Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 281, NWS Hastings, NE

September 10, 2003Mitchell County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 10, 2003, 11:03 PM CDT for Mitchell County, Kansas. It was in force for 42 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 10, 2003, 11:03 PM CDT (04:03 UTC)
Expired
Sep 10, 2003, 11:45 PM CDT
In force
42 min
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Mitchell County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 105 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Sep 10, 7:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 4.1 hours before the alert went out and 215 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2003-09-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 102 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 2003-09-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 25 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
102 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-186 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1821 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
25 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
187 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KGID 110403
SVRGID
KSC123-110445-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1103 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  MITCHELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 1145 PM CDT

* AT 1059 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ASHERVILLE...OR ABOUT 25
  MILES SOUTHWEST OF CONCORDIA...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 30 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  SIMPSON AT 1110 PM CDT...
  SCOTTSVILLE AT 1115 PM CDT...

PEOPLE IN MITCHELL COUNTY SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY STRUCTURE
AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

DAMAGING THUNDERSTORM WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL THE
SIZE OF GOLFBALLS ARE LIKELY.

LAT...LON 3948 9839 3923 9831 3932 9758 3960 9768
$$
AWJ

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 10, 8:27 PM CDT, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 8:27 PM CDT, 2 hours 36 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
827 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

BASED OFF OF LATEST RADAR AND SURFACE REPORTS OF 2-3 INCH RAINFALL
AMOUNTS ALREADY PRESENT OVER YORK...CLAY...FILLMORE...NUCKOLLS AND
THAYER COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA AS WELL AS SMITH...JEWELL...OSBORNE AND
MITCHELL COUNTIES IN KANSAS...WENT AHEAD AND ISSUED FLOOD WATCH
UNTIL 6 AM.  UPDATED FORECAST TO MENTION NEW SEVERE WATCH AS WELL.
NO OTHER CHANGES MADE AT THIS TIME.

.GID...FLOOD WATCH SOUTHEAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM YORK
       TO KENSINGTON.

AWJ
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 10, 7:17 PM CDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-111200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
717 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS ALL OF SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT.  TWO MAIN
AREAS OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE OUTLOOK
AREA OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.  THE FIRST LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EAST OF A LINE EXTENDING FROM CENTRAL CITY IN MERRICK COUNTY NEBRASKA
TO PHILLIPSBURG IN PHILLIPS COUNTY KANSAS...WILL CONTINUE TO SLIDE
EAST THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.  LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND
FLASH FLOODING WILL REMAIN THE BIGGEST THREAT WITH THIS LINE OF
STORMS ALTHOUGH ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.

AS A STRONG COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE AREA THIS EVENING A SECOND LINE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IS EXPECTED TO EVOLVE OVER THE NORTHWESTERN HALF OF
THE OUTLOOK AREA. THIS LINE WILL PUSH RAPIDLY EAST ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS BEFORE EXITING THE AREA
DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL AND SOME
FLASH FLOODING WILL POSE THE BIGGEST THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER ALONG THE COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY THURSDAY...
MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 14...HOWEVER CHANCES DIMINISH BEHIND THE FRONT
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...BEFORE A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS WILL BE NEEDED THROUGH THE EVENING AND EARLY
OVERNIGHT HOURS ACROSS ALL OF THE OUTLOOK AREA.

AWJ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 10, 8:31 PM CDT, 2 hours 32 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
831 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0655 PM    SHICKLEY                  NE   .75 INCH HAIL
09/10/03   FILLMORE

0707 PM    4 N BURR OAK              KS   65 MPH TSTM GUST
09/10/03   JEWELL                         REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

0724 PM    CARLETON                  NE   60 MPH TSTM GUST
09/10/03   THAYER                         REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.
Local storm report, Sep 10, 8:58 PM CDT, 2 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
858 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0845 PM    GLEN ELDER                KS   80 MPH TSTM GUST
09/10/03   MITCHELL                       REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT
                                          OFFICIAL...MANY TREE
                                          LIMBS DOWN AROUND TOWN.
Special weather statement, Sep 10, 9:14 PM CDT, 1 hour 49 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-110500-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
914 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

...HEAVY RAIN OVERNIGHT...

WIDESPREAD RAIN AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT AS
THUNDERSTORMS TRAIN ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL
KANSAS.  THE STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT AND UPPER
LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WHICH WILL GRADUALLY PUSH EAST TONIGHT.

A FLOOD WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM FOR YORK...CLAY...FILLMORE...
NUCKOLLS AND THAYER COUNTIES IN NEBRASKA...AND FOR SMITH...JEWELL...
OSBORNE...AND MITCHELL COUNTIES IN KANSAS.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES HAVE BEEN REPORTED IN FILLMORE AND THAYER COUNTIES AS OF 9
PM.

THE SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO EXPAND ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS OVERNIGHT.
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL OF 1 TO 3 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.  THE
RECENT DRY CONDITIONS SHOULD PRECLUDE WIDESPREAD FLOODING OUTSIDE OF
THE FLOOD WATCH AREA.  HOWEVER...DITCHES...CREEKS AND
STREAMS WILL FILL RAPIDLY...AND CONSIDERABLE LOW LAND AND URBAN
FLOODING IS POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT.

PEOPLE LIVING IN LOW LYING AREAS SHOULD MONITORED THE WATER
SITUATION AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTION IF FLOODING IS OBSERVED.
MOTORISTS SHOULD BE EXTRA CAUTIOUS ON AREA ROADWAYS...AND BE ON THE
LOOKOUT FOR WATER PONDING OR FLOWING OVER THE ROAD.

THE RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO END FROM WEST TO EAST AROUND DAYBREAK
THURSDAY.

FAY/T
Local storm report, Sep 10, 9:48 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
948 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0940 PM    4 S GENEVA                NE   FLOOD
09/10/03   FILLMORE                       COUNTY DEPUTIES HAVE
                                          BLOCKED HWY 81 DUE TO
                                          WATER OVER THE ROAD.
                                          REPORTED BY EMERGENCY
                                          MANAGEMENT.
Local storm report, Sep 10, 10:10 PM CDT, 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1010 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1000 PM    2 SW CARLETON             NE   FLOOD
09/10/03   THAYER                         RAINFALL MEASURES OVER
                                          5 INCHES.  WATER OVER
                                          RURAL ROADS. REPORTED
                                          BY COOPERATIVE OBSERVER.
Local storm report, Sep 10, 10:19 PM CDT, 44 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1019 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1000 PM    6 S BELOIT                KS   FLOOD
09/10/03   MITCHELL                       WATER COVERING KS
                                          HIGHWAY 14 AND THE
                                          WATER OVER THE HIGHWAY
                                          EXTENDS FOR SEVERAL
                                          MILES.  A BRIDGE MAY BE
                                          WASHED OUT. REPORTED
                                          BY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 10, 7:09 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell66 min
Sep 10, 8:21 PM CDTTornado WarningGIDOsborne39 min
Sep 10, 8:32 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell43 min
Sep 10, 9:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDMitchell60 min
Sep 10, 9:25 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGIDMitchell6 hr
Sep 10, 11:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningGIDOsborne6 hr

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.