpecial Marine WarningLCH64 min
Nov 18, 1:10 AM CSTTornado WarningLCHVernon35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Louisiana, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.