Special Marine Warning 39, NWS Charleston, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
300 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2003

A LINE OF ISOLATED TSTMS MOVING THROUGH THE MIDLANDS. SEVERE TSTM
WATCH BOX ISSUED BY SPC TO OUR WEST. POTENTIAL FOR TSTM ACTIVITY
WILL PERSIST INTO EVENING WITH RATHER UNSTABLE ATMOSPHERE IN PLACE
AND RESIDUAL BNDRIES MOVING TOWARDS THE AREA. SHOULD NOT SEE MUCH
COVERAGE OF TSTMS BUT STRONG WIND PROFILE MAY SUPPORT ISOLATED
SEVERE STORMS. GIVEN THE RATHER FRAGMENTED NATURE OF THE
ACTIVITY...SUSPECT IT WILL START TO LOSE ITS ENERGY A FEW HOURS
AFTER SUNSET.

COOLER AND DRIER CONDITIONS EXPECTED THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. TEMPS
IN THE 80S WITH AFTN DEWPTS IN THE 40S. NEXT CHANCE AT PRECIP WILL
BE WED. HAVE NOT MADE MANY CHANGES IN EXTENDED PORTION OF FCST OTHER
THAN A FEW TWEAKS TO TEMP FCST.

FIRE WX...NO LUCK GETTING IN CONTACT WITH FORRESTRY OFFICIALS. WILL
WAIT A BIT LONGER TO DETERMINE FINAL RULING ON RED FLAG WARNING FOR
TOMORROW. RH VALUES WILL BE AROUND CRITICAL LEVELS AND WINDS SHOULD
BE AT LEAST GUSTING TO 20 MPH OR SO. AT THIS POINT WILL NOT GO WITH
RED FLAG WARNING UNLESS FORRESTRY OFFICIALS THINK OTHERWISE AFTER
PROVIDING UPDATED INPUT ON FUEL MOISTURES ETC.

MARINE...CDFNT WL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS AFT 06Z MON TURNING WINDS
FROM SW TO W. WITH THE OFFSHORE COMPONENT SEAS WILL DIMINISH A
LITTLE OVERNIGHT. WLY FLOW WL CONTINUE THROUGH MIDWEEK WHEN WINDS WL
TURN MORE ONSHORE. A FEW SHRA/TSRA WL MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS
OVERNIGHT WITH MORE SCT SHRA/TSRA FOR THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK.

CHS   66  86  57  82 /  20   0   0   0
SAV   65  87  56  84 /  20   0   0   0
CHL   70  85  61  81 /  20   0   0   0
NBC   67  87  57  83 /  20   0   0   0
RBW   63  86  55  82 /  20   0   0   0
MHP   64  87  57  84 /  20   0   0   0

.CHS...
GA...NONE.
SC...WIND ADVISORY LAKE MOULTRIE TODAY.

SLF/SCW

AMZ330-350-352-354-370-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-
042>045-047>051-111200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
600 AM EDT SUN MAY 11 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
.SEVERE WEATHER...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
LATE TODAY AND EARLY TONIGHT ACROSS PARTS OF THE AREA. A COLD FRONT
APPROACHING THE APPALACHIANS LATE TODAY...AND STRONG WINDS IN THE
LOWER ATMOSPHERE MAY CAUSE A FEW STRONG OR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TO
DEVELOP AFTER 5 PM. THE MAIN WEATHER HAZARDS ARE GUSTY WINDS AND
DANGEROUS LIGHTNING STRIKES. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST SEVERE
WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.LAKE WINDS...A WIND ADVISORY IS IN EFFECT TODAY FOR LAKE MOULTRIE.
SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL REACH NEAR 20 KNOTS...WITH GUSTS TO 25 KNOTS
LATE THIS MORNING AND THIS AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
RECREATIONAL FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.RIVER FLOODING...A RIVER FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MINOR
FLOODING ALONG THE LOWER SANTEE RIVER AT JAMESTOWN....AND FOR THE
SAVANNAH RIVER AT CLYO AND BURTONS FERRY. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST
RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
CHARLESTON...AND THE LATEST RIVER FORECAST ISSUED BY THE SOUTHEAST
RIVER FORECAST CENTER IN ATLANTA FOR MORE SPECIFIC INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY.
.FIRE WEATHER...DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS MANY PARTS OF
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA MONDAY AFTERNOON.
RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS AWAY FROM THE COAST WILL DROP TO NEAR OR
LESS THAN 30 PERCENT. THESE LOW LEVELS AND WEST WINDS OF 15 TO 20
MPH ARE CAUSE FOR CONCERN FOR FIRE WEATHER INTERESTS. PLEASE REFER
TO THE LATEST FIRE WEATHER FORECAST FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.
PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE SITUATION IN THE EVENT A FIRE WEATHER
WATCH OR RED FLAG WARNING BECOMES NECESSARY.

.RIVER FLOODING...RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE ON THE LOWER SANTEE
RIVER AT JAMESTOWN...AND ON THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT CLYO AND BURTONS
FERRY. PLEASE REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FORECAST ISSUED BY THE
SOUTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER IN ATLANTA FOR MORE SPECIFIC
INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY NOT BE REQUIRED TODAY OR
TONIGHT.

GAZ099-114-115-112330-

BULLETIN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
654 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EVANS COUNTY...TATTNALL COUNTY
AND CANDLER COUNTY THROUGH 730 PM EDT...

AT 654 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CENTERED 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF ALINE...OR ABOUT 12 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
METTER...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH. THIS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND
CANOE...ALINE...COBBTOWN...SHAMROCK...COLLINS...METTER...UNDINE AND
PULASKI THROUGH 730 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

PY

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, SC
703 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0700 PM    GUYTON                    GA   WIND DAMAGE
05/11/03   EFFINGHAM                      TREES DOWN AND HAIL
                                          REPORTED IN GUYTON BY LOCAL
                                          LAW ENFORCEMENT. HAIL SIZE
                                          IS UNKNOWN AT THIS TIME.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON, SC
704 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2003

TIME(EDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0703 PM    GUYTON                    GA   .75 INCH HAIL
05/11/03   EFFINGHAM                      REPORTED BY SPOTTER. WINDS
                                          ALSO 35 TO 40 MPH.

GAZ100-101-116-118-120030-

BULLETIN
SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
752 PM EDT SUN MAY 11 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT EFFINGHAM COUNTY...BULLOCH
COUNTY...BRYAN COUNTY AND CHATHAM COUNTY THROUGH 830 PM EDT...

AT 752 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED AN
AREA OF THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 3 MILES NORTHWEST OF LANIER...OR
ABOUT 4 MILES NORTHEAST OF PEMBROKE...MOVING EAST AT 35 MPH. THIS
WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND
LANIER...ARCOLA...STILSON...ELLABELL...OLNEY...IVANHOE...HUBERT...
SAVANNAH...AND BLITCHTON THROUGH 830 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 45 TO 55 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.  HEAVY
RAINS UP TO ONE INCH ARE ALSO POSSIBLE.

PY

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