Severe Thunderstorm Warning 378, NWS Fort Worth, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
239 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2003

TROPICAL MOISTURE AND HEATING RESULTED IN SCATTERED CONVECTION OVER
THE AREA...MORE WIDESPREAD IN THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON. WITH THE
LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING...PRECIP SHOULD DECREASE THIS EVENING AS
EASTERLY WAVE CONTINUES TO MOVE WESTWARD. ALTHOUGH BULK OF
INSTABILITY WILL MOVE WEST OF CWA...MOIST AIRMASS TO REMAIN IN
PLACE...GIVING US A SOME CHANCE OF CONVECTION EACH AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR SEVERAL MORE DAYS...ALTHOUGH NOT AS WIDESPREAD AS
TODAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL ONLY MODERATE SLIGHTLY...BUT STILL JUST
ABOVE NORMAL.

THE NEXT BEST CHANCE FOR RAIN COMES MID WEEK AS A COLD FRONT MOVES
INTO THE REGION.  THIS IS ENHANCED BY THE PROSPECT OF LARGE SCALE
CHANGES AS THE RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN U.S. BREAKS DOWN AND THE
WESTERLIES PUSH SOUTH. WHILE THIS DOES NOT SIGNIFY THE END OF
SUMMER...IT DOES SHOW THAT WE ARE BEGINNING TO ENTER A TIME OF
CHANGE IN THE SEASONS...AND HOPEFULLY A RETURN TO WETTER CONDITIONS.

GENERALLY SPEAKING...THE FORECAST SHOWS PERSISTENCE FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL DAYS WITH A CHANGE TO COOLER TEMPS AND SLIGHTLY HIGHER POPS
THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK.

OVERALL...MOS NUMBERS WERE CLOSE AND ONLY MINOR CHANGES WERE MADE IN
BOTH POPS AND TEMPS.

FCSTID =   42
DFW   75  98  75  97 /  20  20  20  20
ACT   73  96  73  96 /  60  30  30  30
PRX   73  96  74  97 /  20  20  20  20
DTO   75  98  75  98 /  20  20  20  20
TKI   75  98  76  97 /  20  20  20  20
DAL   76  98  76  97 /  20  20  20  20
TRL   75  97  75  96 /  20  20  20  20
CRS   74  96  74  96 /  40  30  30  30
TPL   73  96  73  95 /  60  30  30  30

.FWD...
TX...NONE.

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-230930-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
300 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
ISOLATED SEVERE STORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS EVENING. THE MAIN SEVERE
WEATHER THREAT WILL BE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE IS A CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS...MAINLY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING... SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY. ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
LIMITED SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED THROUGH 700 PM THIS
EVENING.

75

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
203 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0150 PM    1 E HAMILTON              TX   WIND DAMAGE
08/22/03   HAMILTON                       SIGNIFICANT TREE DAMAGE
                                          AND TREES DOWN IN EASTERN
                                          PART OF CITY OF HAMILTON.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW ENFORCEMENT

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
223 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2003

..DELAYED REPORT FROM STORMS THURSDAY...

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0945 PM    GAINESVILLE               TX   61 MPH TSTM GUST
08/21/03   COOKE                          DOWNBURST FROM SHORTLIVED
                                          STORM

ROBBINS

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
349 PM CDT FRI AUG 22 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0320 PM    GOLDTHWAITE               TX   WND DAMAGE.. LIMBS DOWN
08/22/03   MILLS                          IN GOLDTHWAITE REPORTED BY
                                          LAW ENFORCEMENT