Flash Flood Warning 44, NWS Huntsville, AL

000 
WGUS74 KHUN 161637
FFSHUN
ALC077-161715-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1135 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES FOR LAUDERDALE COUNTY UNTIL 1215 PM 
CDT...

AT 1135 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
RAIN WAS DIMINISHING ACROSS LAUDERDALE COUNTY.  HOWEVER...RADAR 
ESTIMATES 2 TO 3 INCHES HAS FALLEN OVER THE WARNED AREA...WITH 
FLOODING OF LOW LYING AND POOR DRAINAGE AREAS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.  

SOME CITIES AFFECTED THROUGH 1215 PM CDT INCLUDE...   
UNDERWOOD-PETERSVILLE...ST. FLORIAN...KILLEN...FLORENCE...AND 
SURROUNDING LOCATIONS.

MOST FLOODING DEATHS ARE VEHICLE RELATED. NEVER ATTEMPT TO DRIVE OR
WALK ACROSS AREAS THAT ARE COVERED BY FLOOD WATERS. THE WATER DEPTH
MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS SAFELY. ABANDON VEHICLES
THAT STALL OR BEGIN TO FLOAT. MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND TO ESCAPE THE
FLOOD.

LAT...LON 3498 8781 3481 8766 3481 8760 3489 8736
          3500 8747

$$ 

MR

000 
WGUS74 KHUN 161725
FFSHUN
ALC077-161800-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1223 PM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LAUDERDALE COUNTY WAS ALLOWED TO 
EXPIRE AT 1215 PM...

AT 1220 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
THAT RAINFALL WAS ENDING ACROSS THE WARNED AREA...AND THE FLOOD
THREAT WAS DIMINISHING. SOME MINOR FLOODING MAY CONTINUE...BUT THE
SERIOUS THREAT OF FLOODING IS ENDING. THUS THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING 
WAS ALLOWED TO EXPIRE.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR TO YOUR FAVORITE LOCAL MEDIA 
FOR THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION.

LAT...LON 3490 8786 3480 8773 3493 8734 3498 8762

$$ 

MR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED SHORT TERM SECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
335 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

.SHORT TERM...
TODAYS FORECAST COULD BE A TRICKY ONE. DECAYING MCS CURRENTLY
SAGGING SOUTHWARD THROUGH TN. WE WILL SEE AT LEAST SOME CLOUD COVER
EARLY ON...AND THAT LEADS ME TO QUESTION TEMPS THIS AFTERNOON. FIRST
GUESS IS TO GO ON THE LOW END OF GUIDANCE. EVEN WITH PRE-FRONTAL MCS
ACTIVITY LIKELY DYING OUT BEFORE REACHING US THIS MORNING...WE
SHOULD HAVE SHRA/TSRA DEVELOPMENT BY LATE MORNING AS THE INCREASING
DYNAMICS AND PRE-FRONTAL SFC BOUNDARIES OVERTAKE THE CAP THAT KEPT
US DRY TUESDAY. CHANCE POPS LOOK REASONABLE WITH HIGHEST CHANCE EAST
(BETTER DYNAMICS EXPECTED THERE).

WILL HOLD IN THE SLT CHC POP FOR THIS EVENING...THOUGH MOST OF US
WILL NOT SEE RAIN. ALTHOUGH IM NOT CERTAIN WHERE THE ACTUAL SFC
FRONT WILL END UP...UPPER SUPPORT FOR THE FRONT WILL TAKE OFF AND
LEAVE IT...MAKING IT WEAK AND NOT MUCH OF A FACTOR IN THE FORECAST
REGARDLESS OF WHERE IT IS. WILL LEAVE THURSDAY AND FRIDAY DRY.
YES...THERE ARE RAIN CHANCES EACH DAY...BUT THOSE CHANCES SHOULD BE
LESS THAN 15%...TOO LOW TO MENTION IN ZONES. EXPECT TWO FAIRLY WARM
DAYS...POSSIBLY THE WARMEST OF THE SEASON SO FAR. EVEN SO...WILL
SLIGHTLY UNDERCUT GUIDANCE AS IT HAS BEEN NOTORIOUSLY TOO WARM
RECENTLY ON MAXES.

.EXTENDED...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES PLANNED. CONSENSUS IS STILL FAVORING THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE WEST OF HERE. THAT WOULD KEEP US IN AND OUT OF
RAIN CHANCES DURING THE EXTENDED (JUST LIKE WEVE BEEN LATELY).

.COOL SUMMER FAST FACT...
AT HSV...WE HAVE ONLY HAD HIGHS 90 OR ABOVE THREE TIMES THIS SEASON.
THIS IS THE LEAST NUMBER OF 90+ HIGHS THROUGH JULY 15TH ON RECORD
(GOING BACK NEARLY 100 YEARS). THE 30-YEAR AVERAGE NUMBER OF 90+
DAYS AT THIS POINT IN THE SUMMER SEASON IS 17. THATS ALSO THE
RECORD FOR FEWEST 90+ DAYS IN AN ENTIRE YEAR...SET IN 1967.
METEOROLOGICAL SUMMERS HALF OVER...WHATS THE SECOND HALF HOLD?

.PRELIM DIGITS...
QUAD CITIES  90/71/92/70/92/72  42-011
HUNTSVILLE   88/70/91/69/91/71  42-011
FORT PAYNE   88/70/91/68/91/70  521011
CULLMAN      89/71/92/71/92/72  42-011

.HUN...NONE.

JE/23

ALZ001>010-016-161800-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
500 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH ALABAMA.

.DAY ONE...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL BRING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA...WITH THE BEST CHANCE IN NORTHEAST ALABAMA.
THE CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE FROM THIS MORNING
THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING HOURS. HEAVY RAIN AND WIND GUSTS UP TO 45
MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...(THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY)...

THE PROBABILITY OF HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SATURDAY THROUGH
MONDAY AS ANOTHER COLD FRONT APPROACHES THE AREA.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IS
NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH TONIGHT.

SHUMWAY

ALZ001-002-005-161615-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
1015 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ALERT FOR A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS LAUDERDALE...LIMESTONE...AND COLBERT COUNTIES.

A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDS FROM 5 MILES NORTHWEST OF
UNDERWOOD-PETERSVILLE IN LAUDERDALE COUNTY TO LESTER IN NORTHWEST
LIMESTONE COUNTY.  THIS LINE OF STORMS IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
MOVING SOUTH AT 25 MPH AND WILL BRING PERIODS OF VERY HEAVY RAIN...
WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH AND FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING.
AREAS AFFECTED WILL INCLUDE UNDERWOOD-PETERSVILLE...KILLEN...
FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...LEXINGTON...ANDERSON AND LESTER.

FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING WILL POSE A HAZARD FOR THOSE IN
THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. SEEK SHELTER UNTIL THE STORMS HAVE PASSED.
MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR PONDING OF WATER ON THE ROADWAYS.

MR