Severe Thunderstorm Warning 116, NWS Cleveland, OH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
233 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2003

CONVECTIVE COMPLEXES SHUD CONT TO DROP ESE CROSSING MNLY SWRN HALF
OF CWA INTO WED SO WL SHOW HIER POP AND QPF THERE THRU THEN.  FOR
NOW NOT BUYING ETA BAND OF HI QPF ACRS LERI AREA TUE NITE AS ETA
FREQUENTLY DOESNT PROPAGATE CONVECTION FAR ENUF SE IN THESE
SITUATIONS. WL NEED TO MENTION SVR POTNL FOR SWRN HALF OF CWA.

SOME POTNL FOR FLOOD WATCH FOR SRN COS...BUT CURRENT BOW WL BE MOVG
TOO QUICKLY TO LAY DOWN MUCH PRECIP. BNDRY ON SRN EDGE OF THIS
COMPLEX WL BE S OF CWA SO MOST OF CWA TO BE RELATIVELY CALM FOR A
GUD WHILE THIS EVE. THINK BEST THING IS TO HOLD OFF AND LET EVE OR
MID SHIFT WATCH AND SEE IF NEW COMPLEX FORMS AND WHERE IT HEADS FOR
TO PUT UP ANY NEEDED FFAS.

FOR XTDD...ETA AND GFS CONT TO DIFFER A BIT ON HOW FAR CDFNT PUSHES
SE ACRS OH AND WHETHER THERE WL BE WV OF LOW PRES LATE WED MOVG ACRS
OH. WL SPLIT THE DIFF AND KP SML CHC FOR SHRA/TSRA GOING SRN ZONES
WED NITE THEN SPREAD GUD CHC BACK ACRS CWA ON THU THRU THU
NITE...BRINGING BACK EDGE ACRS WRN ZONES BY DAYBREAK FRI.  UPR
TROF/SFC TROF ON FRI WL PROB TRIGGER SCT CONVECTION SO WL CARRY CHC
THEN ALL AREAS.  WUD LIKE TO KP WEEKEND DRY BUT THERE NOW DOES
APPEAR THAT THERE MAY BE ENUF TROFFINESS AND MSTR LEFT BHD FOR PSBL
LINGERING DAILY INSTABILITY CONVECTIVE SHRA.

.CLE...
OH...SVR TSTM WATCH TIL 6 PM FOR N CNTRL OH.
PA...NONE.

ADAMS

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-PAZ001>003-071215-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
617 AM EDT MON JUL 7 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR MUCH OF NORTHERN OHIO
AND A PORTION OF NORTHWESTERN PENNSYLVANIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY AND
TONIGHT. THE PRIMARY THREAT APPEARS TO BE THE THREAT FOR STRONG,
DAMAGING WINDS.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE ALSO QUITE POSSIBLE
RESULTING IN LOCALIZED FLOODING OF SMALL STREAMS AND URBAN AREAS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

THE SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL PERSIST THROUGH AT
LEAST TUESDAY.  THE RISK FOR FLOODING WILL ALSO CONTINUE OVER AREAS
THAT RECEIVE HEAVY RAINS IN A SHORT PERIOD OF TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

OHZ003-006>014-017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089-071830-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH
108 PM EDT MON JUL 7 2003

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF
NORTHERN OHIO EXCEPT ASHTABULA COUNTY UNTIL 6 PM EDT.

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAS MOVED INTO
NORTHWEST OHIO EARLY THIS AFTERNOON. THIS LINE IS EXPECTED
TO PUSH QUICKLY ACROSS THE STATE DURING THE AFTERNOON.

MOST AREAS WILL SEE THESE STORMS PASSING THROUGH BRINGING HEAVY
RAIN AND DEADLY LIGHTENING STRIKES. STRONG WINDS WILL ALSO ACCOMPANY
SOME OF THESE STORMS.

PEOPLE SHOULD MAINTAIN A CLOSE WEATHER WATCH THIS AFTERNOON AND TAKE
NECESSARY PRECAUTIONS AS THESE STORMS APPROACH.