Severe Thunderstorm Warning 135, NWS Jacksonville, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
840 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

HAVE UPDATED ZONES TO REMOVE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH. ZONES WERE ALSO
UPDATED TO RAISE POPS FOR THIS EVENING. WITH HEATING OF DAY OVER...
EXPECT INTENSITY OF STORMS TO CONTINUE TO DECREASE THIS EVENING.
CAN PROBABLY LOWER POPS LATE THIS EVE OR AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.JAX...
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.

PP/ABE/MT/CWD

FLZ020>025-030>033-035>038-040-GAZ132>136-149>154-162>166-190000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
149 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

UPDATED TO INCLUDE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 413

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM...

...RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES ABOVE NORMAL...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 413 IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM THIS
EVENING. THIS WATCH INCLUDES ALL COUNTIES IN NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

AN UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM COMBINED WITH THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY AND A
COLD FRONT JUST TO THE NORTH WILL RESULT IN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS ALL OF NORTHEAST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM NEAR THE
HIGHWAY 301 CORRIDOR WEST TO THE I-75 CORRIDOR. STORMS MAY BECOME
SEVERE WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS...AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO
GROUND LIGHTNING THE MAIN CONCERNS.

THE RISK OF RIP CURRENTS AT THE BEACHES WILL BE ABOVE NORMAL.
PLEASE REFER TO THE SURF ZONE FORECAST.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TOMORROW THROUGH SATURDAY...
A COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE REGION THURSDAY AND FRIDAY
INCREASING THE CHANCES OF THUNDERSTORMS BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED NEXT WEEKEND.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS REQUESTED AT THIS TIME.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
JACKSONVILLE WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAX.

PP/HESS

FLZ040-190115-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
819 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHERN MARION COUNTY THROUGH
915 PM...

AT 819 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 3 MILES WEST OF FORT MCCOY...NEARLY
STATIONARY. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND
SPARR...ANTHONY AND BURBANK THROUGH 915 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF
INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY
WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR
DAMAGE.

BROYLES

GAZ150-163-164-190200-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
902 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTHERN CHARLTON...CLINCH AND
WARE COUNTIES THROUGH 1000 PM...

AT 902 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 18 MILES SOUTH OF STEVEN FOSTER STATE
PARK...OR ABOUT 13 MILES SOUTHEAST OF FARGO...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20
MPH. THIS STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND FARGO
AND STEVEN FOSTER STATE PARK THROUGH 1000 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE
HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE.

TRABERT

FLZ032-033-190200-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
907 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EASTERN CLAY COUNTY AND WESTERN
SAINT JOHNS COUNTY THROUGH 10 PM...

AT 907 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS NEAR PICOLATA...OR ABOUT 13 MILES NORTH
OF HASTINGS...THAT WERE NEARLY STATIONARY. THESE STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS AROUND SWITZERLAND...GREEN COVE
SPRINGS AND FRUIT COVE THROUGH 1000 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH
IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF
45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

BROYLES

FLZ040-190215-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
920 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT MARION COUNTY THROUGH 1015 PM...

AT 920 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 4 MILES NORTH OF MOSS BLUFF...OR ABOUT 4
MILES SOUTHEAST OF LYNNE...NEARLY STATIONARY. THIS STRONG
THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS AROUND SILVER SPRINGS
SHORES...SANTOS...OCKLAWAHA...MOSS BLUFF...LYNNE...LAKE
WEIR...BELLEVIEW AND JUNIPER SPRINGS THROUGH 1015 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO
ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE
MINOR DAMAGE.

BROYLES

FLZ037-190200-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
941 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PUTNAM COUNTY THROUGH 10 PM...

AT 941 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 3 MILES NORTHEAST OF
BOSTWICK...OR ABOUT 8 MILES NORTHWEST OF HASTINGS...MOVING NORTHEAST
AT 5 MPH. THIS CLUSTER OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO AFFECT AREAS
AROUND SAN MATEO...PALATKA...ORANGE MILLS...EAST PALATKA AND BOSTWICK
THROUGH 1000 PM EDT. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

BROYLES

FLZ032-033-037-190300-

SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
951 PM EDT SUN MAY 18 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT CLAY...SAINT JOHNS AND PUTNAM
COUNTIES THROUGH 11 PM...

AT 951 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS WESTERN CLAY COUNTY SOUTH OF
KINGSLEY...OVER WEST CENTRAL SAINT JOHNS COUNTY NEAR RIVERDALE...AND
ANOTHER AREA OF STORMS APPROACHING SOUTHWEST PUTNAM COUNTY NEAR
ORANGE SPRINGS. THE STORMS ARE MOVING SLOWLY EAST NORTHEAST AROUND
10 MPH. INTERESTS IN MIDDLEBURG...VERMONT HILLS...BOSTWICK...AND
WELAKA SHOULD BE AWARE THAT THUNDERSTORMS ARE APPROACHING THEIR
AREA. HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE
CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE
EXPECTED ALONG WITH POSSIBLE MINOR DAMAGE.

BROYLES