Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 84, NWS Hastings, NE

May 13, 2003Phillips County, Rooks County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 13, 2003, 5:53 AM CDT for Phillips County, Rooks County, Kansas. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: May 13, 2003, 5:53 AM CDT (10:53 UTC)
Expired: May 13, 2003, 6:45 AM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 113 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 10:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 00:00Z, 10.9 hours before the alert went out and 201 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 19 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -51 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2391 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 42 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 88 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

685 
WUUS53 KGID 131053
SVRGID
KSC147-163-131145-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
553 AM CDT TUE MAY 13 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PHILLIPS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS
  ROOKS COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 645 AM CDT

* AT 549 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER KIRWIN...OR ABOUT 12 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
  PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  AGRA AT 600 AM CDT

PEOPLE IN SOUTHERN PHILLIPS AND CENTRAL ROOKS COUNTIES SHOULD SEEK
SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS LARGE HAIL THE SIZE OF QUARTERS.

LAT...LON 3984 9954 3919 9952 3918 9910 3990 9910
$$

16
NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 13, 2:26 AM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 13, 2:26 AM CDT, 3 hours 27 minutes before

SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
226 AM CDT TUE MAY 13 2003

LATEST WV SATL PIX REVEALING POTENT UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM STATIONED OFF
THE WEST COAST INVOF RUSH OF PACIFIC SUB-TROPICAL MOISTURE INTO THE
SOUTHWESTERN CONUS. ACROSS THE PLAINS...MODEST RIDGING WAS IN
PLACE. AT THE SURFACE...UNORGANIZED HIGH PRESSURE COVERED THE MID
SECTION OF THE COUNTRY. SIGNIFICANT MOISTURE WAS CONFINED TO THE
SOUTHERN GULF STATES PER LATEST PRECIP WATER PLOT.

LATEST SWODY1 FROM SPC KEEPS OUR CWA IN A SLGT RISK FOR SEVERE
WEATHER THRU 12Z/14 AS THE LATEST MODELS ADVERTISE A POTENT SHORT
WAVE TO PASS THROUGH THE DAKOTAS LATER THIS AFTER/EVENING...PROMPTING
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TO DEEPEN INVOF SW SD/NW NEB...WITH DEVELOPING
SURFACE WARM FRONT ACROSS THE SD/NEB BORDER AND ASSOCIATED COLD
FRONT EXTENDING SOUTHWEST ALONG THE HIGH PLAINS. SOUTHERLY FLOW IS
EXPECTED TO ADVECT MOISTURE NORTHWARD INTO THE PLAINS THROUGH THE
DAY AS PER MODEL BLYR MOISTURE TRANSPORT VECTORS. LATER THIS
AFTERNOON...THE COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO SWING THROUGH NEB WITH
UNORGANIZED CONVECTION FIRING BY LATE AFTERNOON. STEEP 700MB-500MB
LAPSE RATES SUGGEST LARGE HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS MAIN THREAT.

THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN POSSIBLE LATE THURSDAY NIGHT OVER THE PLAINS WITH
LEFT OVER SHOWERS FRIDAY MORNING. MODELS DEPICT ANOTHER POTENT SHORT
WAVE...BUT SHOW IT PASSING QUITE SOUTH OF THE AREA. SLGT POPS
PROBABLY MOST REASONABLE FOR NOW.

OTHERWISE...DRY THROUGH THE WEEKEND WITH MORE POPS DAY 7 AS MODELS
ADVERTISE A STALLED BOUNDARY ACROSS THE REGION.

.GID...NONE.

DEE

Hazardous weather outlook, May 13, 5:00 AM CDT, 53 minutes before

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-141200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
500 AM CDT TUE MAY 13 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORM ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP AFTER 4 PM
ACROSS THE AREA. THUNDERSTORMS WILL BECOME MORE ORGANIZED THIS
EVENING...WITH SOME STORMS BECOMING SEVERE. THE MAIN HAZARDS WILL
BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS.

A FRONTAL BOUNDARY IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THROUGH NEBRASKA AND KANSAS
BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AS THE ATMOSPHERE BECOMES MORE UNSTABLE DUE
TO DAYTIME HEATING AND SOUTHERLY WINDS PULLING GULF MOISTURE INTO THE
REGION. THIS WILL ALLOW A FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR THUNDERSTORM
DEVELOPMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS ANTICIPATED FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THE EVENING HOURS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.

DEE

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 13, 4:43 AM CDT, 1 hour 10 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
430 PM CDT THU MAY 13 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0428 AM    PLAINVILLE               KS    1.75 INCH HAIL
05/13/03   ROOKS                          PUBLIC REPORT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 13, 4:22 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Rooks	38 min
May 13, 5:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Rooks	29 min
May 13, 5:58 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Osborne, Smith	47 min
May 13, 6:45 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Phillips, Smith	45 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.