Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 107, NWS Northern Indiana

July 4, 2003Noble County, Indiana

NWS Northern Indiana issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 4, 2003, 4:31 PM EST for Noble County, Indiana. It was in force for 59 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 4, 2003, 4:31 PM EST (21:31 UTC)
Expired: Jul 4, 2003, 5:30 PM EST
In force: 59 min
Issued by: NWS Northern Indiana
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Noble County, IN

The radar

The Northern Indiana radar (KIWX), 22 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jul 4, 2:20 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 9.5 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 849 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -66 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1097 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 64 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 78 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KIWX 042131
SVRIWX
INC113-042230-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
430 PM EST FRI JUL 4 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NOBLE COUNTY IN INDIANA

* UNTIL 530 PM EST

* AT 430 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTH OF CROMWELL...MOVING EAST AT 30
  MPH.

* SOME LOCATIONS IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ARE...
  LIGONIER
  ALBION
  ROME CITY
  WOLCOTTVILLE
  KENDALLVILLE
  AVILLA

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM. SEEK SHELTER IMMEDIATELY

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN NORTHERN INDIANA.

LAT...LON 4127 8547 4130 8567 4145 8567 4155 8538
          4154 8519 4135 8519

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Northern Indiana wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 4, 3:30 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 4, 3:30 PM EST, 1 hour 1 minute before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
330 PM EST FRI JUL 4 2003

SHORT TERM DISCUSSION...
PRIMARY FORECAST CONCERN IS SEVERE STORM DEVELOPMENT THIS EVENING.

TSRA HAVE DEVELOPED RAPIDLY IN THE PAST HOUR.  ACTIVITY IS FOCUSED
ALONG TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE EXTENDING FROM WESTERN LOWER MICHIGAN
TO CENTRAL ILLINOIS.  GIVEN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS...SURFACE
BASED LI VALUES TO MINUS 13 IN MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AXIS...PLUS
MID LEVEL DISTURBANCE WORKING ACROSS...EXPECT CONTINUED DEVELOPMENT
AND SEVERE STORMS LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  SUPPORT SOMEWHAT
WEAKER OVER LOWER MICHIGAN...AND WILL GO WITH SCATTERED WORDING
THERE...WITH LIKELY POPS ELSEWHERE.  PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER HAZARD
WILL BE WIND AND WILL WORD AS SUCH IN ZONES...BUT SOME HAIL ALSO
POSSIBLE.  LITTLE CHANGE IN AIRMASS THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  GFS
CONTINUED TO HAVE FEEDBACK PROBLEMS AND THUS QPF BULLSEYE VALUES
DISCOUNTED.  IN GENERAL...MODELS INDICATE A SERIES OF WEAK MID LEVEL
DISTURBANCES IN FLAT FLOW.  WITH AMPLE MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY EACH
DAY...POPS WARRANTED.

AS FOR TEMPERATURES...BLENDED COOLER MAV AND WARMER MET AND FWC
HIGHS NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.  PREFER WARMER FWC LOWS...GIVEN CURRENT
DEWPOINTS AND LITTLE AIRMASS CHANGE.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
LATEST MRF AND ECMWF RUNS BOTH EXHIBITED POOR RUN TO RUN
CONTINUITY...BUT DID INDICATE RIDGING AT SURFACE AND ALOFT BUILDING
IN FOR THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.  LATEST AVN RUN TO 120 HOURS ALSO
SUPPORTS DRY FORECAST...SO WILL KEEP THOSE PERIODS DRY.

AVIATION DISCUSSION FOR 18Z...
MCS HAD ADVANCED INTO NW OHIO WITH WINDS GENERALLY E TO SE IN THE
RAIN COOLED AREA. OUTFLOW BOUNDARY PUT DOWN BY THE MCS WAS SOUTH OF
SBN AND FWA. THIS BOUNDARY SHOULD BECOME A FOCUS FOR ADDITIONAL
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY THIS AFTERNOON AS EXTREMELY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERIC CONDITIONS DEVELOP...SO HAVE ENTERED THUNDER IN TAFS
GENERALLY 20Z TO 03Z TO CORRESPOND TO BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDER.

.IWX...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.

BARJENBRUCH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 4, 5:05 AM EST, 11 hours 26 minutes before

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-051000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
505 AM EST FRI JUL 4 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHERN INDIANA...NORTHWEST
OHIO AND SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH THE BEST
CHANCES FOR SEVERE WEATHER LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS A
WEAK FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA IN COMBINATION WITH A SERIES OF UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCES. DAMAGING WINDS ARE THE MOST LIKELY THREAT FROM
THESE STORMS WITH SOME LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE.

ALSO THIS AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES IN THE LOWER 90S COMBINED WITH
HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY WILL BRING HEAT INDEX VALUES TO THE UPPER 90S.
USE EXTRA CAUTION IF OUTDOORS...DRINK PLENTY OF WATER AND TAKE
FREQUENT BREAKS FROM STRENUOUS PHYSICAL ACTIVITIES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON SATURDAY...AS WELL HAS MONDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY. AT THIS TIME IT IS UNCERTAIN WHETHER ANY STORMS
WILL BE SEVERE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR FURTHER DETAILS OR UPDATES, OR
CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IWX

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 4, 4:06 PM EST, 25 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
0406 PM EST FRI JUL 04 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0344 PM    10 NW ROCHESTER           IN   WIND DAMAGE
07/04/03   FULTON                         TREES AND POWERLINES DOWN
                                          IN NORTHWEST PART OF COUNTY

HITCHCOCK

Local storm report, Jul 4, 4:12 PM EST, 19 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
0412 PM EST FRI JUL 04 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0409 PM    BOURBON                   IN   0.75 IN HAIL
07/04/03   MARSHALL

HITCHCOCK

Local storm report, Jul 4, 4:17 PM EST, 14 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
0417 PM EST FRI JUL 04 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0414 PM    5 N FORT WAYNE            IN   1.00 IN HAIL
07/04/03   ALLEN                          1/2 MILE NORTH OF
                                          INTERSECTION OF ROUTE 3 AND
                                          I-69

HITCHCOCK

Local storm report, Jul 4, 4:22 PM EST, 9 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
0422 PM EST FRI JUL 04 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0419 PM    7 N FORT WAYNE            IN   1.00 IN HAIL
07/04/03   ALLEN                          NEAR INTERSECTION OF I-469
                                          AND I-69

HITCHCOCK

Local storm report, Jul 4, 4:28 PM EST, 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
0428 PM EST FRI JUL 04 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0428 PM    2 N NORTH WEBSTER         IN   1.00 IN HAIL
07/04/03   KOSCIUSKO                      AT NWS OFFICE

HITCHCOCK

Local storm report, Jul 4, 4:31 PM EST, 0 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHERN INDIANA
0431 PM EST FRI JUL 04 2003

TIME(EST)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0429 PM    2 N NORTH WEBSTER         IN   1.50 IN HAIL
07/04/03   KOSCIUSKO                      AT NWS OFFICE

HITCHCOCK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Northern Indiana issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 4, 9:56 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	LaGrange	49 min
Jul 4, 10:26 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Noble	49 min
Jul 4, 10:30 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Steuben	60 min
Jul 4, 10:45 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Whitley	60 min
Jul 4, 11:35 AM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Allen	55 min
Jul 4, 3:34 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Fulton	41 min
Jul 4, 3:50 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Pulaski, Starke	70 min
Jul 4, 3:52 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Allen	38 min
Jul 4, 3:58 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Kosciusko	77 min
Jul 4, 4:05 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Marshall	70 min
Jul 4, 4:12 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	White	78 min
Jul 4, 4:16 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Fulton	74 min
Jul 4, 4:21 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Huntington	39 min
Jul 4, 4:21 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Miami	69 min
Jul 4, 4:27 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Whitley	63 min
Jul 4, 4:29 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Allen	46 min
Jul 4, 4:29 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Wabash	76 min
Jul 4, 4:40 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Cass	80 min
Jul 4, 4:44 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Wells	61 min
Jul 4, 4:59 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Adams	61 min
Jul 4, 5:00 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Blackford	75 min
Jul 4, 5:07 PM EST	Tornado Warning	IWX	Miami	38 min
Jul 4, 5:10 PM EST	Tornado Warning	IWX	Wabash	50 min
Jul 4, 5:16 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Kosciusko	44 min
Jul 4, 5:25 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Steuben	35 min
Jul 4, 5:39 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Miami	51 min
Jul 4, 5:48 PM EST	Tornado Warning	IWX	Wells	27 min
Jul 4, 5:59 PM EST	Tornado Warning	IWX	Adams	31 min
Jul 4, 6:01 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Grant	44 min
Jul 4, 6:15 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IWX	Jay	60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Indiana, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.