Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS Grand Forks, ND

June 21, 2003Polk County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 21, 2003, 10:46 PM CDT for Polk County, Minnesota. It was in force for 44 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 21, 2003, 10:46 PM CDT (03:46 UTC)
Expired
Jun 21, 2003, 11:30 PM CDT
In force
44 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Polk County, MN

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 103 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 03:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 21, 6:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC7 hr

The nearest sounding before it

International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 00:00Z, 3.8 hours before the alert went out and 222 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2003-06-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, International Fa, MN at 00:00Z on 2003-06-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 84 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1935 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
84 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

497 
WUUS53 KFGF 220346
SVRFGF
MNC119-220430-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1045 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  SOUTHEASTERN POLK COUNTY IN NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

* UNTIL 1130 PM CDT.

* AT 1042 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THE
  LEADING EDGE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 26
  MILES SOUTH OF THIEF RIVER FALLS TO 42 MILES SOUTH OF THIEF RIVER
  FALLS...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE EAST AT 35 MPH.

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...

  MCINTOSH AT 1050 PM...
  FOSSTON AT 1055 PM...
  OLGA AT 1100 PM AND
  GULLY AT 1105 PM.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 AM SUNDAY
MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA AND EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4775 9620 4752 9620 4752 9559 4776 9562

$$

DK/8

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 21, 8:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 21, 8:55 PM CDT, 1 hour 51 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
855 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2003

MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGE IS SVR WEATHER. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY
SHOWS LARGE AREA OF CONVECTION MOVING FROM CENTRAL ND INTO E ND.
LATEST MSAS SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS SURFACE LOW CENTERED S OF MBG WITH
TROF EXTENDING THROUGH E ND ALONG A DVL TO JMS LINE. ETA AND GFS
BOTH INITIALIZED PRETTY CLOSE. AREA REMAINS UNDER GUN FOR SEVERE
WEATHER THROUGH THE NIGHT AS TROF CONTINUES MOVING SLOWLY E
OVERNIGHT. CURRENT SEVERE WEATHER REPORTS HAVE HAD WINDS UP TO 70
MPH AND HAIL UP TO 1.5 INCHES...WITH STORMS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO A
MORE MOIST ENVIRONMENT AND INTERACT WITH SHORTWAVE THAT IS PUSHING
INTO AREA. CONSEQUENTLY...WATCH UNTIL 2 AM LOOKS GOOD. AS FAR AS
WIND ADVISORY...A FEW SITES STILL GUSTING TO AROUND 35 MPH...BUT
WITH SEVERE WEATHER MAIN CONCERN...WILL LET WIND ADVISORY EXPIRE AT
9 PM CDT. ALL IN ALL...FORECAST IN PRETTY GOOD SHAPE WITH ONLY MINOR
CHANGES NEEDED.

.FGF...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH ALL BUT FAR E COUNTIES UNTIL 2 AM
CDT.

NG
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 21, 5:47 AM CDT, 16 hours 59 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-211400-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
547 AM CDT SAT JUN 21 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS ALL OF EASTERN
NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY. SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP BY 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON IN EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...THEN MOVE EAST INTO MINNESOTA
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS...ALTHOUGH THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR A FEW ISOLATED
TORNADOES LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA AND EXTREME NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. IN ADDITION
...SOME THUNDERSTORMS MAY PRODUCE LOCALIZED HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS EASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA ON SUNDAY. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ON SUNDAY ALONG AND SOUTH OF A LIDGERWOOD TO
WAHPETON TO WADENA LINE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WIND...WITH ISOLATED TORNADOES IN THE MODERATE RISK AREA.
THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH SUNDAY MORNING...BUT ONCE AGAIN
DEVELOP EARLY SUNDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS THE ENTIRE REGION AND PERSIST
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT. HEAVY RAIN IS ONCE AGAIN POSSIBLE...WHICH MAY
CAUSE LOCALIZED FLOODING...ESPECIALLY TO AREAS RECEIVING HEAVY RAIN
ON SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT.

THERE IS THE CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE REGION MONDAY NIGHT
AND TUESDAY...THEN AGAIN ON FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT ACROSS THE AREA.

KELLENBENZ

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 21, 9:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 26 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
920 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0855 PM    FINLEY                    ND   .75 INCH HAIL
06/21/03   STEELE                         REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

MML
Local storm report, Jun 21, 9:47 PM CDT, 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
947 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0942 PM    GRAND FORKS               ND   67 MPH WIND GUST
06/21/03   GRAND FORKS                    REPORTED AT NWS FGF.

0945 PM    GRAND FORKS               ND   WIND DAMAGE
06/21/03   GRAND FORKS                    LARGE TREES DOWN. REPORTED
                                          BY OFF DUTY NWS EMPLOYEE.

NG
Local storm report, Jun 21, 9:59 PM CDT, 47 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
959 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0927 PM    3 N ARVILLA               ND   WIND DAMAGE
06/21/03   GRAND FORKS                    3 INCH TREE LIMBS DOWN AT
                                          TURTLE RIVER STATE PARK.
                                          REPORTED BY HAM RADIO
                                          OPERATOR.

NG
Local storm report, Jun 21, 10:04 PM CDT, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1004 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0941 PM    8 W GRAND FORKS           ND   58 MPH WIND GUST
06/21/03   GRAND FORKS                    REPORTED BY ASOS AT GRAND
                                          FORKS AIRPORT.

NG
Local storm report, Jun 21, 10:10 PM CDT, 36 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1010 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0950 PM    2 SW GRANDIN              ND   1.00 INCH HAIL
06/21/03   CASS                           REPORTED BY PUBLIC.

NG
Local storm report, Jun 21, 10:30 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1030 PM CDT SAT JUN 21 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0835 PM    VALLEY CITY               ND   WIND DAMAGE
06/21/03   BARNES                         TREES AND LARGE LIMBS DOWN
                                          AS WELL AS POWER OUTAGES.
                                          REPORTED BY LAW
                                          ENFORCEMENT.

NG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 21, 9:37 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPolk23 min
Jun 21, 9:54 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClay, Norman51 min
Jun 21, 10:01 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPolk, Red Lake44 min
Jun 21, 10:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFPennington40 min
Jun 21, 10:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFMahnomen41 min
Jun 22, 5:48 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrant42 min
Jun 22, 6:03 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningFGFClay, Wilkin12 hr
Jun 22, 6:24 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClearwater36 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.