Severe Thunderstorm Warning 104, NWS Charleston, SC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
320 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

PUBLIC...TSTMS TO LINGER OVER THE AREA THROUGH THE EVENING. MAY SEE
AN ISOLATED SEVERE STORM WITH WIND DAMAGE BEING THE MAIN THREAT.
WILL GO WITH CHANCE POPS FOR THE EVENING WITH SLIGHT CHANCE LATER
TONIGHT.

BERMUDA HIGH TO RETREAT TO THE E OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS
ALLOWING THE SRN EXTENT OF THE TROF SWINGING THROUGH THE EASTERN
HALF OF THE COUTRY TO AFFECT THE SE AS WELL. AXIS OF TROF TO REMAIN
JUST W OF THE AREA. SFC FRONT TO APPROACH THE AREA AND LINGER JUST
INLAND FROM THE COUNTY WARNING AREA. THESE FEATURES SHOULD LEAD TO
INCREASED CHANCES OF PRECIP THROUGH THE WEEKEND THAN WE HAVE HAD
PAST FEW DAYS. BEST SHORTWAVE ENERGY TO MOVE INTO THE AREA LATE FRI.

BY MID WEEK...FRONTL BNDRY SHOULD HAVE DISSIPATED AND SHORTWAVE
ENERGY WILL BE LACKING. UPR TROF WILL STILL LINGER OVER THE AREA.
WILL RETURN TO LOW CHANCE MAINLY AFTN AND EVENING POPS.

HIGHEST TEMPS OF THE PERIOD EXPECTED ON FRI WITH LOWER 90S POSSIBLE.
MORE CLOUDS AND COOLER TEMPS ALOFT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD
WILL GIVE GENERALLY UPPER 80S TO NEAR 90 FOR SAT THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD.

MARINE...
BERMUDA HIGH WILL CONTINUE TO DOMINATE THE WEATHER OVER THE WATERS
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. WEAK COLD FRONT WILL NOT QUITE MAKE IT TO THE
WATERS...BUT AN INCREASE IN THE SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT WILL
INCREASE THE WINDS TO 15 TO 20 KTS ON FRIDAY. GRADIENTS WILL RELAX
OVER THE WEEKEND UNDER THE DOMINANCE OF THE BERMUDA HIGH. IN THE
EXTENDED PERIOD...AN UPPER LEVEL LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL PERSIST OVER
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST...KEEPING THE FLOW OVER OUR AREA A WEAK
SOUTHWESTERLY FLOW.

.CHS...
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.

18/JR

GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-042>045-047>051-101900-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1254 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

.THUNDERSTORMS...THE MAIN THREAT FROM THE THUNDERSTORMS TODAY WILL
BE GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN...WITH A FEW POSSIBLY BECOMING SEVERE.

.EXCESSIVE HEAT...THE HEAT INDEX WILL REACH 100 TO 105 DEGREES THIS
AFTERNOON. PLEASE REFER TO THE ZONE FORECASTS FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.

.RIVER FLOODING...RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FOR THE
EDISTO RIVER AT GIVHANS FERRY...THE SANTEE RIVER AT JAMESTOWN...AND
THE SAVANNAH RIVER AT CLYO AND AT BURTONS FERRY. PLEASE REFER TO THE
LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENTS AND WARNINGS FOR MORE SPECIFIC
INFORMATION.

NO OTHER HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...DAY THROUGH DAY.
NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

GAZ088-SCZ040-101945-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
306 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SCREVEN COUNTY AND ALLENDALE
COUNTY THROUGH 345 PM EDT...

AT 306 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
CENTERED 6 MILES WEST OF MILBURY...OR ABOUT 12 MILES NORTHEAST OF
SYLVANIA...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH. THIS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND
AROUND MILBURY AND APPLETON THROUGH 345 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

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SCZ042-102015-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
349 PM EDT THU JUL 10 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT HAMPTON COUNTY THROUGH 425 PM
EDT...

AT 349 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS CENTERED 7 MILES NORTH OF LURAY MOVING EAST AT
25 MPH. THIS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND LURAY...LENA...ESTILL
...HAMPTON...VARNVILLE...CROCKETVILLE...CAMP BRANCH...ALMEDA AND
MILEY THROUGH 415 PM EDT.

SMALL HAIL...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF
40 TO 50 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

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