Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 213, NWS Goodland, KS

July 29, 2003Greeley County, Kansas

NWS Goodland, KS issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 29, 2003, 6:26 PM MDT for Greeley County, Kansas. It was in force for 64 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 29, 2003, 6:26 PM MDT (00:26 UTC)
Expired: Jul 29, 2003, 7:30 PM MDT
In force: 64 min
Issued by: NWS Goodland, KS
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Greeley County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 101 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:29 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 00:00Z, 0.4 hours before the alert went out and 187 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 367 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -18 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2327 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -21 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 38 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

562 
WUUS53 KGLD 300026
SVRGLD
KSC071-300130-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
626 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  GREELEY COUNTY IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 730 PM MDT

* AT 626 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 11 MILES WEST OF HORACE...OR ABOUT 13 MILES
  WEST OF TRIBUNE...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  HORACE AT 640 PM MDT
  TRIBUNE AT 645 PM MDT

HAIL UP TO GOLFBALL SIZE AND STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 75 MPH OR
MORE CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

LAT...LON 3868 10193 3857 10205 3825 10205 3826 10156
          3834 10156

ENTWISTLE

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 29, 1:00 PM MDT, 5 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 29, 1:00 PM MDT, 5 hours 26 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
100 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2003

WATER VAPOR/RUC ANALYSIS SHOWING SHORT WAVE DROPPING SOUTHEAST
ACROSS SOUTHEAST WYOMING THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED CONVECTION
EXTENDS FROM NORTHEAST COLORADO NORTHWARD ALONG BOUNDARY THROUGH
WESTERN NEBRASKA AND INTO THE DAKOTAS. MAV POPS ARE VERY LOW
COMPARED TO THE MET GUIDANCE AND WILL LEAN TOWARDS THE WETTER OF THE
TWO AND WATCH LATEST TRENDS BEFORE BUMPING POPS UP. LOWS TONIGHT
WILL BE A DEGREE OR TWO WARMER THAN LAST NIGHT WITH LOWS AROUND 60.
SURFACE BOUNDARY/COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH OVERNIGHT OR EARLY IN
THE MORNING AND WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES ON WEDNESDAY AT OR SLIGHTLY
ABOVE READINGS TODAY WITH UPPER 80S NORTHWEST TO LOWER 90S EAST.
WILL INSERT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE SOUTH/SOUTHWEST
WHERE GREATER INSTABILITY RESIDES IN VICINITY OF FRONT.

THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THURSDAY WILL REMAIN DRY AND HEAT UP AS
WEST/SOUTHWEST COMPONENT ALLOWS HIGH TEMPERATURES TO CLIMB INTO THE
96 TO 103 DEGREE RANGE FROM WEST TO EAST. WILL KEEP THURSDAY NIGHT
DRY ALTHOUGH GFS SHOWING A WEAK DISTURBANCE DROPPING SOUTHEAST IN
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT. WILL KEEP A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ON
FRIDAY AS LEE TROUGH/BOUNDARY SETS UP OVER THE AREA AND MOIST
UPSLOPE FLOW PERSISTS NORTH OF THE TROUGH. FRIDAY NIGHT AND
SATURDAY...NORTHWEST UPPER FLOW CONTINUES AND GFS BRINGS ANOTHER
DISTURBANCE OVER THE AREA..CHANCE POPS ON SATURDAY LOOK GOOD WITH
HIGHS FALLING BACK INTO THE LOWER 90S.

SUNDAY AND MONDAY...RIDGE AXIS APPROACHES AND HAVE ADJUSTED GRIDS TO
SHOW A WARMING TREND. GFS IS SHOWING QPF AS RIDGE AXIS MOVES INTO
THE AREA...HOWEVER LEFT SUNDAY/MONDAY DRY FOR NOW WITH RIDGE
AMPLIFYING ACROSS THE PLAINS.

.GLD...NONE.

MCGUIRE

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 29, 10:05 AM MDT, 8 hours 21 minutes before

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-301200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1005 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST KANSAS...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON WEST OF A
LINE FROM YUMA COLORADO TO GOODLAND AND LEOTI KANSAS. MOIST UPSLOPE
SURFACE WINDS AND DAYTIME HEATING WILL COMBINE TO TRIGGER THE
THUNDERSTORMS. HOWEVER...WIND PROFILES WILL BE WEAK...AND THE STORMS
ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN BELOW SEVERE LEVELS. EVEN SO...STRONGER
STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING FREQUENT LIGHTNING...SMALL
HAIL...WIND GUSTS OF UP TO 40 MPH...AND BRIEF HEAVY RAINFALL.

TONIGHT...A COOL FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE TRI STATE AREA.
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL OCCUR WEST OF A LINE FROM BENKELMAN
NEBRASKA TO LEOTI KANSAS...WITH ONLY ISOLATED ACTIVITY ELSEWHERE IN
THE TRI STATE AREA. WIND PROFILES REMAIN WEAK...AND COMBINED WITH
THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED
AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

ON THURSDAY...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
EAST OF A LINE FROM TRENTON NEBRASKA TO HOXIE KANSAS...INCLUDING
HILL CITY AND MCCOOK. ANOTHER COOL FRONT WILL BE DROPPING OUT OF THE
NORTHERN PLAINS...AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL ENHANCE THE
RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN EASTERN PORTIONS OF THE TRI STATE
AREA.

ELSEWHERE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED BOTH THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY AS A SERIES OF UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCES MOVES ACROSS THE
HIGH PLAINS FROM THE NORTHWEST.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

JDK

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 29, 2:23 PM MDT, 4 hours 3 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
223 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2003

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0220 PM    2 W ST FRANCIS            KS   .75 INCH HAIL
07/29/03   CHEYENNE                       REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

Local storm report, Jul 29, 2:55 PM MDT, 3 hours 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
255 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2003

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0253 PM    2 S GOODLAND              KS   .88 INCH HAIL
07/29/03   SHERMAN                        REPORTED BY MEDIA.

Local storm report, Jul 29, 3:13 PM MDT, 3 hours 13 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
313 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2003

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0305 PM    5 NW MC ALLASTER          KS   .75 INCH HAIL
07/29/03   LOGAN                          REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

Local storm report, Jul 29, 3:21 PM MDT, 3 hours 5 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
321 PM MDT TUE JUL 29 2003

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0315 PM    5 W GOODLAND              KS   .88 INCH HAIL
07/29/03   SHERMAN                        REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.