Alert archive / Nebraska / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 99, NWS Cheyenne, WY

August 1, 2003Banner County, Kimball County, Nebraska

NWS Cheyenne, WY issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Aug 1, 2003, 5:23 PM MDT for Banner County, Kimball County, Nebraska. It was in force for 37 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Aug 1, 2003, 5:23 PM MDT (23:23 UTC)
Expired: Aug 1, 2003, 6:00 PM MDT
In force: 37 min
Issued by: NWS Cheyenne, WY
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Banner County, NE, Kimball County, NE

The radar

The Cheyenne radar (KCYS), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 11.4 hours before the alert went out and 174 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 81 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -429 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 2299 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 4 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS55 KCYS 012323
SVRCYS
NEC007-105-020000-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
522 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CHEYENNE HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  SOUTHERN BANNER COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA
  NORTHERN KIMBALL COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF NEBRASKA
  THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF KIMBALL

* UNTIL 600 PM MDT

* AT 518 PM MDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING NICKEL SIZE HAIL AND WINDS
  IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH OVER KIMBALL...OR ABOUT 4 MILES NORTHWEST OF
  KIMBALL...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE DIX

IF SEVERE WEATHER APPROACHES YOUR AREA...GO INSIDE A STURDY SHELTER
AWAY FROM CREEK BEDS AND OTHER FLOOD-PRONE AREAS. REMEMBER...A SEVERE
THUNDERSTORM CAN PRODUCE LARGE DAMAGING HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS IN
EXCESS OF 58 MPH...DEADLY LIGHTNING...AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY. THEY
WILL RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST
OFFICE IN CHEYENNE.

LAT...LON 4152 10406 4110 10406 4118 10337 4155 10339

$$

STARK

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Cheyenne, WY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Aug 1, 3:00 PM MDT, 2 hours 23 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 1, 3:00 PM MDT, 2 hours 23 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
300 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2003

.SHORT TERM...TSTMS SO FAR THIS AFTERNOON HAVE BEEN DEVELOPING
IN A SMALL AREA FROM SW OF LAR TO SW OF CYS ALONG N CNTRL CO
BORDER WITH ANOTHER WEAK ONE NW OF CYS.  WHILE MOST OF CWA WILL
HAVE DRY WX...WILL KEEP A LOW POP IN SE CORNER WY INTO THE FAR
SOUTHERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE THIS EVENING.  ANY THREAT OF SEVERE
TSTMS HAS SHIFTED INTO EASTERN HALF CO AS PER LATEST SPC OUTLOOK.
MODELS IN AGREEMENT THAT NW FLOW ALOFT TODAY AND TONIGHT WILL
BECOME NNWLY SAT AS STRONG UPPER RIDGE SHIFTS ACROSS WESTERN WY.
THIS SHOULD LIMIT ANY TSTMS TO ABOUT THE AREA WHERE THEY ARE NOW.
TEMPS TODAY HAVE WARMED A BIT MORE THAN EXPECTED.  MAXS SATURDAY
SHOULD BE SIMILAR TO TODAY...MAV A FEW DEGREES TOO LOW AGAIN.

.LONG TERM...UPPER HIGH REMAINS ANCHORED ACROSS SRN CONUS WITH
RIDGING NWRD ACROSS THE ROCKY MTNS.  BETTER MOISTURE TO STAY
CONFINED S OF CWA BUT ENUF STILL AVAILABLE FOR A FEW STORMS MAINLY
NEAR COL BORDER SAT NIGHT. A LITTLE BETTER CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND
TSTRMS SUNDAY AFTN AND EVNG AS SHORTWAVE RIDES OVER RIDGE AND ACROSS
REGION.  RIDGE REBUILDS MON AND TUESDAY AS UPPER TROF NEAR WEST
COAST RESULTING IN MORE ISOLD CONVECTION.  DRY AND WARMER MID TO
LATE PART OF WEEK AS UPPER RIDGE STRENGTHENS AND CUTS OFF ANY
MONSOONAL MOISTURE AND THICKNESSES RISE.

.CYS...
WY...NONE.
NE...NONE.

JLH/RE

Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 1, 2:30 PM MDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before

NEZ001>003-019>021-054-055-WYZ059>070-021115-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
230 PM MDT FRI AUG 1 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEASTERN WYOMING AND THE
WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE STILL EXPECTED OVER EXTREME
SOUTHEAST WYOMING AND THE FAR SOUTHERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  MOST OF THESE WILL BE ALONG AND SOUTH OF
INTERSTATE 80.  THE THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD BE
CONFINED TO THE EASTERN HALF OF COLORADO WHERE THE BEST MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY WILL BE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

WIDELY SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP IN MOST OF THE
AFTERNOONS AND EVENINGS AS BOTH MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY PERSIST.
THE LATE DAY STORMS WILL BE MORE NUMEROUS ON SUNDAY DUE TO MORE
ABUNDANT MOISTURE.  THEY WILL ALSO BE SLOWER MOVING DUE TO LIGHTER
WINDS IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE AND THUS BE BETTER RAIN PRODUCERS.

A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE SATURDAY AND SUNDAY OVER
SOUTHEAST WYOMING... EAST OF THE LARAMIE MOUNTAINS...AND ACROSS THE
WESTERN NEBRASKA PANHANDLE.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

JLH

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 1, 4:43 PM MDT, 40 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHEYENNE WY
0443 PM MDT FRI AUG 01 2003

TIME(MDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0435 PM    10 SW ALBIN               WY   1.25 IN HAIL
08/01/03   LARAMIE

MRC

The office that day

Everything else NWS Cheyenne, WY issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Aug 1, 5:53 PM MDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	CYS	Cheyenne	22 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Nebraska, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.