Alert archive / Texas / Flash Flood Warnings in 2003

Flash Flood Warning 19, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

September 18, 2003Bee County, Goliad County, Refugio County, Texas

NWS Corpus Christi, TX issued this flash flood warning at Sep 18, 2003, 2:06 PM CDT for Bee County, Goliad County, Refugio County, Texas. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 18, 2003, 2:06 PM CDT (19:06 UTC)
Expired
Sep 18, 2003, 5:00 PM CDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Bee County, TX, Goliad County, TX, Refugio County, TX

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this flash flood warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Corpus Christi, TX (KCRP), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 77 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-09-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 2496 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Corpus Christi, TX at 12:00Z on 2003-09-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
2496 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
553 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WGUS54 KCRP 181906
FFWCRP
TXC025-175-391-182200-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
206 PM CDT THU SEP 18 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
  EASTERN BEE COUNTY IN TEXAS
  GOLIAD COUNTY IN TEXAS
  WESTERN REFUGIO COUNTY IN TEXAS

* UNTIL 500 PM CDT

* AT 200 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED   
  A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER NORTHERN PARTS OF 
  COASTAL BEND FROM PETTUS TO GOLIAD AND EXTENDING SOUTH TO SKIDMORE
  AND REFUGIO.  MOVEMENT WAS NORTH AT 15 MPH.  

  DOPPLER RADAR ESTIMATED NEARLY 2 INCHES OF RAIN OVER THE WARNED 
  AREA.  ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE WESTERN GULF 
  WILL SPREAD OVER THIS REGION AND MAY PROVIDE AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 
  2 INCHES THIS AFTERNOON.    

* SOME LOCATIONS AFFECTED INCLUDE...
  BEEVILLE...
  BERCLAIR...
  GOLIAD...
  NORMANNA...
  PETTUS...
  REFUGIO...

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS OCCURRING OR IS
IMMINENT. MOST FLASH FLOOD DEATHS OCCUR IN AUTOMOBILES. DO NOT
ATTEMPT TO CROSS BRIDGES...DIPS...OR OTHER LOW SPOTS IF WATER COVERS
THE ROADWAY. NEVER TRY TO CROSS A FLOWING STREAM...EVEN A SMALL
ONE...ON FOOT. TO ESCAPE RISING WATER MOVE UP TO HIGHER GROUND.

LAT...LON 2819 9766 2820 9718 2882 9725 2861 9788

$$

AP

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Corpus Christi, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Sep 18, 10:07 AM CDT, 3 hours 59 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 18, 10:07 AM CDT, 3 hours 59 minutes before
SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
1007 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2003

UPPER JET DYNAMICS/WEAK UPPER TROUGH WILL COMBINE WITH COPIOUS MSTR TO
GENERATE ADDITIONAL CONVECTION THIS AFTN. MSAS DEPICTS A SFC TROUGH
JUST OFF THE COAST. THIS TROUGH HAS PERSISTED DRG THE PAST SEVERAL
DAYS. THE GFS/ETA PROGS THIS TROUGH TO MOVE ONSHORE THIS AFTN AND
ACRS THE CWFA OVERNIGHT IN ADVANCE OF THE FRONT. NOT CONVINCED OF
THIS GIVEN THE LIKELIHOOD THAT THE UPPER DYNAMICS WOULD SUPPORT PSBL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS WAVE/MAINTAIN IT WITHOUT MUCH MOVEMENT WESTWARD.
ANTICIPATE THAT THE SFC TROUGH WL NOT ADVANCE FARTHER THAN THE ALONG
THE COAST. WL MAINTAIN THE HIGHEST POPS OVR THE EAST BASED ON
EXPECTED SFC CONVERGENCE. EXTREMELY HIGH PW VALUES WL CONTRIBUTE TO
HEAVY RAINFALL. WL MAINTAIN THE FFG WATCH. 1-HR FFG FOR LASALLE ONLY
1 INCH...HWR NO RAINFALL IS OCCURRING AT THIS TIME OWING IN PART TO
SIGNIFICANTLY LESS MSTR CONVERGENCE. THUS WL NOT ADD THIS COUNTY TO
THE WATCH AT THIS TIME...YET WL CONTINUE TO MONITOR. WL LOWER MAX
TEMPS OVER THE CWFA FOR THIS AFTN OWING TO COPIOUS MSTR/CLOUDS/RAIN.
WHEN CONSIDERING THE HIGH CAPE VALUES...AND TO A LESSER EXTENT
WEAK-MODERATE VERTICAL SHEAR...THUNDERSTORMS IN RESPONSE TO
THE ENHANCED MSTR CONVERGENCE OVR THE ERN CWFA/COASTAL WATERS MAY
GENERATE STORMS WITH BRIEF STRONG GUSTY WIND.

.CRP...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TXZ230>234-240>247 THRU 400PM TODAY.

87
Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 18, 6:00 AM CDT, 8 hours 6 minutes before
GMZ230-235-250-255-270-275-TXZ229>234-239>247-191100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
600 AM CDT THU SEP 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TODAY.
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE AND A FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS BEEN
ISSUED FOR MOST OF SOUTH TEXAS.  1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 4 INCHES.  THIS AMOUNT OF
RAINFALL ON SATURATED GROUNDS WILL CAUSE FLOODING.  THE INTENSITY
AND COVERAGE OF THE RAINFALL WILL DIMINISH TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH TEXAS FRIDAY PROVIDING A LINGERING
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE NEAR
THE COAST ON SATURDAY. THE CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
WILL INCREASE AGAIN BY SUNDAY AS TROPICAL MOISTURE INCREASES IN
ADVANCE OF THE NEXT COLD FRONT WHICH WILL MOVE INTO SOUTH TEXAS ON
MONDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

TR/TMT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Corpus Christi, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 18, 1:13 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningCRP62 min
Sep 18, 2:23 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningCRP67 min
Sep 18, 2:23 PM CDTSpecial Marine WarningCRP67 min
Sep 18, 4:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningCRPAransas, Kleberg, Nueces, San Patricio3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Texas, 2003Every flash flood warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.