Alert archive / Kansas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 229, NWS Hastings, NE

July 16, 2003Jewell County, Kansas

NWS Hastings, NE issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 16, 2003, 6:47 PM CDT for Jewell County, Kansas. It was in force for 58 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 16, 2003, 6:47 PM CDT (23:47 UTC)
Expired
Jul 16, 2003, 7:45 PM CDT
In force
58 min
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Jewell County, KS

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 50 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 223 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2003-07-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2003-07-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 74 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2113 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

482 
WUUS53 KGID 162347
SVRGID
KSC089-170045-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
647 PM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN HASTINGS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  JEWELL COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS

* UNTIL 745 PM CDT

* AT 638 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS
  OF 60 MPH.  THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR BURR OAK...OR ABOUT 41
  MILES NORTHWEST OF CONCORDIA...AND MOVING EAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  6 MILES NORTH OF MANKATO AT 655 PM CDT...
  WEBBER... AND LOVEWELL STATE PARK AT 740 PM CDT...

LAT...LON 3991 9846 3974 9837 3985 9789 4008 9800

$$
T

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 16, 3:06 PM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 16, 3:06 PM CDT, 3 hours 41 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA/NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
306 PM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

CHANCES FOR PRECIP TONIGHT...TOMORROW NIGHT AND AGAIN ON SUNDAY AND
THEN TEMPS ARE CONCERNS FOR THIS FORECAST PACKAGE.

WEAK WAVES COMING OVER RIDGE WILL BRING CHANCES FOR PRECIP THROUGH
THE WEEKEND.  FIRST WILL BE TONIGHT.  EXPECT A FEW STORM TO DEVELOP
TO THE NORTH...THEN MOVE TO THE SOUTHEAST.  BEST CHANCES WILL BE IN
THE NORTH AND EASTERN SECTIONS.  OTHERWISE TONIGHT WILL BE CLEAR TO
PARTLY CLOUDY.

MODELS SOMEWHAT HAVING HARD TIME PICKING OUT WHERE SURFACE
LOW/BOUNDARY TO SET UP.  EXPECT IT TO SET UP IN THE AREA TOMORROW BUT
WITH GOOD CAPPING IN PLACE...CHANCES FOR STORMS WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL
EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  ANOTHER HOT DAY EXPECTED THURSDAY WITH TEMPS
IN THE UPPER 90S TO 103.

UPPER RIDGE HOLDS TIGHT UNTIL NEXT SIGNIFICANT WAVE MOVES INTO
CENTRAL CANADA DURING THE WEEKEND.  THIS ALLOWS RIDGE TO SLIDE BACK
TO THE WEST AND THE WAVE WILL HEAD SOUTHEAST.  THIS WILL BRING
ANOTHER SMALL CHANCE FOR STORMS TO THE AREA ON SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY.

WITH UPPER RIDGE OVER THE AREA TEMPS TO REMAIN WARM TO HOT.  SOME
COOLING IN THE NORTHEASTERN ZONES AS SURFACE BOUNDARY SETS UP.  BUT
TEMPS TO STILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOWER 90S IN THAT AREA.
WITH READINGS FROM 95 TO 100 CONTINUING TO THE SOUTH.  DRY
CONDITIONS TO PREVAIL FOR THE START OF THE WEEK.

.GID...NONE.

KISNER
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 16, 11:07 AM CDT, 7 hours 40 minutes before
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-171200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1107 AM CDT WED JUL 16 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND
PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON ACROSS
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS.  SLIGHT CHANCES FOR
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE THIS EVENING MAINLY NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80...
AND OVERNIGHT EAST OF HIGHWAY 281.  AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
MOVING EAST ACROSS NEBRASKA WILL CAUSE THE STORMS TO DEVELOP.  THE
STORMS WILL MOVE TO THE EAST SOUTHEAST...AND A FEW STORMS MAY
PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS...BUT SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

ALTHOUGH AN OVERALL HOT AND DRY PATTERN CONTINUES THROUGH THE WEEK...
INTERMITTENT SMALL CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORMS REMAIN POSSIBLE.
THE WEATHER PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ACTIVE OVER THE WEEKEND AS THE
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE SHIFTS TO THE WEST.  THIS WILL
ALLOW FOR A BRIEF REPRIEVE FROM THE HEAT...AND SLIGHTLY INCREASED
CHANCES FOR THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.  A FEW STORMS COULD BE STRONG OR
SEVERE THIS WEEKEND...ALTHOUGH WIDESPREAD SEVERE WEATHER IS NOT
EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.  DRY WEATHER IS FORECAST EARLY NEXT WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL NOT BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON OR TONIGHT.

FAY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 16, 3:31 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGIDPhillips44 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Kansas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.