Flash Flood Warning 105, NWS Jackson, MS

000 
WGUS74 KJAN 082050
FFSJAN
ARC003-082140-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
349 PM CDT TUE JUL 8 2003

FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 440 PM FOR...

ASHLEY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

AS OF 345 PM...DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 
TO 4 INCHES HAVE FALLEN ACROSS ASHLEY COUNTY BETWEEN HAMBURG AND 
PARKDALE. THIS HAS LIKELY PRODUCED FLOODING OF SOME ROADS AND 
STREAMS IN THE AREA. 

SHOWERS CONTINUE TO LINGER OVER THIS AREA AND COULD PRODUCE AN 
ADDITIONAL INCH OF RAINFALL.

DO NOT DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY MOST 
FLASH FLOOD RELATED DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES.

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
557 AM CDT TUE JUL 8 2003

UPDATED ZONES IN SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND THE METROPOLITAN JACKSON AREA
TO INCLUDE PATCHY DENSE FOG THIS MORNING. VISIBILITIES AT HBG AND PIB
CURRENTLY DOWN TO 1/4 MILE AND IR IMAGERY HINTING AT FOG THICKENING IN A
CORRIDOR FROM HERE UP TO JAN. NOT EXPECTING THIS FOG TO LINGER VERY LONG
AFTER SUNRISE AND IT SHOULD NOT AFFECT THE DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION
LATER ON IN THE DAY.

BRYANT

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-015-016-023>026-MSZ018-019-025>066-072>074-
091906-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
206 PM CDT TUE JUL 08 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...

...THUNDERSTORMS...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE ANTICIPATED ACROSS SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS... NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND MUCH OF MISSISSIPPI THIS
EVENING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON. ORGANIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT EXPECTED.

THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY WILL REMAIN VERY
MOIST AND UNSTABLE...WHICH WILL ALLOW SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP... PARTICULARLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS
FROM ABOUT 1 PM THROUGH 9 PM. FREQUENT LIGHTNING...TORRENTIAL
DOWNPOURS OF RAIN...AND WIND GUSTS TO 35 MPH WILL BE THE MAIN
RISKS WITH ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP.

...FLOODING...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE ISOLATED HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS THIS EVENING AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS...NORTHEAST LOUISIANA AND PORTIONS OF WEST
MISSISSIPPI. THE HEAVY RAINFALL MAY RESULT IN MINOR FLOODING OF
STREETS AND LOW LYING AREAS DUE TO NEARLY SATURATED SOILS ACROSS
THE AREA.

AN UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE WEST
INTO EASTERN TEXAS.  THIS FEATURE WILL HELP INSTIGATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS.	ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL BE CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS OF RAIN. WHILE WIDESPREAD HEAVY
RAINFALL IS NOT EXPECTED...   ISOLATED VERY HEAVY RAINFALL
AMOUNTS OF ONE INCH OR SO IN LESS THAN ONE HOUR WILL LIKELY
PRODUCE RUNOFF...LEADING TO TEMPORARY...MINOR FLOODING OF STREETS
AND LOW LYING AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...

...DAYS TWO AND THREE...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY...
A FEW STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY INTO
FRIDAY.

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTHWARD TOWARD THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI
RIVER VALLEY THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND MOVE THROUGH THE REGION BY
FRIDAY AFTERNOON.  A WARM...MOIST...UNSTABLE AIRMASS AHEAD OF
THIS FRONT WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.	WHILE THE BULK OF THE ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
SYSTEM WILL PASS TO THE NORTH OF THE AREA...A FEW STORMS MAY
BECOME SEVERE WITH STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL THE PRIMARY
RISKS.

...DAYS FOUR THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY...
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
OPERATIONS...IS NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT OUR WEBSITE AT
WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/JAN. THIS INCLUDES THE GRAPHICAL HAZARDOUS
WEATHER OUTLOOK.