Alert archive / Minnesota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003
Severe Thunderstorm Warning 12, NWS Grand Forks, ND
NWS Grand Forks, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at May 29, 2003, 11:49 PM CDT for Beltrami County, Hubbard County, Minnesota. It was in force for 41 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- May 29, 2003, 11:49 PM CDT (04:49 UTC)
- Expired
- May 30, 2003, 12:30 AM CDT
- In force
- 41 min
- Issued by
- NWS Grand Forks, ND
- Area
- Counties, with a storm outline in the text
Counties Beltrami County, MN, Hubbard County, MN
The radar
The Fargo/Grand Forks radar (KMVX), 187 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 04:50 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
Did it verify
Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.
Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.
The watch it was issued in
The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.
| Issued | Product | Office | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 11:30 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Watch | SPC | 6 hr |
The nearest sounding before it
International Fa, MN (KINL), launched 00:00Z, 4.8 hours before the alert went out and 161 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 153 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -8 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2268 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 34 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 60 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.2
The text
As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.
576 WUUS53 KFGF 300449 SVRFGF MNC007-057-300530- BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS 1148 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2003 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN GRAND FORKS HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... SOUTHEASTERN BELTRAMI COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA AND NORTHEASTERN HUBBARD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL MINNESOTA. * UNTIL 1230 AM CDT. * AT 1145 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF PUPOSKY...OR ABOUT 8 MILES NORTH OF BEMIDJI...MOVEMENT WAS TO THE SOUTHEAST AT 30 MPH. * THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR... TURTLE RIVER AT 1155 PM... LAVINIA AT MIDNIGHT AND ROSBY AT 1210 AM. DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...DEADLY LIGHTNING AND TORNADOES ARE ALL POSSIBLE IN SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS. SEEK SHELTER IN A REINFORCED BUILDING IMMEDIATELY. A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 AM FRIDAY MORNING FOR NORTHWESTERN MINNESOTA. LAT...LON 4770 9494 4757 9512 4728 9468 4747 9449 $$ HOPPES
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Grand Forks, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at May 29, 9:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 49 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, May 29, 9:00 PM CDT, 2 hours 49 minutes before
FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS ND 900 PM CDT THU MAY 29 2003 MAIN FORECAST CHALLENGES FOR TONIGHT ARE PRECIPITATION AND WINDS. CURRENT SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS MOSTLY MID TO HIGH CLOUDS OVER AREA. LATEST MSAS SURFACE ANALYSIS HAS DRY LINE EXTENDING THROUGH AREA ALONG A LANGDON-JMS-MBG LINE. ETA AND GFS SIMILAR. DRY LINE CONTINUES MOVING E THROUGH AREA TONIGHT AS SURFACE LOW INTENSIFIES AND DROPS INTO N MN. BY 12Z FRI...SURFACE LOW WELL E OF AREA INTO LK SUPERIOR...WITH STRONG COLD AIR ADVECTION AND DRYING MOVING INTO AREA BEHIND LOW. WITH WINDS UPSTREAM SUSTAINED AROUND 30 MPH AND GUSTING TO AROUND 45 MPH...WILL ISSUE WIND ADVISORY FOR NE ND AND PART OF NW MN FOR TONIGHT. LATER SHIFTS WILL NEED TO DETERMINE IF ADVISORY SHOULD BE EXPANDED IN AREA OR LENGTH. IN ADDITION...CURRENT CONVECTION IN N PART OF AREA HAS BEEN SLOWLY INTENSIFYING...WITH CAP HOLDING SO FAR OVER S PART OF AREA WHICH HAS BETTER CAPES. SWOMCD HAS CAPTURED SITUATION WELL. IN ANY REGARD...STORMS WILL NEED TO BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS TO SEE IF ANY GO SEVERE. ONLY AREA THAT CAN REMOVE POPS AT THIS TIME WILL BE DVL SET. MINOR CHANGES REST OF FORECAST. .FGF...WIND ADVISORY FOR PARTS NE ND AND NW MN TONIGHT. NG
Hazardous weather outlook, May 29, 6:33 AM CDT, 17 hours 16 minutes before
MNZ001>009-013>017-022>024-027>032-040-NDZ006>008-014>016-024- 026>030-038-039-049-052>054-291430- HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EASTERN ND/GRAND FORKS 633 AM CDT THU MAY 29 2003 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE OVER EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING... .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA...NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL MINNESOTA. AFTER 3 PM THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER NORTHEAST NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA SPREADING SOUTH AND EAST DURING THE EVENING. THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH ACROSS EASTERN AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE REGION AROUND MIDNIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE AND TRAILING COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS EASTERN NORTH DAKOTA AND NORTHWEST MINNESOTA THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. VOELKER
The office that day
Everything else NWS Grand Forks, ND issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29, 11:05 PM CDT | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | FGF | Beltrami, Clearwater | 40 min |
Nearby
Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Minnesota, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.