Alert archive / Indiana / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 153, NWS Indianapolis, IN

July 11, 2003Carroll County, Indiana

NWS Indianapolis, IN issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 11, 2003, 5:06 PM EST for Carroll County, Indiana. It was in force for 24 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 11, 2003, 5:06 PM EST (22:06 UTC)
Expired: Jul 11, 2003, 5:30 PM EST
In force: 24 min
Issued by: NWS Indianapolis, IN
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Carroll County, IN

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 109 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:05 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Lincoln, IL (KILX), launched 12:00Z, 10.1 hours before the alert went out and 175 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1197 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 51 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 91 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 137 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

770 
WUUS53 KIND 112206
SVRIND
INC015-112230-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
506 PM EST FRI JUL 11 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN INDIANAPOLIS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CARROLL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL INDIANA

* UNTIL 530 PM EST

* AT 506 PM EST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER YEOMAN...OR ABOUT 21 MILES NORTH OF
  LAFAYETTE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  DELPHI AT 520 PM EST
  CAMDEN AT 525 PM EST
  FLORA AT 530 PM EST

THIS THUNDERSTORMS HAS A HISTORY OF PRODUCING PENNY TO NICKEL SIZE 
HAIL.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND...DESTRUCTIVE HAIL...
DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO
AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN INDIANAPOLIS.

LAT...LON 4083 8678 4067 8690 4049 8664 4042 8638
          4064 8636

$$
ZIMMERMAN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Indianapolis, IN wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 11, 1:10 PM EST, 3 hours 56 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 1:10 PM EST, 3 hours 56 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
110 PM EST FRI JUL 11 2003

FORECAST CHALLENGE WL BE TIMING...CVRG OF TRWS ACRS THE FA TNGT.
LATEST VSBL PIX/SFC OBS WERE SHOWING SCT-BKN DIURNAL CU ACRS CNTRL
INDIANA IN CYCLONIC FLOW REGIEME AS AN UPR LOW WAS LIFTING NE ACRS
NRN LAKE HURON. MEANWHILE...SFC ANLYS HAD A TROF EXTENDING FM UPR
LWR MI-SCNTRL IA TO NRN KS.

MODELS IN PRETTY GOOD AGREEMENT FOR THE MOST PART...HOWEVER THERE
WAS ONE EXCEPTION. ETA/GFS WERE QUICKER WITH THE SFC TROF AND
INSTABILITY THAT POOLS ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE TROF THAN THE NGM. THE
ETA/GFS PUSH THE TROF TO A MIE-IND-HUF BY 06Z SAT...WHILE THE NGM IS
ABOUT 6 HOURS SLOWER. STG NW UPR FLOW PERPENDICULAR TO THE SFC TROF
SHOULD PUSH IT THROUGH QUICKER VIA THE ETA/GFS. AT AN RATE...PRETTY
GOOD UNI-DIRECTIONAL SHEAR OF 30-40 KTS FM 1000-500 MB WITH 60KT H5
AND 80 KT H250 JET STREAKS MOVING SE ACRS THE MSP VLY THROUGH THE NW
FLOW. INSTABILITY POOL REACHES THE FA LATE THIS AFT WITH LIS -2 TO
-4 AND CAPES 500-700 J/KG BY 00Z. WOULDNT BE TOO SURPRISED TO SEE
SOME HAIL OUT OF THESE STORMS WITH THE WBZ HEIGHT AROUND 9800 FT PER
THE ILX 12Z SOUNDING. HOWEVER...AGREE WITH SPC THAT BETTER CHC WOULD
BE W OF HERE. MOS ALL OVER THE PLACE WITH POPS WITH THE AVN ONLY
GOING AROUND 15%...MET 40-50% AND MIDDLE OF THE ROAD NGM AROUND 35%.
MAV LOOKS TOO LOW WITH COMBO OF INSTABILITY/SHEAR AND APRCHG TROF.
TIME SECS SHOWING LOTS OF MOIST FM H8-H7 TNGT...SO WL GO MOSTLY
CLDY. CU PROGS INDICATING BKN CU AGAIN TOMORROW WITH PLNTY WITH LOW
LVL MOIST AND CYCLONIC FLOW CONTINUING. LOW LVL MOIST THINS A BIT
AND REST OF THE COLUMN REMAINS DRY SATURDAY NGT...SO WL MENTION
CLRG. FINALLY...SUNDAY LOOKS LIKE A REPEAT OF SATURDAY WITH PERHAPS
A LITTLE LESS CU AS UPR LOW OPENS UP AND MOVES INTO QUE.

MOS VERY CLOSE AND LOOKS GOOD BASED ON LOW LVL THERMAL PROGS AND
EXPECTED CLD CVRG.

.IND...NONE.

KOCH

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 3:10 PM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes before

INZ021-028>031-035>049-051>057-060>065-067>072-121100-
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
310 PM EST FRI JUL 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL INDIANA.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING. ISOLATED LARGE HAIL
IS POSSIBLE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME...HOWEVER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ASSISTANCE IS NOT EXPECTED THIS EVENING.

&&

MORE INFORMATION MAY BE OBTAINED AT THE FOLLOWING URL...

HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/IND (ALL LOWER CASE)

KOCH

The office that day

Everything else NWS Indianapolis, IN issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 11, 6:42 PM EST	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	IND	Hamilton, Hancock, Madison	33 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Indiana, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.