Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 149, NWS Grand Forks, ND

July 19, 2003Wadena County, Minnesota

NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 19, 2003, 3:03 PM CDT for Wadena County, Minnesota. It was in force for 12 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 19, 2003, 3:03 PM CDT (20:03 UTC)
Expired
Jul 19, 2003, 3:15 PM CDT
In force
12 min
Issued by
NWS Grand Forks, ND
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Wadena County, MN

The radar

The Duluth radar (KDLH), 184 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:03 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 19, 2:40 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 200 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2003-07-19Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2003-07-19The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 62 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1684 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
62 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KFGF 192003
SVRFGF
MNC159-192015-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
300 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

  EAST CENTRAL WADENA COUNTY IN CENTRAL MINNESOTA.

* UNTIL 315 PM CDT.

* AT 257 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM OVER OYLEN...OR ABOUT 53 MILES EAST OF DETROIT
  LAKES...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THIS STORM WILL AFFECT LOCATIONS AROUND OLYEN AND THEN EXIT THE    
  COUNTY BY 315 PM CDT.

REMEMBER SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES WITH LITTLE OR NO ADVANCE WARNING.

LAT...LON 4669 9476 4655 9492 4621 9433 4641 9412

$$

DTR/06

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 19, 10:30 AM CDT, 4 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 19, 10:30 AM CDT, 4 hours 33 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND
1030 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2003

MAIN CHALLENGE IS CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL THIS AFTN/TONIGHT.

SMALL AREA OF ELEVATED CONVECTION MOVING SOUTHEAST FROM DETROIT
LAKES TO PARK RAPIDS.  OTHERWISE..WEAK SFC TROUGH LOCATED ALONG NR A
HALLOCK-GRAND FORKS-FARGO LINE MOVING SLOWLY EAST.  LOTS OF
INSTABILITY ALONG AND EAST OF THIS TROUGH DUE TO WARM 85H TEMPS WITH
CAPES PROGGED OVER 3000 J/KG AND LI DROPPING TO -8 OR LOWER THIS
AFTN.  TROUGH MOVING EAST INTO MN WHERE CONVECTIVE TEMPS ARE A BIT
LOWER (ETA SOUNDINGS SHOWS PKD CONVECTIVE TEMPS NR 85).  ISOLD TSRA
COULD RE-FIRE ALONG THIS TROUGH IN MN THIS AFTN AND COULD BE
ISOLATED SVR AS WELL.  FZLVL VERY HIGH GENERALLY 14000 TO 14500 EAST
OF TROUGH.

FOR ERN ND...WINDS THIS AFTN WILL BE LIGHT NORTHERLY.  CONVECTIVE
TEMPS IN SE ND WILL BE NEAR 90 AND IN THE MID 80S NORTH. NOT MUCH
FORMED ALONG AND WEST OF TROUGH IN CNTRL ND YESTERDAY SO NOT
EXPECTING MUCH ACTIVITY OVER ERN ND THIS AFTN.  WILL HOWEVER LEAVE
ISOLD TSRA IN FOR LATE THIS AFTN AFTER COORD WITH ABR/BIS JUST IN
CASE SOMETHING CAN BREAK WARM LAYER WITH AFTN HEATING.

WATER VAPOR/RUC ALL SHOWING 80KT 250MB JET MOVING EAST THRU SRN SASK
INTO SRN MANITOBA BY EARLY THIS EVENING.  REAL COOL FRONT WITH DRIER
PUCH BEHIND IT AND ASSOC WITH THIS UPPER LEVEL JET WILL MOVE INTO NW
ND THIS AFTN AND INTO ERN ND OVERNIGHT.  THIS FEATURE WILL HAVE
BETTER CHC FOR SOME CONVECTION AS 85H WARM LAYER DIMINISHES
OVERNIGHT THOUGH INSTABILITES ARE LESS.

WILL CONTINUE MENTION ISOLD SVR THIS AFTN AND WILL INCLUDE THIS
EVENING.  BUT COVERAGE NOT EXPECTED TO BE GREAT.

.FGF...NONE.

RIDDLE
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 19, 11:10 AM CDT, 3 hours 53 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024-
026>030-038-039-049-052>054-191815-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS
1110 AM CDT SAT JUL 19 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...WEST
CENTRAL AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER EASTER
NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA BETWEEN 4 PM TODAY AND 3 AM
TONIGHT.

A WEAK TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE EAST INTO NORTHWESTERN
MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ALONG
THIS TROUGH THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING EAST OF THE RED
RIVER...WITH A FEW OF THESE POSSIBLY SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.  THERE IS ALSO A SMALL CHANCE FOR AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR
EVENING.

THERE IS A GREATER CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TONIGHT ACROSS THE
REGION..A FEW OF THESE MAY BECOME SEVERE AS WELL WITH DAMAGING WINDS
AND LARGE HAIL.  A STRONGER FRONT WILL DROP SOUTHEAST OUT OF CANADA
AND INTO NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND ACROSS EASTERN
NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA OVERNIGHT.  THIS FRONT WILL
HAVE BETTER UPPER LEVEL SUPPORT AND IS EXPECTED TO GIVE A BETTER
CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SUNDAY THROUGH FRIDAY

A FEW THUNDERSTORMS MAY LINGER INTO SUNDAY MORNING ACROSS SOUTHEAST
NORTH DAKOTA AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA.  A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
EXISTS AGAIN LATE THURSDAY INTO FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED AFTER 4 PM TODAY AND THROUGH THE
EVENING.

FOR ADDITIONAL WEATHER INFORMATION, CHECK OUR WEB SITE AT
HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/FGF/INDEX.HTML (ALL LOWER CASE)

RIDDLE

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 19, 12:36 PM CDT, 2 hours 27 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1236 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1210 PM    LAKE ITASCA               MN   .75 INCH HAIL
07/19/03   CLEARWATER                     REPORTED BY CO-OP OBSERVER.

1215 PM    LAKE ITASCA               MN   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/19/03   CLEARWATER                     REPORTED BY LAKE ITASCA
                                          STATE PARK PERSONNEL.

1223 PM    GUTHRIE                   MN   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/19/03   HUBBARD

WJB
Local storm report, Jul 19, 12:48 PM CDT, 2 hours 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1248 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1240 PM    10 NE PARK RAPIDS         MN   1.75 INCH HAIL
07/19/03   HUBBARD

1240 PM    11 NE PARK RAPIDS         MN   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/19/03   HUBBARD

WJB
Local storm report, Jul 19, 12:51 PM CDT, 2 hours 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
1251 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1240 PM    11 NE PARK RAPIDS         MN   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/19/03   HUBBARD

WJB
Local storm report, Jul 19, 1:23 PM CDT, 1 hour 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
123 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0105 PM    5 ENE NEVIS               MN   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/19/03   HUBBARD                        REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

WJB
Local storm report, Jul 19, 2:14 PM CDT, 49 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
214 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0150 PM    6 NW NEVIS                MN   .75 INCH HAIL
07/19/03   HUBBARD                        REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

WJB
Local storm report, Jul 19, 2:21 PM CDT, 42 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND FORKS, ND
221 PM CDT SAT JUL 19 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0215 PM    5 S PARK RAPIDS           MN   1.00 INCH HAIL
07/19/03   HUBBARD                        REPORTED BY TRAINED
                                          SPOTTER.

WJB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 19, 11:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFClearwater, Hubbard46 min
Jul 19, 12:42 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFHubbard33 min
Jul 19, 1:33 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFHubbard57 min
Jul 19, 2:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGFHubbard, Wadena38 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.