Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 180, NWS Grand Forks, ND

September 16, 2003Barnes County, North Dakota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Sep 16, 2003, 11:56 PM CDT for Barnes County, North Dakota. It was in force for 49 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 16, 2003, 11:56 PM CDT (04:56 UTC)
Expired
Sep 17, 2003, 12:45 AM CDT
In force
49 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Barnes County, ND

The radar

The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 81 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 00:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 208 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2003-09-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 156 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Bismarck Municip, ND at 00:00Z on 2003-09-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 181 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
156 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-188 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2040 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
181 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
436 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 170456
SVRFGF
NDC003-170545-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1156 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  EASTERN BARNES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA

* UNTIL 1245 AM CDT.

* AT 1150 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTHWEST OF VALLEY CITY...MOVEMENT WAS
  TO THE NORTHEAST AT 40 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...

  VALLEY CITY AT 1155 PM AND
  ORISKA AT 1205 AM.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4690 9820 4677 9801 4692 9773 4723 9773

$$

VOELKER/04

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Sep 16, 8:35 PM CDT, 3 hours 21 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 16, 8:35 PM CDT, 3 hours 21 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
835 PM CDT TUE SEP 16 2003

FORECAST CHALLENGE CONCERNS PCPN CHANCES AND TEMPERATURES.

BROAD PRESSURE FALLS OVER ND AHEAD OF SURFACE LOW CURRENTLY OVER
WESTERN SD. ASSOCIATED SURFACE WARM FRONT LIFTING INTO SOUTHERN ND
WITH 60 DEGREE DEWPOINTS NOSING INTO FAR SOUTHERN FA. KMVX-88D VAD
WIND PROFILE INDICATING WIND IN LOWER GATES INCREASING TO 40KT AND
BECOMING MORE SOUTHERLY. SURFACE LOW AND ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT TO
CONTINUE TO LIFT NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT. UPSTREAM KBIS-88D INDICATING
BAND OF SHRA/TSRA LIFTING NE. WITH STRONG ISENTROPIC LIFT AND LOWEST
CONDENSATION PRESSURE DEFICITS OVER FAR NORTH WILL CONTINUE TREND OF
BEST CHANCES FOR ELEVATED CONVECTION THIS AREA OVERNIGHT WITH ISOLD
SEVERE NOT OUT OF THE QUESTION. REGION TO REMAIN IN WARM SECTOR
OVERNIGHT AND WITH CONTINUED MOIST FLUX AND WIND TEMPERATURES TO
HOLD UP. WILL TAKE A LAST LOOK HOWEVER MAY NOSE TEMPERATURES UP
SLIGHTLY ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHERN AREAS.

.FGF...NONE.

VOELEKR
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 16, 6:15 AM CDT, 17 hours 41 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-161400-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
615 AM CDT TUE SEP 16 2003

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS NORTHEASTERN NORTH
DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA LATE TONIGHT...

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY OCCUR AGAIN ON WEDNESDAY ACROSS
NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA...

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT ACROSS
NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. THE MAIN THREAT WILL
BE LARGE HAIL FROM AROUND MIDNIGHT UNTIL 6 AM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON
ACROSS NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND FROM 1 PM UNTIL 7 PM WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER TONIGHT AND AGAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON.

KELLENBENZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 17, 11:38 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFRichland37 min
Sep 17, 4:55 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFGrand Forks, Traill35 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.