Severe Thunderstorm Warning 196, NWS Goodland, KS

Issued

Jul 15, 2003, 9:50 PM MDT (03:50 UTC)

Expired

Jul 15, 2003, 10:30 PM MDT

In force

40 min

Issued by

NWS Goodland, KS

Area

Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Cheyenne County, CO, Kit Carson County, CO

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

310 
WUUS53 KGLD 160350
SVRGLD
COC017-063-160430-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
950 PM MDT TUE JUL 15 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GOODLAND HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  CHEYENNE COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO
  KIT CARSON COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL COLORADO

* UNTIL 1030 PM MDT

* AT 950 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM BETHUNE TO 14 MILES SOUTH OF
  FIRSTVIEW...OR FROM 9 MILES WEST OF BURLINGTON TO 17 MILES
  SOUTHWEST OF CHEYENNE WELLS...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 45 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
  BURLINGTON AT 1000 PM MDT
  CHEYENNE WELLS AT 1005 PM MDT
  ARAPAHOE AT 1015 PM MDT

HAIL UP TO ONE INCH IN DIAMETER AND STRONG AND DAMAGING WINDS OF 60
MPH OR MORE CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THIS STORM.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING MEANS THAT SEVERE WEATHER HAS BEEN
OBSERVED OR DETECTED BY RADAR. IF YOU ARE IN THE PATH OF THIS
STORM...MOVE INDOORS TO A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS
UNTIL THE STORM PASSES. DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS
THE ROAD.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY.
THEY WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
GOODLAND.

LAT...LON 3957 10258 3922 10259 3862 10260 3864 10209
          3954 10206 3958 10206

THEDE

$$

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 15, 1:24 PM MDT, 8 hours 26 minutes earlier.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
124 PM MDT TUE JUL 15 2003

FORECAST CONCERN IS TEMPERATURES THROUGH NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

LATEST 19Z SURFACE MAP ANALYSIS SHOWED A STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS
CENTRAL MISSOURI INTO CENTRAL OKLAHOMA AND THE TEXAS PANHANDLE. A
SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGE EXTENDED FROM MONTANA INTO KANSAS. IR
AND WATER VAPOR SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A BROAD CLOCKWISE FLOW
ALOFT ASSOCIATED WITH STRONG UPPER LEVEL RIDGE.

MODELS INITIALIZED WELL TODAY WITH REGARD TO STRENGTH AND FUTURE
POSITION OF SURFACE FEATURES. WILL GO WITH THE ETA MODEL OUT
THROUGH 48 HOURS AS IT IS SLIGHTLY BETTER THAN THE OTHER MODELS WITH
REGARD TO TEMPERATURE AND WIND FIELDS.

FOR TONIGHT AS UPPER RIDGE DOMINATES OUR WEATHER EXPECT DRY AND
QUIET WEATHER. WILL GO CLOSE TO GUIDANCE TEMPERATURES MOSTLY IN THE
MIDDLE 60S.

FOR WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY EXPECT A CONTINUATION OF HOT AND DRY
WEATHER AS UPPER RIDGING PREVAILS. WILL GO WITH DAYTIME HIGH
TEMPERATURES IN THE UPPER 90S TO NEAR 100 WHILE TEMPERATURES FOR
HIGHS ON THURSDAY AND FRIDAY WILL BE MOSTLY IN THE 100 TO 105
DEGREE RANGE. MILD TEMPERATURES WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT WILL BE
IN THE MIDDLE TO UPPER 60S.

FOR SATURDAY INTO SUNDAY WILL MAINTAIN TEMPERATURES A FEW DEGREES
COOLER THAN PREVIOUS DAYS AS A WEAK COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE
REGION AND BECOMES STATIONARY. WILL MAINTAIN SLIGHT CHANCE POPS FOR
CONVECTION ON SUNDAY.

FOR MONDAY AND TUESDAY WILL CONTINUE A DRY WEATHER TREND WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE 90S DURING THE DAY AND 60S AT NIGHT. MODELS
FORECAST UPPER RIDGING TO REGAIN DOMINANCE INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT
WEEK.

.GLD...NONE.

LAMMERS

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-161200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
254 PM MDT TUE JUL 15 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST KANSAS...EXTREME
SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA...AND EAST CENTRAL COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE TOWARD FAR EASTERN
COLORADO FROM THE FRONT RANGE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING.
AS THEY DO...THEY WILL ENCOUNTER A MORE FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT WHERE
MID AND UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BECOME MORE PLENTIFUL. AT THIS
TIME THE BEST CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS WILL EXIST ALONG AND WEST OF
A LINE FROM BENKELMAN NEBRASKA TO GOODLAND KANSAS AND CHEYENNE WELLS
COLORADO. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED.

DDT

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Colorado, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.