Alert archive / North Carolina / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 246, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2003, 6:25 PM EDT for Transylvania County, North Carolina. It was in force for 65 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 16, 2003, 6:25 PM EDT (22:25 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 16, 2003, 7:30 PM EDT
- In force
- 65 min
- Issued by
- NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
County Transylvania County, NC
The radar
The Greer radar (KGSP), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:26 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The nearest sounding before it
Peachtre/Fal Fld, GA (KFFC), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 262 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1129 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -52 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 976 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 4 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -14 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 28 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
000 WUUS52 KGSP 162225 SVRGSP NCC175-162330- BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 625 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... TRANSYLVANIA COUNTY IN WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA * UNTIL 730 PM EDT * AT 625 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 3 MILES WEST OF BREVARD...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 10 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... BALSAM GROVE AT 630 PM EDT. ROSMAN AT 640 PM EDT. CEDAR MOUNTAIN AT 705 PM EDT. PEOPLE IN THE PATH OF THIS SEVERE THUNDERSTORM SHOULD BE ALERT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN CAN OCCUR WITH ANY THUNDERSTORM. BE ALERT FOR RAPID RISES OF WATER LEVELS IN CREEKS AND SMALL STREAMS. PONDING OF WATER ON ROADWAYS WILL CAUSE A HAZARD FOR MOTORISTS. LAT...LON 3534 8269 3526 8292 3506 8283 3515 8261 $$ NED/LGL
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 2:50 PM EDT, 3 hours 35 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 2:50 PM EDT, 3 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 250 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003 18Z SFC ANALYSIS DEPICTS A WEAK FRONT STRETCHED FROM THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS TO THE MID MS RIVER VALLEY...WITH A SFC TROUGH OVER THE FOOTHILLS OF THE CAROLINAS JUST EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE. RADAR SHOWS ISOLATED CONVECTION WHICH HAS FINALLY OVERCOME THE WARM TEMPERATURES ALOFT. AS THE BOUNDARY TO THE NW SLIPS SLOWLY TOWARD THE AREA...AND OUTFLOWS FROM THE ONGOING CONVECTION CONT...COVERAGE SHOULD SLOWLY INCREASE ACROSS THE WRN CAROLINAS AND NE GA THROUGH SUNSET AND THEN DISSIPATE BY MIDNIGHT. WILL THUS USE EVENING CHC POPS IN THE FORECAST. FRONT WASHES OUT UPON APPROACH TOMORROW WITH A RESIDUAL TROUGH AXIS THROUGH THE FORECAST AREA. INSTABILITY POOLS ALONG THE SOUTH SIDE OF THE FRONT WITH ETA SUGGESTING 2500 TO 3000 J/KG CAPES BY AFTERNOON. A CAPPING INVERSION IS PRESENT IN MOST SOUNDINGS...WHICH SHOULD DELAY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION UNTIL MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...BUT SCATTERED COVERAGE OF STRONG STORMS IS LIKELY AGAIN TOMORROW WITH MID LEVEL DRY PUNCH AND LOW WET BULB ZEROES. CHARACTER OF PRECIPITATION WILL REMAIN MAINLY DIURNAL IN NATURE FROM TOMORROW THROUGH NEXT MONDAY...WITH ANOTHER WEAK BOUNDARY WASHING OUT OVER THE FORECAST AREA EARLY THIS WEEKEND. MEDIUM RANGE CONSENSUS IS FOR A STRONGER SHORTWAVE TO LOAD UP OVER MANITOBA LATE IN THE WEEKEND AND CARVE OUT ANOTHER EASTERN TROUGH BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS SYSTEM SHOULD PUSH A STRONGER FRONT FROM THE GREAT LAKES TO THE FORECAST AREA BY TUESDAY...WITH ANOTHER ROUND OF SEVERE WEATHER POSSIBLE. SOME DRYING IS LIKELY BEHIND THE SYSTEM STARTING WED. FCSTID = 33 GSP 70 90 70 89 / 40 30 30 30 AND 70 90 70 90 / 40 30 30 30 CLT 70 90 70 89 / 40 40 40 30 HKY 67 88 67 89 / 40 30 30 30 AVL 63 85 62 86 / 40 30 30 30 .GSP... GA...NONE. NC...NONE. SC...NONE. HG
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 6:00 AM EDT, 12 hours 25 minutes before
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014- 019-161200- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 600 AM EDT WED JUL 16 2003 THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA... UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA. .DAY ONE...TODAY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP TODAY AND PERSIST INTO THE EVENING. THERE IS THE POSSIBILITY THAT A FEW COULD PRODUCE DAMAGING WIND GUSTS...LARGE HAIL...OR LOCALIZED FLOODING. FOR MORE INFORMATION...SEE THE SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK (SPSGSP) ISSUED AT 410 AM. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN... SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP EVERY DAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING. ON ANY GIVEN DAY...ONE OR TWO COULD PRODUCE SEVERE WEATHER. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED. MOORE
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jul 16, 5:30 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
530 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
424 PM 10 SW NEWTON NC .75 INCH HAIL
07/16/03 CATAWBA HAM REPORT.
JATLocal storm report, Jul 16, 5:30 PM EDT, 55 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR TIME OF EVENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
530 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
524 PM 10 SW NEWTON NC .75 INCH HAIL
07/16/03 CATAWBA HAM REPORT.
JATLocal storm report, Jul 16, 5:32 PM EDT, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
532 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
515 PM 5 E MOCKSVILLE NC WIND DAMAGE
07/16/03 DAVIE EOC REPORTS TREE ON
HOUSE.
JATLocal storm report, Jul 16, 6:04 PM EDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR TIME OF EVENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
530 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
524 PM 10 SW NEWTON NC .75 INCH HAIL
07/16/03 CATAWBA HAM REPORT.
JATLocal storm report, Jul 16, 6:19 PM EDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
619 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003
TIME(EDT) .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE ...EVENT/REMARKS...
....COUNTY LOCATION....
610 PM RUTHERFORDTON NC WIND DAMAGE
07/16/03 RUTHERFORD COUNTY EOC REPORTS TREES
DOWN COUNTYWIDE.
615 PM 7 SE LINCOLNTON NC .75 INCH HAIL
07/16/03 LINCOLN SKYWARN SPOTTER REPORTS
PENNY SIZE HAIL.
HGSpecial weather statement, Jul 16, 6:24 PM EDT, 1 minute before
NCZ070-071-162330- SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC 624 PM EDT WED JUL 16 2003 ...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS TO AFFECT THE CHARLOTTE METRO AREA THROUGH 8 PM... AT 624 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH INTO GASTON AND MECKLENBURG COUNTIES. THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 40 TO 50 MPH...SMALL HAIL...FREQUENT LIGHTNING...AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL. THE AREA FROM GASTONIA TO LAKE NORMAN WILL BE AFFECTED THROUGH 7 PM...WITH THE THUNDERSTORMS REACHING CHARLOTTE BY 730 PM. THE TORRENTIAL RAINFALL WILL LIKELY PRODUCE CONSIDERABLE STANDING WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CLOSELY MONITOR THESE THUNDERSTORMS IN CASE A WARNING BECOMES NECESSARY. HG
The office that day
Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 16, 3:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Caldwell | 51 min |
| Jul 16, 3:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Davie, Rowan | 66 min |
| Jul 16, 4:08 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Henderson | 37 min |
| Jul 16, 5:04 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Burke, Catawba | 56 min |
| Jul 16, 5:54 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Rutherford | 36 min |
| Jul 16, 6:15 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Lincoln | 45 min |
| Jul 16, 6:29 PM EDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | GSP | Cleveland, Gaston | 61 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Carolina, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.