Severe Thunderstorm Warning 39, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
850 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

PUBLIC...SEVERE WX ONGOING OVER OFFSHORE WATERS JUST N OF WARM FRONT
AND HEAD OF APPROACHING MID LVL VORT MAX WHICH IS FIRING CONVECTION
ACRS THE EASTERN FL PANHANDLE. HAD REPORTS OF DIME AND NICKEL SIZE
HAIL ACRS ST JOHNS AND PUTNAM COUNTIES FROM SVR STORM OVER OFFSHORE
WATERS EARLIER THIS MORNING. KJAX 12Z RAOB CAME IN VERY UNSTABLE
WITH LI OF  -10 AND CAPE OF 3200 J/KG. MAY NEED TO UP POPS ACRS
THE N TIER OF THE CWA WITH LINE OF CONVECTION APPROACHING AND LWR
MAX TEMPS A TAD.

MARINE...LATEST OBS ACRS THE WATERS INDICATE VRB WINDS FROM ONGOING
CONVECTION. STILL EXPECT FLOW TO VEER SLY AS WARM FRONT LIFTS N OF
THE WATERS TODAY. NO CHANGES PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

.JAX...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.

PUBLIC...BROYLES/CAMP

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-132100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1045 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...
...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 PM FOR MOST OF SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA...
...RIVER FLOODING CONTINUES ACROSS THE AREA...

A STRONG SQUALL LINE WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EAST NORTHEAST THROUGH
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND NORTHEAST FLORIDA TODAY. THE STORMS IN THE
SQUALL LINE ARE REACHING SEVERE LIMITS PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...
DAMAGING WINDS AND THE POSSIBILITY OF TORNADOES ALSO EXISTS.

AREA RIVERS WILL CONTINUE ABOVE FLOOD STAGE TODAY AND TONIGHT. PLEASE
REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS FOR MORE
INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. THERE IS A
SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE STORMS ON FRIDAY. A FEW STORMS COULD CONTAIN
STRONG GUSTY WINDS AND HAIL. IN ADDITION...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE FROM FRIDAY THROUGH SUNDAY.

AREA RIVERS WILL LIKELY CONTINUE AT OR ABOVE FLOOD STAGE THROUGH
THE PERIOD.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED IN THE TORNADO WATCH AREA TODAY.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

BROYLES

GAZ162-163-131530-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
923 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT THE FOLLOWING ECHOLS AND CLINCH
THROUGH 1030 AM EST...

AT 923 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
17 MILES NORTHWEST OF MAYDAY TO 11 MILES WEST OF STATENVILLE...OR
ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 9 MILES WEST OF LAKELAND TO 7 MILES
NORTHWEST OF JENNINGS...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND STATENVILLE...MAYDAY AND
HOMERVILLE THROUGH 1030 AM EST. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

CAMP

FLZ020-131515-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
934 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT HAMILTON COUNTY THROUGH 1015
AM...

AT 934 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF CROSSROADS...OR
ABOUT 6 MILES SOUTHEAST OF JENNINGS...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND BAKERS
MILL AND JASPER THROUGH 1015 AM EST. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

BROYLES

GAZ149-150-131545-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
958 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT ATKINSON AND WARE COUNTIES
THROUGH 1045 AM...

...TORNADO WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH 4 PM...
AT 958 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 6 MILES SOUTH OF AXSON...OR
ABOUT 9 MILES SOUTHEAST OF PEARSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH. THIS
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
MANOR...AXSON...MILLWOOD...NEEDHAM...WARESBORO...SUNNYSIDE...DIXIE
UNION AND DEENWOOD THROUGH 1045 AM EST. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN
DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45
TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

BROYLES

FLZ022-023-131615-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1033 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT COLUMBIA AND BAKER COUNTIES
THROUGH 1115 AM...

AT 1033 AM EST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 7 MILES NORTH OF SUWANNEE
VALLEY...OR ABOUT 14 MILES NORTH OF LAKE CITY...MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH. THIS LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
LAKE CITY...WATERTOWN...FIVE POINTS...OLUSTEE AND SANDERSON THROUGH
1115 AM EST. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE. TAKE SHELTER IF LIGHTNING
IS IN YOUR AREA.

BROYLES

GAZ164-131630-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1036 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

THROUGH 1130 AM...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS IS MOVING INTO
WESTERN CHARLTON COUNTY AND WILL MOVE INTO THE FOLKSTON...RACE
POND...AND WINOKUR AFTER 11 AM.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH
POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

SANDRIK

GAZ136-153-131645-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
1047 AM EST THU MAR 13 2003

A STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WAS APPROACHING PORTIONS OF WAYNE
AND WESTERN GLYNN COUNTIES AND SHOULD ENTER THE AREA BETWEEN 11 AND
1115 AM. THIS STORM HAS A HISTORY OF DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL.
AT THIS TIME LARGE HAIL...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE.  IF THE STORM CONTINUES ON ITS PRESENT PATH A WARNING
MAY BE ISSUED FOR THE STATEMENT AREA.  A TORNADO WATCH IS IN
EFFECT...REMAIN ALERT FOR CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

SANDRIK