Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Charleston, SC

000 
WGUS72 KCHS 062132
FFSCHS
GAC179-062200-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
531 PM EDT WED AUG 6 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LIBERTY COUNTY UNTIL
630 PM EDT...

AT 531 PM RADAR INDICATED PERSISTENT THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL 7 MILES SOUTH OF HINESVILLE NEAR ALLENHURST. LIBERTY
COUNTY 911 REPORTED SEVERAL ROADS WERE NOW CLOSED SOUTH OF THE CITY 
OF HINESVILLE AT 525 PM. PERSONS ALONG ROUTE 38 SOUTH OF HINESVILLE 
SHOULD SEEK ATTEMPT TO AVOID FLOODED ROADWAYS AND SEEK HIGHER GROUND.

FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN AND AROUND...ALLENHURST...CROSSROADS...
FLEMINGTON...HINESVILLE AND MCINTOSH.

TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AT 843-747-5046.

LAT...LON 3183 8169 3176 8158 3171 8147 3184 8138
          3186 8159

$$

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000 
WGUS72 KCHS 062202
FFSCHS
GAC179-062230-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
602 PM EDT WED AUG 6 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR LIBERTY COUNTY UNTIL
630 PM EDT...

HEAVY RAINS WERE FINALLY DIMINISHING BETWEEN ALLENHURST AND MCINTOSH.
RADAR RAINFALL ESTIMATE OF 4 TO 5 INCHES HAD FALLEN SINCE 4 PM.

IF THE CURRENT TRENDS CONTINUE...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE
ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AT 630 PM.

FLASH FLOODING IS EXPECTED IN AND AROUND...ALLENHURST...LIVE OAK AND 
MCINTOSH.

TO REPORT SIGNIFICANT FLOODING...PLEASE CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN CHARLESTON AT 843-747-5046.

LAT...LON 3185 8144 3176 8146 3177 8163 3183 8165
          3187 8153

$$

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
217 PM EDT WED AUG 6 2003

PUBLIC...SATELLITE AND SOUTHEAST RADAR COMPOSITE SHOWS A LARGE WELL
DEFINED COMMA SHAPED AREA OF CONVECTION IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
ELONGATED VORT AXIS MOVING INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY AND GULF
STATES. THE AXIS IS FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO BE ON THE WESTERN
BORDER OF THE FORECAST AREA BY AROUND 12Z THURSDAY. AXIS THEN PASSES
THROUGH THE AREA BETWEEN 12-18Z THURSDAY. PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND
INSTABILITY AVAILABLE. NICE 850 MB THETA-E RIDGE ALONG THE COAST
OVERNIGHT. MAV/FWC MOS HAVE LIKELY POPS OVERNIGHT AND THURSDAY. ETA
MOS HAS 30 POPS OVERNIGHT AND LIKELY AT CHS THURSDAY WITH 30 PERCENT
AT SAV. WILL GO WITH LIKELY POPS ALL AREAS TONIGHT AND
THURSDAY...THOUGH MOST OF THE CONVECTION WILL BE OVER BY MIDDAY.
SEMI-PERMANENT EASTERN U.S. UPPER TROF WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
PERIOD WITH ELONGATED SURFACE LOW PRESSURE ALONG MOST OF THE EAST
COAST. NUMEROUS SHORTWAVES ROTATE THROUGH THE UPPER FLOW AND ACT ON
THE WARM HUMID UNSTABLE AIRMASS TO PRODUCE CONVECTION. MODELS SHOW
ATMOSPHERE BRIEFLY DRYING OUT A BIT ON SATURDAY WITH PW VALUES
AROUND 1.5 INCHES...NOT THE 2+ INCHES WEVE HAD FOR A WHILE. NOT
MUCH VORT ENERGY EITHER. ETA FORECAST SOUNDING FOR 18Z SATURDAY EVEN
SHOWS A WELL DEFINED 650-700 MB CAP. DO NOT WANT TO GO COMPLETELY
DRY HOWEVER SO WILL GO WITH EITHER 20 OR 30 POPS FOR MAINLY
SEABREEZE CONVECTION. HIGH/LOW TEMPS WILL RELY HEAVILY ON PERSITENCE
THROUGH THE PERIOD. LOOKING FURTHER AHEAD THE MRF DEPICTS QUITE A
CHANGE TOWARD THE MIDDLE PART OF NEXT WEEK WITH A MAJOR RETROGRADE
IN THE SURFACE/UPPER PATTERN. SINCE THIS IS TOWARD THE END OF THE
EXTENDED PERIOD I WILL NOT MAKE ANY BIG CHANGES.

MARINE...ATLC RIDGE AXIS TO REMAIN SUPPRESSED ACROSS S FL AND THE
KEYS THRU LATE WEEK. LOW PRES MAY FORM WITH FAIRLY STRONG SHORT WAVE
THAT MOVES INTO SE STATES THU NIGHT. BUT SHORT WAVE AND SFC LOW WILL
QUICKLY SHIFT NNE AND AWAY FROM THE AREA BY LATER FRI AND FRI NIGHT.
HOWEVER...AS IT DOES SO...THIS WILL ALLOW FOR ATLC RIDGE TO SHIFT A
BIT FURTHER N...WHICH MAY EQUATE TO SLGTLY LESS WINDS OVER THE
WEEKEND. OTHERWISE...A GENERAL SWLY FLOW TO PERSIST AGAIN THIS FCST
PERIOD...BACKING DURING THE DAY AND VEERING AGAIN AT NIGHT. SPEEDS
NO HIGHER THAN 15 KT...AS ANY LOW THAT DOES FORM DOES NOT APPEAR TO
STRENGTHEN THE PRES GRADIENT. SEAS WILL BE NO HIGHER THAN 4 OR MAYBE
5 FT.

.CHS...
GA...NONE.
SC...NONE.

HSA/PM

AMZ330-350-352-354-370-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-
042>045-047>051-061130-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
532 AM EDT WED AUG 6 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR SOUTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA...
SOUTHEAST GEORGIA AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS FROM SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.
.RIVER FLOODING...RIVER FLOOD WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE EDISTO
RIVER AT GIVHANS FERRY...THE OGEECHEE RIVER AT EDEN AND THE LOWER
SANTEE AT JAMESTOWN. REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.
.RIVER FLOODING...RIVER FLOODING WILL CONTINUE FOR THE
AFOREMENTIONED RIVERS. REFER TO THE LATEST RIVER FLOOD STATEMENT FOR
ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
SKYWARN SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED TODAY OR TONIGHT.

SCW

GAZ116-117-119-139-062000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
322 PM EDT WED AUG 6 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BRYAN COUNTY...CHATHAM COUNTY AND
LIBERTY COUNTY THROUGH 400 PM EDT...

AT 322 PM EDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
STRONG THUNDERSTORM CENTERED 2 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BELFAST...OR ABOUT
10 MILES SOUTH OF RICHMOND HILL...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH. THIS
STORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND AROUND SWEET HILL...KELLER...BELFAST
...OAK LEVEL...OSSABAW ISLAND AND FORT MCALLISTER THROUGH 400 PM EDT.

HAIL UP TO ONE HALF INCH IN DIAMETER...EXCESSIVE CLOUD-TO-GROUND
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS OF 35 TO 45 MPH CAN BE EXPECTED.

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