Alert archive / North Carolina / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003

Flash Flood Warning 45, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

June 16, 2003Lincoln County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this flash flood warning at Jun 16, 2003, 5:39 PM EDT for Lincoln County, North Carolina. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: Jun 16, 2003, 5:39 PM EDT (21:39 UTC)
Expired: Jun 16, 2003, 7:45 PM EDT
In force: 2 hr
Issued by: NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area: Whole counties

County Lincoln County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:41 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Greensboro/Hi Pt, NC (KGSO), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 136 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 541 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -2 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 499 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 27 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS52 KGSP 162144
FFWGSP
NCC109-162345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
539 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  LINCOLN COUNTY IN THE PIEDMONT OF NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 745 PM EDT

* AT 531 PM EDT...WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  PERSISTENT CLUSTER OF THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER NORTHERN
  LINCOLN COUNTY. RADAR INDICATES THAT RAINFALL OF 1 TO 2 INCHES HAS
  FALLEN ACROSS THE AREA IN THE PAST HOUR. AN ADDITIONAL INCH OR TWO
  OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 7 PM.

* FLOODING WILL LIKELY DEVELOP IN THE LINCOLNTON AREA...AND
  NORTHWARD TOWARD CATAWBA COUNTY. MOST LIKELY TO BE AFFECTED IS
  CLARK CREEK NORTH OF LINCOLNTON...AS WELL AS HIGHWAY 155 AND U.S.
  ROUTE 321. SIGNIFICANT STANDING WATER WILL ALSO LIKELY DEVELOP IN
  LOW SPOTS THROUGHOUT THE COUNTY.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE 
ROADWAY. THE WATER DEPTH MAY BE TOO GREAT TO ALLOW YOUR CAR TO CROSS 
SAFELY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED QUICKLY. 
MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND. EVEN MODERN SPORT UTILITY VEHICLES CANNOT BE 
SAFELY DRIVEN THROUGH FLOOD WATERS.

$$
HG

1 follow-up statement

000 
WGUS72 KGSP 162256
FFSGSP
NCC025-109-170000-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
656 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 745 PM EDT FOR LINCOLN AND 
CABARRUS COUNTIES...

DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR CONTINUES TO INDICATE RAINFALL RATES OF UP TO 
ONE INCH PER HOUR...AS THE STORMS MOVE SLOWLY SOUTHEAST.

FLOODING IS WIDESPREAD THROUGHOUT KANNAPOLIS AND OTHER PARTS OF THE 
COUNTY REPORT STREAMS RUNNING VERY HIGH. SEVERAL STREAMS ARE AT OR 
NEAR BANKFULL IN LINCOLN COUNTY AND SOME ARE EXPECTED TO COME OUT OF 
THEIR BANKS AS RAINFALL CONTINUES.

DURING HEAVY RAIN EVENTS...SEVERE URBAN FLOODING CAN OCCUR IN AREAS 
SUCH AS UNDERPASSES...AND LOW AREAS WHERE WATER TENDS TO COLLECT. 
CHILDREN SHOULD BE KEPT AWAY FROM SMALL STREAMS AND STORM DRAINS.

KEEP AN EYE ON THE WEATHER AND STREAM CONDITIONS. PEOPLE ALONG 
STREAMS SHOULD BE READY TO MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.

$$
RB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Jun 16, 3:20 PM EDT, 2 hours 19 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 16, 3:20 PM EDT, 2 hours 19 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
320 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

SURFACE FRONT HAS PUSHED INTO THE NORTHEAST CORNER OF THE FORECAST
AREA THIS AFTERNOON. LOW CLOUDS HAVE BEEN VERY SLOW TO ERODE IN THE
NC PIEDMONT TODAY...KEEPING THE AREA MORE STABLE THAN SC/GA AND THE
WRN MOUNTAINS. CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED IN THE MORE UNSTABLE AREAS
AND THIS SHOULD STEADILY SPREAD EASTWARD ACROSS THE AREA THIS
EVENING...WITH THE STALLING SFC BOUNDARY REMAINING A FOCUS FOR
CONVECTION OVERNIGHT. PER COORDINATION WITH ADJACENT OFFICES...WILL
MAINTAIN THE EXISTING FLOOD WATCH FOR MUCH OF NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT. WILL LEAVE IT TO THE MID SHIFT TO ASSESS THE NEED FOR
EXTENSION INTO TUESDAY. ISOLATED FLOODING PROBLEMS COULD DEVELOP
OUTSIDE THE WATCH AREA FARTHER SW...BUT DEGREE OF TRAINING AWAY FROM
THE SURFACE BOUNDARY WILL BE VERY HARD TO ASSESS AND IS PROBABLY NOT
WORTH A WATCH AT PRESENT.

SFC BOUNDARY IS FORECAST TO REMAIN OVER THE NE THIRD OF THE FORECAST
AREA THROUGH TOMORROW WITH THE MODELS IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT THE
BOUNDARY SLOWLY LIFTS BACK NORTH THROUGH WEDNESDAY. WILL GENERALLY
GO SLIGHTLY LOWER THAN GUIDANCE ON MAXES AND KEEP A SMALL DIURNAL
TEMP RANGE. DEEPER MOISTURE SHOWS UP IN TIME HEIGHTS AGAIN WED WITH
DEEP SW FLOW BUT LESS TRIGGERING AROUND. WILL OPT FOR SOLID CHC POPS
WED AFTN.

STRONG COLD FRONT APPROACHES FROM THE NORTHWEST ON THU WITH HIGHEST
EXTENDED RANGE POPS FEATURED FOR THU NIGHT. MODEL DISCREPANCIES THEN
BEGIN TO SHOW UP. THE GFS HAS BEEN FAIRLY CONSISTENT THE PAST THREE
RUNS WITH HANGING UP THE FRONT ACROSS THE SRN EDGE OF AREA WITH
RETURN FLOW MOISTURE BY SAT. GFS ALSO FEATURES TROUGH AXIS TO THE
WEST OVER THE MS VALLEY. WILL LEAN TOWARD ECM SOLUTION OF PLAINS
RIDGING AND MUCH LATER RETURN OF A WEAKER FRONT FOR LATE WEEKEND AND
RETURN TO DIURNAL AFTN CONVECTION.

FCSTID =   33
GSP   69  82  69  82 /  70  60  60  50
AND   69  84  69  83 /  60  60  60  50
CLT   69  81  69  82 /  70  70  70  50
HKY   67  77  67  79 /  80  70  70  50
AVL   65  77  64  78 /  70  70  70  50

.GSP...
GA...NONE.
NC...FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES NCZ033>037...NCZ048>050...
NCZ053>057...NCZ065>072...NCZ082.
SC...NONE.

HG

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 16, 6:22 AM EDT, 11 hours 17 minutes before

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ033>037-048>059-062>072-082-SCZ001>014-
019-161200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
622 AM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
UPSTATE SOUTH CAROLINA...AND EXTREME NORTHEAST GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT
AS IT MOVES SOUTH ACROSS THE WESTERN CAROLINAS THIS AFTERNOON AND
EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS.
ALONG AND A LITTLE BEHIND THE FRONT...THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL TEND TO
REFORM OVER THE SAME AREAS. THIS WILL RESULT IN LOCALIZED VERY HEAVY
RAIN ACROSS WESTERN NORTH CAROLINA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

MORE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AND
WEDNESDAY. ON TUESDAY THE THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE HEAVY RAIN...WITH
A BETTER CHANCE OF DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL ON WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL BE LIKELY THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT TO
REPORT SEVERE WEATHER AS WELL AS TO MONITOR STREAM LEVELS AND REPORT
RAINFALL TOTALS.

MCAVOY

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 16, 2:04 PM EDT, 3 hours 35 minutes before

NCZ053-065-161900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
204 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RADAR INDICATES SIGNIFICANT THUNDERSTORMS
MOVING ACROSS BUNCOMBE AND HENDERSON COUNTIES IN NORTH CAROLINA.

BUNCOMBE COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT HAS REPORTED MARBLE SIZED
HAIL WITH THE STORMS IN THE AREA.  STRONG GUSTY WINDS...HEAVY RAIN
AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING ALSO CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THESE STORMS AS
THEY MOVE THROUGH THE AREA DURING THE NEXT HOUR.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR THE MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION CONCERNING THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.

DICARLO

Local storm report, Jun 16, 5:10 PM EDT, 29 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
510 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

455 PM     2 NE ST STEPHENS          NC   FLASH FLOOD
06/16/03   CATAWBA                        COUNTY EOC REPORTED WATER
                                          COVERING SPRINGS ROAD AND
                                          SAINT PETERS CHURCH ROAD
                                          IMPEDING TRAFFIC.

LAMB

Local storm report, Jun 16, 5:23 PM EDT, 16 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE SPARTANBURG SC
523 PM EDT MON JUN 16 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

515 PM     5 W STATESVILLE           NC   FLASH FLOOD
06/16/03   IREDELL                        COUNTY COMMS REPORTED
                                          FLOODING ON HIGHWAYS 70
                                          AND 90... AND ON BRISTOL
                                          ROAD IN THE WESTERN PART
                                          OF THE COUNTY... IMPEDING
                                          TRAFFIC.

508 PM     3 NNE ST STEPHENS         NC   WIND DAMAGE
06/16/03   CATAWBA                        COUNTY COMMS REPORTED
                                          MULTIPLE TREES DOWN AND
                                          PROPERTY DAMAGE NEAR LAKE
                                          HICKORY.

LAMB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 15, 10:52 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Burke	3 hr
Jun 15, 11:25 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Cleveland	2 hr
Jun 15, 11:33 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	McDowell	2 hr
Jun 16, 4:35 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Alexander	115 min
Jun 16, 4:43 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Alexander, Catawba	17 min
Jun 16, 4:44 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Iredell	106 min
Jun 16, 4:54 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Catawba	96 min
Jun 16, 5:09 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Burke, Caldwell	2 hr
Jun 16, 5:18 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Rowan	117 min
Jun 16, 5:20 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Iredell	10 min
Jun 16, 5:29 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Iredell, Rowan	31 min
Jun 16, 5:45 PM EDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GSP	Cabarrus	30 min
Jun 16, 5:47 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Cabarrus	118 min
Jun 16, 6:05 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Davie	115 min
Jun 16, 6:15 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Mecklenburg	2 hr
Jun 16, 6:55 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Avery	2 hr
Jun 16, 7:08 PM EDT	Flash Flood Warning	GSP	Iredell, Rowan	112 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in North Carolina, 2003 Every flash flood warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.