Alert archive / Nebraska / Tornado Warnings in 2003

Tornado Warning 42, NWS Hastings, NE

July 20, 2003Merrick County, Polk County, Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this tornado warning at Jul 20, 2003, 7:32 PM CDT for Merrick County, Polk County, Nebraska. It was in force for 28 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 20, 2003, 7:32 PM CDT (00:32 UTC)
Expired
Jul 20, 2003, 8:00 PM CDT
In force
28 min
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Merrick County, NE, Polk County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:33 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this tornado warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 20, 4:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.5 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4827 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2003-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 92 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4827 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1616 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
92 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
162 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
28.6

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

248 
WFUS53 KGID 210032
TORGID
NEC121-143-210100-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
731 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
   MERRICK COUNTY IN CENTRAL NEBRASKA
  POLK COUNTY IN EAST CENTRAL NEBRASKA

* UNTIL 800 PM CDT

* AT 728 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO ALONG A
  LINE EXTENDING FROM STROMSBURG TO 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF STROMSBURG
  TO CENTRAL CITY...OR ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 17 MILES NORTH OF
  YORK TO 14 MILES NORTH OF YORK TO 18 MILES NORTHEAST OF GRAND
  ISLAND...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

WEATHER SPOTTERS REPORTED GOLFBALL HAIL BETWEEN CLARKS AND SILVER 
CREEK AT 720 PM.  WEATHER SPOTTERS ALSO REPORTED HAIL UP TO HALF 
DOLLAR SIZE IN OSCEOLA AT 725 PM.  ROTATION WAS REPORTED IN THE 
THUNDERSTORM AT STROMSBURG AT 725 PM...AND ROTATION WAS ALSO 
REPORTED NEAR CHAPMAN.

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN A BASEMENT. GET UNDER A
WORKBENCH OR OTHER PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. IF NO BASEMENT IS
AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE BUILDING IN AN
INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO
COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

LAT...LON 4104 9732 4105 9782 4117 9782 4102 9810
          4091 9823 4122 9823 4122 9775 4131 9752

$$

T/FAY

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this tornado warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this tornado warning went out at Jul 20, 2:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 32 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 20, 2:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 32 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
200 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2003

LOW IN EAST CENTRAL SD WITH FRONT TRAILING SW INTO N CNTRL NE THEN
UP THROUGH SWRN SD...WITH SMALL PRE FRONTAL TROUGH JUST OUT AHEAD.
NICE LL MINI DRY PUNCH MOVING INTO LL JUICE NEAR CHADRON AREA...WITH
FIRST STORM OF DAY ALREADY GOING UP OVR ELEVATED TERRAIN AND WEAKER
CAP. ANOTHER LL CONVERGENCE AREA...PROBABLY ASSOCIATED WITH OUTFLOW
FROM MORNING STORMS OVR MN AND IA...JUST OVR NERN TO ERN CWA.
MID/UPR WAVE AXIS ROUGHLY CUTTING CWA IN HALF FROM NE TO SW. POOR LL
SPEED SHEAR...BUT GOOD DIRECTIONAL SHEAR OUT AHEAD...WITH BEST UPR
LVL SPEED SHEAR OVR NERN QUAD OF NE. STRONG PREFRONTAL COMPRESSIONAL
WARMING AHEAD OF ADVANCING FRONT HAS WARMED TEMPS TO LOW/MID 90S
ALREADY...AND WITH 70 DEW PTS OVR ROUGHLY ERN HALF OF NE...HUGE
CAPES BETWEEN 4500 AND 5000 IN LOWER LEVELS.

ONCE AGAIN A BIT OF A TOUGH FCST. CAPPED OVR OUR CWA RIGHT
NOW...WITH MARGINAL LL FORCING NEAR FRONT AND FA SPLIT BETWEEN
DECENT UPR DYNAMICS E/NE TO RATHER SLIGHT SW. MOD SOUNDINGS
INDICATE MAY BE ABLE TO CONVECT WITHOUT MUCH FORCING...ESPECIALLY
NERN CWA. GOING WITH 30 POPS EVERYWHERE FOR TONIGHT...WITH BEST CHC
FOR SEVERE ERN PORTION CWA...E OR HWY 281. STRONG DOWNDRAFT WIND
POTENTIAL WITH STORMS...MARGINAL HAIL POTENTIAL. IF SFC BASED CONV
CAN BREAK THROUGH SOMEWHERE...SOME VERY HEAVY RAIN WITH RELATIVELY
SLOW MOVING TSRA...WITH MOTION TO S OR SSE.

TOMORROW...ANOTHER INTERESTING DAY OF POSSIBILITIES...WITH GOOD LL
FORCING MOVING THROUGH...PUSHED FROM N BY RATHER VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE
JUST NOW OVR SWRN MT...DRAGGING MUCH COLDER MID LVL TEMPS OVERHEAD.
BETTER HAIL CHANCES MONDAY...AND AGAIN GOING WITH 30 POPS EVERYWHERE
FROM MID AFTERNOON ON.

BEYOND...WITH STRONG SYSTEM MOVING IN FROM AK GULF...RIDGE CONTINUES
TO FLATTEN BY WEEKS END...AND WITH MUCH COOLER OVERHEAD TEMPS MAKING
WAY DOWN BACKSIDE OF MID CANADIAN TROUGH...WILL KEEP THINGS QUITE
UNSTABLE/ACTIVE OVR WEEKEND IF MDLS CONTINUE TO FOLLOW CURRENT
TREND. SO ADDED PERIODS OF LOW CHCS FOR SAT/SUN AND KEPT THU/FRI
CHCS. OTHERWISE...ONLY MINOR TWEAKS HERE AND THERE.

.GID...NONE.

10
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 20, 3:05 PM CDT, 4 hours 27 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-211200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
305 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTH THROUGH NEBRASKA AND
NORTHERN KANSAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WITH THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG THE FRONT. IN ADDITION...AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY
GENERATED FROM A LARGE THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX OVER NORTHERN IOWA MAY
MOVE SOUTHWEST INTO THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON HELPING TO KICK OFF
ADDITIONAL THUNDERSTORMS.

THE REGION HAS BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE THIS AFTERNOON DUE TO VERY
WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH AMPLE LOW LEVEL MOISTURE.  WIND
SHEAR IS EXPECTED TO INCREASE ALTHOUGH THE BEST SHEAR SHOULD REMAIN
NORTHEAST OF THE REGION.  OTHER LIMITING FACTORS FOR STORM
DEVELOPMENT INCLUDE WARM MID LEVEL TEMPERATURES AND THE BETTER MID
LEVEL ENERGY REMAINING NORTHEAST.

HOWEVER WITH THE COMBINATION OF THE FRONT AND A VERY UNSTABLE
ATMOSPHERE...SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS HAD DEVELOPED OVER CENTRAL
NEBRASKA. THE STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SOUTHEAST WITH THE
GREATEST SEVERE WEATHER THREAT BEING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.
THE CHANCE OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL EXIST FOR ALL OF SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS EXISTS EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...AND
AGAIN DURING FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY MORNING. THE MAIN HAZARD FROM
THESE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE STRONG WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

EWALD

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 20, 7:17 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
717 PM CDT SUN JUL 20 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0715 PM    OSCEOLA                   NE   1 INCH HAIL
07/20/03   POLK                           REPORTED BY COOPERATIVE
                                          OBSERVER.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 7:08 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDHoward37 min
Jul 20, 7:11 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDHamilton, York64 min
Jul 20, 7:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHall51 min
Jul 20, 8:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMerrick29 min
Jul 20, 8:14 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDHamilton, York61 min
Jul 20, 8:26 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Hall64 min
Jul 20, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDClay, Fillmore73 min
Jul 20, 9:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDAdams, Webster65 min
Jul 20, 10:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDWebster60 min

Nearby

Tornado Warnings in Nebraska, 2003Every tornado warning in 2003Tornadoes in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.