Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 296, NWS Fort Worth, TX

June 14, 2003Palo Pinto County, Texas

NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 14, 2003, 9:17 PM CDT for Palo Pinto County, Texas. It was in force for 58 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 14, 2003, 9:17 PM CDT (02:17 UTC)
Expired: Jun 14, 2003, 10:15 PM CDT
In force: 58 min
Issued by: NWS Fort Worth, TX
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Palo Pinto County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 91 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:21 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Fort Worth, TX (KFWD), launched 00:00Z, 2.3 hours before the alert went out and 95 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 1771 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -5 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1102 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: -22 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 13 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: -1.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

954 
WUUS54 KFWD 150217
SVRFTW
TXC363-150315-

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
916 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN FORT WORTH HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  PALO PINTO COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 916 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR DETECTED A 
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 10 MILES NORTHWEST OF STRAWN MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 
25 MPH.  ANOTHER STRONG STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR SANTO AND A THIRD 
STORM WILL MOVE INTO NORTHERN PALO PINTO COUNTY NEAR AND EAST OF 
GRAFORD.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
STRAWN AND MINGUS AROUND 930 PM CDT

HAIL TO THE SIZE OF GOLFBALLS IS LIKELY. FOR YOUR PROTECTION MOVE TO
A STURDY SHELTER AND STAY AWAY FROM WINDOWS UNTIL THE STORM PASSES.

LAT...LON 3253 9807 3253 9831 3264 9856 3283 9856
          3267 9807

$$

07/BB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 14, 3:15 PM CDT, 6 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 14, 3:15 PM CDT, 6 hours 2 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
315 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2003

THIS AFTERNOON REMAINS QUIET RELATIVE TO WHAT WEVE SEEN DURING THE
LAST FEW DAYS. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORMING BETWEEN
THE METROPLEX AND PARIS...WITH MORE WIDESPREAD STORMS OVER
SOUTHERN OKLAHOMA. THE STEERING FLOW IS NOT TERRIBLY STRONG...
WHICH WILL LIMIT OVERALL COVERAGE. WILL KEEP THE HIGHEST POPS
TONIGHT ACROSS THE NORTHEAST...40-50 PERCENT...AND LEAVE
30S ELSEWHERE. WE WILL CONTINUE TO SEE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS...WITH THE HIGHEST POPS NEAR THE UPPER
TROUGH WHICH WILL SLOWLY SWING SOUTHEASTWARD FROM SOUTHWESTERN
OKLAHOMA INTO WESTERN LOUISIANA/EAST TEXAS DURING THE NEXT 72
HOURS.

FCSTID =   58
DFW   66  86  67  87 /  30  30  20  30
ACT   67  85  65  88 /  30  40  30  30
PRX   68  84  66  86 /  50  40  30  30
DTO   66  85  66  87 /  30  30  20  30
TKI   67  85  67  87 /  40  30  20  30
DAL   68  87  69  87 /  30  30  20  30
TRL   68  85  69  87 /  40  40  20  30
CRS   67  86  68  87 /  30  40  30  30
TPL   67  86  66  89 /  30  40  30  30

.FWD...NONE.

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 14, 3:45 PM CDT, 5 hours 32 minutes before

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-150900-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
345 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTH TEXAS TONIGHT.
ALTHOUGH AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM COULD PRODUCE HAIL TO DIME SIZE...
OR A WIND GUST TO 60 MILES AN HOUR...NO ORGANIZED SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH TUESDAY AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.  A WEAK UPPER
LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARY OVER TEXAS.
THIS SYSTEM WILL TRIGGER WIDELY SCATTERED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE REGION...BUT NO ORGANIZED SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT
THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 14, 8:32 PM CDT, 45 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
832 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0830 PM    6 NW PALO PINTO           TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/14/03   PALO PINTO                     REPORTED BY SPOTTER

Local storm report, Jun 14, 8:42 PM CDT, 35 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
842 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0840 PM    BRYSON                    TX   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/14/03   JACK                           BRIEFED LAW ENFORCEMENT

Local storm report, Jun 14, 8:46 PM CDT, 31 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
846 PM CDT SAT JUN 14 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0843 PM    PALO PINTO                TX   1.75 INCH HAIL
06/14/03   PALO PINTO                     REPORTED BY SPOTTER

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 14, 8:16 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Palo Pinto	44 min
Jun 14, 8:43 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Jack	47 min
Jun 14, 10:04 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Erath	56 min
Jun 14, 11:00 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Erath	45 min
Jun 14, 11:23 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Eastland	52 min
Jun 14, 11:59 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Erath	61 min
Jun 15, 1:30 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Bosque	60 min
Jun 15, 1:45 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Hamilton	60 min
Jun 15, 2:10 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Hill	65 min
Jun 15, 2:18 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Lampasas	42 min
Jun 15, 2:37 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	McLennan	53 min
Jun 15, 3:01 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Limestone	59 min
Jun 15, 4:44 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Bell	61 min
Jun 15, 5:57 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	FWD	Bell	63 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.