Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003

Flash Flood Warning 98, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

August 1, 2003Union County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Aug 1, 2003, 5:15 PM EDT for Union County, North Carolina. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 1, 2003, 5:15 PM EDT (21:15 UTC)
Expired
Aug 1, 2003, 8:15 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Whole counties

County Union County, NC

The radar

The Columbia radar (KCAE), 128 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 134 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2003-08-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 769 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC at 12:00Z on 2003-08-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 31 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
769 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
476 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
31 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS52 KGSP 012119
FFWGSP
NCC179-020015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
515 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  NORTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 815 PM EDT

* AT 509 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED VERY       
  HEAVY RAIN OF 3 TO 4 INCHES HAS FALLEN SINCE ABOUT 4 PM BETWEEN
  WINGATE AND NEW SALEM...AND THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO LINGER
  NEAR THIS AREA...POSSIBLY RESULTING IN ANOTHER INCH OR TWO OF
  RAIN. 

* FLOODING SHOULD DEVELOP ALONG RICHARDSON CREEK...JACKS BRANCH AND
  SALEM CREEK...AND POSSIBLY EFFECT ROUTES 205...218 AND NEW SALEM
  AND OLIVE BRANCH ROADS.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING.
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY.
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY
AUTOMOBILE. EVEN MODERN SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES CANNOT BE SAFELY
DRIVEN THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

$$

55
3 follow-up statements
000 
WGUS72 KGSP 012228
FFSGSP
NCC179-020015-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
625 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN 
UNION COUNTY...

UNION COUNTY 911 CENTER REPORTS ONLY STANDING WATER ALONG ROUTE 205
ABOUT 5 MILES NORTH OF MARSHVILLE...BUT DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES THAT
4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE ABOUT 4 PM CENTERED ROUGHLY
ON THE FAIRFIELD COMMUNITY. THUNDERSTORMS HAVE REDEVELOPED ACROSS
UNION COUNTY...EXTENDING SOUTHWEST INTO LANCASTER COUNTY...AND THESE
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE WARNED AREA THIS 
EVENING.

EXPECT RISES ON RICHARDSON AND SALEM CREEKS...AND ALSO ON JACKS 
BRANCH. FLOODING MAY DEVELOP ON NUMEROUS ROADS IN THIS 
VICINITY...INCLUDING ROUTES 205...218 AND ANSONVILLE AND OLIVE 
BRANCH ROAD.

DO NOT BECOME A FATALITY DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS...THE ROAD COULD
BE WASHED OUT FROM THE FLOW OF THE WATER...AND YOUR CAR COULD BE
SWEPT AWAY BY THE SWIFTLY MOVING WATER.

$$

55
000 
WGUS72 KGSP 012316
FFSGSP
NCC179-020015-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
715 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 815 PM EDT FOR NORTHEASTERN 
UNION COUNTY...

UNION COUNTY 911 CENTER CONTINUES TO REPORT NO FLOODING PROBLEMS
OR ANY ROAD CLOSURES IN THE WARNING AREA. DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATES 
THAT 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN SINCE ABOUT 4 PM CENTERED 
ROUGHLY ON THE FAIRFIELD COMMUNITY NORTH OF MARSHVILLE.

THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS UNION COUNTY HAVE INDICATED A WEAKENING TREND
RECENTLY...BUT ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IN THE WARNED AREA IS STILL
POSSIBLE.

STILL EXPECT RISES ON RICHARDSON AND SALEM CREEKS...AND ALSO ON 
JACKS BRANCH. FLOODING COULD DEVELOP ON NUMEROUS ROADS IN THIS 
VICINITY...INCLUDING ROUTES 205...218 AND ANSONVILLE AND OLIVE 
BRANCH ROAD.

DO NOT BECOME A FATALITY DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS...THE ROAD COULD
BE WASHED OUT FROM THE FLOW OF THE WATER...AND YOUR CAR COULD BE
SWEPT AWAY BY THE SWIFTLY MOVING WATER.

$$

55
000 
WGUS72 KGSP 020021
FFSGSP
NCC179-020045-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
820 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2003

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN UNION COUNTY EXPIRED...

RADAR TRENDS INDICATE THAT STORMS HAVE WEAKENED CONSIDERABLY
ACROSS UNION COUNTY. UNION COUNTY 911 CENTER CONTINUES TO
REPORT NO FLOODING PROBLEMS OR ANY ROAD CLOSURES IN THE WARNING 
AREA...THEREFORE THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING HAS BEEN ALLOWED TO
EXPIRE.

$$

55

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Aug 1, 3:10 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 3:10 PM EDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
310 PM EDT FRI AUG 1 2003

CONVECTIVE COVERAGE OVER THE GSP CWA IS FAIRLY LIMITED ATTM. TO THE
WEST...THERE IS GOOD COVERAGE ACROSS THE GREAT VALLEY OF TN UNDER
THE H5 VORT IN AN AREA THAT HAS HAD MORE SUN AND SLIGHTLY STEEPER
LAPSE RATES. TO THE EAST...CONVECTION IS BEGINNING TO UNZIP ALONG A
THERMAL GRADIENT...JUST EAST OF ENTRANCE REGION INDUCED MID CLOUD
DECK WHICH HAS HELD TEMPS DOWN INTO THE MID 70S ACROSS OUR NC
PIEDMONT ZONES DURING THE DAY.

LINE OF DRYING EVIDENT ON WATER VAPOR HAS BEEN MUCH SLOWER TO ENTER
REGION THAT THE MODELS ADVERTISED. PW THIS MORNING AT GSO WAS 2.11
INCHES...WHILE IT WAS AROUND 1.5 INCHES AT BNA. APPEARS NOW THAT
BEST FORCING WL STALL JUST E OF THE CWA...IN THE H3 JET ENTRANCE
REGION. HOWEVER...SOME WEAK UPSLOPE/LEE CONVERGENCE CONTINUES...AND
AS THE H5 WAVE WORKS ACROSS THE CWA THIS EVENING...THERE SHOULD BE
GOOD COVERAGE. HAVE GONE LIKELY POPS IN ROUGHLY THE EASTERN HALF OF
THE CWA...AND CHANCE WEST...W/POPS LOWERING LATER TNGT. SO...WL NOT
ISSUE ANY KIND OF FFA ATTM...THOUGH WL CERTAINLY HAVE TO KEEP AN EYE
ON THE LEE SLOPES LATER THIS EVENING AS UPSLOPE IS PROGGED TO GET
BETTER AFTER 00 UTC.

HAVE NOT MADE MANY CHANGES TO THE GRIDS FOR SAT. LIKE THE MID
SHIFT/S AFTN DEVELOPMENT IN THE LEE. W/CONSIDERABLY LESS CLOUD COVER
TMRW (AFTER MORNING STRATUS)...WE SHOULD HAVE BETTER DESTABILIZATION
AND MORE TYPICAL CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ALONG THE ESCARPMENT WHICH
THEN DRIFTS INTO THE LEE. PW/S ARE PROGGED TO BE LOWER MOST OF THE
DAY TMRW...BUT THEY WL STILL BE HIGH ENOUGH FOR ISOLATED HEAVY RAIN.

LATE SAT NGHT MCS REMNANTS SHOULD AFFECT THE WRN ZONES. MRX
INCREASES THEIR POPS TO LIKELY LATE...AND WE MATCH UP WELL IN THIS
REGARD. FLOW IS ORIENTED SUCH THAT ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT MAKE IT TOO
FAR E OF THE MTS...THOUGH ACTIVITY MAY POP ALONG THE LEE SLOPES.

LONG WAVE SHARPENS CONSIDERABLY ON SUNDAY...PUTTING US IN A
DEEP...WET SWLY FLOW. GOOD SHEAR AND PLENTY OF MINOR WAVES SWINGING
THROUGH THE TROF. IT IS ANYBODY/S GUESS AS TO EXACTLY WHERE MINOR
WAVES WL BE CONSIDERING MCV POTENTIAL W/THIS PATTERN...SO HAVE KEPT
POPS AT 50 PERCENT SUN AND SUN NGHT.

ON MONDAY THE LONG WAVE CONTINUES TO TRUNDLE SLOWLY TO THE SE. SHEAR
IS STRONGER...SO WHILE THE SEVERE THREAT WL BE HIGHER...HOPEFULLY
PCPN WL MOVE A LITTLE FASTER. CONSIDERED ISSUING AN ESF FOR SUN/MON
HEAVY RAIN THREAT...BUT DECIDED TO HOLD OFF FOR NOW.

FCSTID =   14
GSP   69  86  69  86 /  50  50  50  40
AND   70  87  70  87 /  40  40  40  40
CLT   70  86  70  86 /  60  40  40  40
HKY   68  85  68  84 /  50  40  40  40
AVL   65  82  65  81 /  40  40  40  50

.GSP...
GA...NONE.
NC...NONE.
SC...NONE.

MCAVOY
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 5:55 AM EDT, 11 hours 20 minutes before
GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-011200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
555 AM EDT FRI AUG 1 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS
THE WESTERN CAROLINAS AND NORTHEAST GEORGIA THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING. THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE VERY SLOWLY AND COULD PRODUCE
LOCALLY VERY HEAVY RAINFALL. FURTHER DETAILS ON THE POTENTIAL FOR
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL LATE TODAY CAN BE FOUND IN THE SPECIAL WEATHER
STATEMENT...SPSGSP...ISSUED EARLIER THIS MORNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

MAINLY AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE EACH DAY
THROUGH NEXT THURSDAY. GIVEN THE CURRENT MOIST SOIL CONDITIONS
ACROSS THE REGION...ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP COULD PRODUCE
LOCALIZED FLOODING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED IF FLOODING DEVELOPS LATER TODAY.

HG

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 1, 4:24 PM EDT, 51 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
424 PM EDT FRI AUG 01 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

415 PM     ARDEN                     NC   HEAVY RAIN
08/01/03   BUNCOMBE                       TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED
                                          1 INCH OF RAIN FELL IN
                                          LESS THAN TEN MINUTES.
                                          ALSO ESTIMATED WIND GUSTS
                                          OF 40 MPH.

408 PM     SKYLAND                   NC   WIND DAMAGE
08/01/03   BUNCOMBE                       911 CENTER REPORTED ONE
                                          TREE DOWN ON HOUSE
                                          BETWEEN ARDEN AND
                                          SKYLAND.

LAMB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 1, 4:18 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGSPBuncombe, Henderson42 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.