Alert archive / Texas / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 98, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

June 11, 2003Val Verde County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 11, 2003, 4:19 PM CDT for Val Verde County, Texas. It was in force for 71 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 11, 2003, 4:19 PM CDT (21:19 UTC)
Expired
Jun 11, 2003, 5:30 PM CDT
In force
71 min
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Val Verde County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jun 11, 3:55 PM CDTTornado WatchSPC5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 76 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-06-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2911 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-06-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 132 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2911 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-132 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
677 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
26 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
132 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
156 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.7
Supercell composite
3.7

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

514 
WUUS54 KEWX 112119
SVRSAT
TXC465-112230-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
415 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN AUSTIN SAN ANTONIO HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN TEXAS...
  VAL VERDE

* UNTIL 530 PM CDT

* AT 415 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE...SOUTH OF LANGTRY AND SOUTHWEST
OF AMISTAD RESERVOIR...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.  

STRONG DAMAGING WINDS...HAIL...BRIEF HEAVY RAIN...AND LIGHTNING
ARE EXPECTED WITH THESE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF VAL VERDE COUNTY
IN THE NEXT HOUR. 

LAT...LON 2990 10168 2973 10128 2944 10086 3021 10085
          3021 10167
$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 11, 2:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 11, 2:45 PM CDT, 1 hour 34 minutes before
SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
245 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

ISOLD STRONG TSTMS FIRING TO THE WEST THIS AFTN AND BIG QUESTION IS
HOW ORGANIZED THIS CONVECTION WILL BECOME THIS EVENING AS IT MOVS
EWD INTO A VERY UNSTABLE BUT CAPPED AMS.  CURRENTLY THE CONVECTION
SEEMS TO BE A RESULT OF STG HEATING BREAKING THE CAP.  HOWEVER BOTH
THE MESOETA/ETA AND AVN DEVELOP AN MCS ALONG THE DRY LINE TO THE
WEST THIS EVENING.  THE AVN ONCE AGAIN SHOWS MORE DEVELOPMENT TO THE
SOUTH INTO OUR WRN CWA.  THIS SCENARIO IS SIMILAR TO WHAT HAPPENED
LAST MON NIGHT AS THE INITIAL MCS OUTFLOW INITIATED A SECONDARY MCS
TO THE SOUTH.  WILL LEAN SLIGHTLY TOWARDS THE AVN SOLN AND GO WITH A
HIGHER POPS IN THE WEST/CENTRAL SXNS TONIGHT.  APPEARS THERE WILL
INITIALLY BE POTENTIAL FOR SVR IN THE WEST DUE TO HI CAPES AND
INVERTED V SOUNDINGS SUPPORTING DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL. IF
AVN SOLN DOES EVOLVE THERE WILL BE A THREAT OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN
LATER ALONG SLOW MOVG BOUNDARIES THAT WILL BE PARALLEL TO THE UPR
FLOW.  BUT NOT ENUF CONFIDENCE TO MENTION HVY RAIN YET...THEREFORE
MAKE EVENING SHIFT AWARE OF POTENTIAL.

WE STAY IN THE DIRTY SUBTROPICAL FLOW THRU ABOUT SATURDAY WITH THE
CONTD CHANCE OF AFTN HEATING/SHORT WV DRIVEN CONVECTION DRIFTING
INTO THE CWA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS.  A GRADUAL SHIFT TO MORE
NWLY/NLY FLOW EVOLVES BY SUNDAY/MONDAY WITH GFS/ECMWF CONTG TO PUSH
A VERY LATE SEASON COLD FRONT INTO S TX SUN NIGHT OR MONDAY MORNING.
THIS WILL NO DOUBT RESULT IN ANOTHER GOOD SHOT AT PCPN WITH THE
FNT.  DECREASING CHCS OF RAIN...BUT BELOW NORMAL TEMPS FOR TUE/WED
AS A CLOSED LOW DROPS INTO NE TX WITH ANY PCPN MOST LIKELY OFF TO
THE EAST.  01/03

PRELIMS...CORRECTED
AUS BB 077/094 077/095 075 01333 0000/0000/0000
    BBBBB 094/073 092/073 089/072 093/070 092 22233444222
DRT BB 074/096 076/099 076 01433 0000/0000/0000
    BBBBB 097/075 096/076 094/076 097/073 097 22233333111
SAT BB 076/094 077/095 076 01322 0000/0000/0000
    BBBBB 094/074 093/074 090/074 093/072 092 22233444222

.EWX...NONE.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 11, 4:05 PM CDT, 14 minutes before
TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-121100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
405 PM CDT WED JUN 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY
THERE IS A RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THE REST OF THIS AFTERNOON
AND THIS EVENING OVER THE DEL RIO AREA...THE RIO GRANDE PLAINS
AND THE WESTERN HILL COUNTRY.  SEVERE STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO SPREAD
EASTWARD ACROSS MAINLY THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS
THIS EVENING...INCLUDING THE AUSTIN AND SAN ANTONIO AREAS.  LARGE
HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS MAY OCCUR ALONG WITH A FEW TORNADOES.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...
ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THURSDAY
AND FRIDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING FOR MUCH OF SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND
THE HILL COUNTRY.

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Texas, 2003Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.