Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 270, NWS Hastings, NE

September 10, 2003Osborne County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 10, 2003, 6:33 PM CDT for Osborne County, Kansas. It was in force for 27 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Sep 10, 2003, 6:33 PM CDT (23:33 UTC)
Expired: Sep 10, 2003, 7:00 PM CDT
In force: 27 min
Issued by: NWS Hastings, NE
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Osborne County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 104 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Sep 10, 1:55 PM CDT	Tornado Watch	SPC	6 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Dodge City, (KDDC), launched 12:00Z, 11.6 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 563 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -194 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 877 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 40 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 263 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 292 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 1.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KGID 102333
SVRGID
KSC141-110000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
633 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  OSBORNE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 700 PM CDT

* AT 629 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 8 MILES SOUTHWEST OF OSBORNE...OR ABOUT 40
  MILES SOUTHEAST OF PHILLIPSBURG...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  OSBORNE AT 640 PM CDT...
  PORTIS AT 645 PM CDT...
  DOWNS AT 655 PM CDT...

PEOPLE IN NORTHEASTERN OSBORNE COUNTY SHOULD SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY
STRUCTURE AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS.

LAT...LON 3940 9889 3952 9873 3955 9849 3932 9850
          3926 9879
$$
10

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 10, 2:29 PM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 10, 2:29 PM CDT, 4 hours 4 minutes before

SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
229 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

SFC MAP THIS AFTN MUCH LIKE YDA. INTENSE SFC LOW CNTR OVR WRN SD
W/TRAILING COLD FNT INTO NE CO AND SECONDARY WV IN REFLECTION OF
STG UPR TROF CROSSING DIVIDE ATTM. MID LVL DRY SLOT OVERTOPPING CWA
IN WAKE OF MORNING SW MOVING INTO MN ATTM.

FOREMOST SHRT TERM CONCERN CONTS W/SVR CONVN CHCS LT THIS AFTN AND
FIRST HALF OF TONIGHT. TOR WATCH COMING SHORTLY. DESTABILIZATION
GREATLY HAMPERED SO FAR TKS TO GRUNGE SC CLD LYR BUT ERODING QUICKLY
ESP SW IN BTWN JET STREAKS. EMERGING JET STREAK EMANATING FM SE CO
AND DVLPG ACCAS FIELD NR KDEN/KAKR A SIGN OF THINGS TO COME. LACK OF
INHIBITION AND INCREASING LG SCALE UVV/S SHLD KEEP DISCRETE SUPERCELL
WINDOW SHRT W/PRIMARY EVENT TIED TO SURGING COLD FRONT AND LIKELY LG
LINEAR SEGMENT ALG IT. COULD BE QUITE A WIND EVENT AND NOT DOUBT A
TOR THREAT GIVEN MAGNITUDE OF SHEAR/LOW LFC/S AND DEEP BL MSTR. 0-1KM
BTR ATTM OVR ERN NE BUT SUSPECT LL FLW TO REALLY BACK AS CO WV AND
ASSOCD JET STREAK DUMBBELL OUT LTR THIS AFTN. AS SUCH...CAT POPS IN
ORDER OVERNIGHT.

FOR THU...HOLD OVER RISK OF MORE RAIN INVOF OF MID LVL TROF AND
KEPT POPS IN MOST OF DAY ACRS CWA...HWVR CLRG XPCD LT AS SYS PINCHES
SWD INTO SRN PLAINS AND LG SCALE SUBSIDENCE OVERSPREADS CWA BEHIND
CO WV. EWD EXTENT OF CLRG LINE BIT TRICKY ON FRI AS UPR LOW CLOSES
OFF OVR TX PANHANDLE WHICH MAY HAVE AN IMPACT ON MAX TEMPS SE CWA
AND MORE SO ON SAT. CONTINUITY HERE LACKING AS UPSTREAM KICKER
DROPPING OUT OF SW CANADA NOW MUCH SLWR. GLARING CONSENSUS AT THIS
POINT IS TO KEEP UPR SYS STACKED TO OUR SW WHICH WOULD WRAP AT LEAST
MID LVL MSTR BACK INTO AREA AND WARRANT A SLGT POP IN ADV OF
SECONDARY COLD FRONT THEN. SLIP IN TIMING NECESSITATES SOME
ADJUSTMENT IN TEMPS SAT BUT OTHERWISE COOLING TREND ON TRACK THROUGH
SUN.

.GID...NONE.

T

Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 10, 12:00 PM CDT, 6 hours 33 minutes before

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-111200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1200 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS THROUGH TONIGHT. ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THIS AFTERNOON MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY
281 AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE MOVES INTO NORTHEASTERN NEBRASKA.
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS WILL REDEVELOP AREA
WIDE NEAR A PRE FRONTAL TROUGH THAT RUNS FROM SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH
DAKOTA...THROUGH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...AND INTO CENTRAL KANSAS. WARM
MOIST SURFACE AIR STREAMING INTO THE EASTERN HALF OF KANSAS AND
NEBRASKA...TOGETHER WITH STRONG UPPER LEVEL WIND SHEAR WILL HELP
SUPPORT STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THE OUTLOOK AREA...ESPECIALLY
EAST OF HIGHWAY 183...WITH LARGE HAIL...STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...AND
ISOLATED TORNADOES A POSSIBILITY THROUGH 9 PM. THE AREA WITH THE
GREATEST TORNADO THREAT WILL LIE TO THE NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80 AND
EAST OF HIGHWAY 281.

LATER THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...MULTIPLE STORMS WILL GROUP
TOGETHER INTO A LINE OF STORMS...MOVING WITH OR JUST AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT THAT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE REGION OUT OF NORTHWESTERN
NEBRASKA. THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BRING PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN...
LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS AS THEY MOVE EASTWARD THROUGH
THE FORECAST AREA OVERNIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THUNDERSTORMS WILL LINGER ALONG THE COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY THURSDAY...
MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 14...HOWEVER CHANCES DIMINISH BEHIND THE FRONT
BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. DRY AND COOL WEATHER IS FORECAST THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...BEFORE A SLOW WARMING TREND NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

STORM SPOTTERS MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING...
AND SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR RAPID DEPLOYMENT IF SEVERE APPROACHES
THEIR AREA.

10

In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 10, 5:37 PM CDT, 56 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
537 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0444 PM    2 S STOCKTON              KS   1.75 INCH HAIL
09/10/03   ROOKS                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

0505 PM    AGRA                      KS   .75 INCH HAIL
09/10/03   PHILLIPS                       REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

0520 PM    4 SW BLOOMINGTON          NE   1.75 INCH HAIL
09/10/03   FRANKLIN                       REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

Local storm report, Sep 10, 5:49 PM CDT, 44 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
549 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0538 PM    3 SSE ATHOL               KS   60 MPH TSTM GUST
09/10/03   SMITH                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

Local storm report, Sep 10, 5:59 PM CDT, 34 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
559 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0552 PM    SMITH CENTER              KS   61 MPH TSTM GUST
09/10/03   SMITH                          REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

Local storm report, Sep 10, 6:09 PM CDT, 24 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
609 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0605 PM    SMITH CENTER              KS   WIND DAMAGE
09/10/03   SMITH                          TREE LIMBS AND POWER
                                          LINES DOWNED. REPORTED
                                          BY LAW ENFORCEMENT
                                          OFFICIAL.

Local storm report, Sep 10, 6:18 PM CDT, 15 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
618 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0615 PM    DAMAR                     KS   1.75 INCH HAIL
09/10/03   ROOKS                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT OFFICIAL.

Local storm report, Sep 10, 6:31 PM CDT, 2 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
631 PM CDT WED SEP 10 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0625 PM    DAVENPORT                 NE   1 INCH HAIL
09/10/03   THAYER                         REPORTED BY STORM
                                          SPOTTER.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Sep 10, 4:28 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Rooks	47 min
Sep 10, 4:43 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Rooks	32 min
Sep 10, 4:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Phillips	54 min
Sep 10, 4:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Osborne, Smith	63 min
Sep 10, 5:12 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Phillips	48 min
Sep 10, 5:26 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Rooks	64 min
Sep 10, 5:46 PM CDT	Tornado Warning	GID	Smith	44 min
Sep 10, 6:08 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	52 min
Sep 10, 6:57 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Osborne	33 min
Sep 10, 6:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	GID	Jewell	61 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.