Alert archive / Mississippi / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 45, NWS Jackson, MS

March 7, 2003Forrest County, Mississippi

NWS Jackson, MS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Mar 7, 2003, 12:27 AM CST for Forrest County, Mississippi. It was in force for 13 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Mar 7, 2003, 12:27 AM CST (06:27 UTC)
Expired: Mar 7, 2003, 12:40 AM CST
In force: 13 min
Issued by: NWS Jackson, MS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Forrest County, MS

The radar

The Mobile radar (KMOB), 117 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 06:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 00:00Z, 6.5 hours before the alert went out and 120 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 932 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 80 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 203 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 331 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS54 KJAN 070627
SVRJAN
MSC035-070640-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1227 AM CST FRI MAR 7 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN JACKSON HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  FORREST COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI

* UNTIL 1240 AM CST

* AT 1227 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING PENNY SIZED HAIL...4 
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF HATTIESBURG...MOVING EAST AT 55 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL...
  BE NEAR PETAL AT 1230 AM CST


LAT...LON 3116 8933 3135 8933 3142 8914 3123 8915

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jackson, MS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Mar 6, 10:28 PM CST, 1 hour 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 6, 10:28 PM CST, 1 hour 59 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1028 PM CST THU MAR 6 2003

HAVE ISSUED AN UPDATE TO CLEAN UP THE DRIZZLE WORDING AND CLOUDS FOR
THE NW ZONES. WILL ONLY MENTION POPS IN CURRENT LOCATIONS...SE...AS
TSRA CONTINUE TO POUND THE REGION. A THIRD WAVE IS ALREADY UNDERWAY
TO THE SW OF THE CURRENT CONVECTION. ALL OF THIS HAS BEEN DRIVEN BY
SUBTLE WAVES NOTED ON THE WV IMAGERY. THIS THIRD ROUND LOOKS TO BE
THE LAST ONE OF THE NIGHT. UPDATES ALREADY OUT.

.JAN...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.

36

Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 6, 6:14 PM CST, 6 hours 13 minutes before

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
071200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
614 PM CST THU MAR 06 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
AN OLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY IN THE NORTHERN GULF IS PROVIDING A
BOUNDARY ALOFT...AND THE NECESSARY INGREDIENTS FOR ELEVATED
THUNDERSTORMS. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MAINLY OCCUR SOUTH OF A
LINE FROM MONTICELLO TO BAY SPRINGS. STRONGER INSTABILITY WILL
EXIST A BIT FARTHER SOUTH AND ALLOW FOR A FEW SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS...GENERALLY SOUTH OF A LINE FROM COLUMBIA TO
LAUREL. THE MAIN CONCERN WITH ANY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE PEA TO
NICKEL SIZED HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING. THESE THUNDERSTORMS
SHOULD MOVE EAST OF THE AREA BETWEEN 8 AND 10 PM.

...FLOODING...
TRAINING OF THUNDERSTORM CELLS...ACROSS MARION...LAMAR AND
FORREST COUNTIES...WILL PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL AND
POSSIBLE FLASH FLOODING. THESE STORMS ARE PRODUCING RAINFALL
RATES NEAR ONE INCH AN HOUR. THIS RAINFALL IS BEGINNING TO FALL
OVER LOCATIONS THAT HAVE ALREADY SEEN 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN.
OVERALL...RAINFALL TOTALS MAY REACH 3 TO 4 INCHES THROUGH 8 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL...IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...MAY BE NEEDED THIS EVENING

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Mar 6, 9:48 PM CST, 2 hours 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
948 PM CST THU MAR 06 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0938 PM    2 N HATTIESBURG           MS   0.88 INCH HAIL
03/06/03   FORREST                        REPORTED BY FORREST
                                          COUNTY EMA.

Local storm report, Mar 6, 10:01 PM CST, 2 hours 26 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1001 PM CST THU MAR 06 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0945 PM    1 N EASTABUCHIE           MS   0.88 INCH HAIL
03/06/03   JONES                          REPORTED BY JONES COUNTY
                                          SHERIFFS OFFICE.

Local storm report, Mar 6, 10:19 PM CST, 2 hours 8 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1019 PM CST THU MAR 06 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0930 PM    4 NE OAK GROVE            MS   0.75 INCH HAIL
03/06/03   LAMAR                          REPORTED BY LAMAR COUNTY
                                          EMA.

Local storm report, Mar 6, 11:26 PM CST, 1 hour 1 minute before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1126 PM CST THU MAR 06 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1115 PM    5 N SANDY HOOK            MS   0.88 INCH HAIL
03/06/03   MARION                         HAIL COVERING
                                          GROUND.
                                          REPORTED BY
                                          MARION COUNTY SHERIFFS
                                          OFFICE.

Local storm report, Mar 6, 11:39 PM CST, 48 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1139 PM CST THU MAR 06 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1128 PM    7 N BAXTERVILLE           MS   1.00 INCH HAIL
03/06/03   LAMAR                          NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE
                                          HAIL REPORTED BY LAMAR
                                          COUNTY EMA.

Local storm report, Mar 6, 11:49 PM CST, 38 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
1149 PM CST THU MAR 06 2003

TIME(CST)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1143 PM    HATTIESBURG               MS   1.00 INCH HAIL
03/06/03   FORREST                        NICKEL TO QUARTER SIZE
                                          HAIL REPORTED BY FORREST
                                          COUNTY EMA.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jackson, MS issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Mar 6, 6:09 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	31 min
Mar 6, 9:23 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest, Lamar	32 min
Mar 6, 9:40 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Jones	45 min
Mar 6, 10:10 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest	20 min
Mar 6, 11:05 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Marion	20 min
Mar 6, 11:15 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lamar	30 min
Mar 6, 11:37 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Forrest	23 min
Mar 6, 11:49 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Marion	21 min
Mar 6, 11:58 PM CST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	JAN	Lamar	32 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Mississippi, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.