Severe Thunderstorm Warning 43, NWS Brownsville, TX

DEEP SOUTH TEXAS FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
230 PM CDT WED JUL 2 2003

A TROF EXTENDS ACROSS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO FROM THE REMNANTS
OF TROPICAL STORM BILL NOW LOCATED OVER THE APPALACHIANS.  THE
BERMUDA RIDGE WILL BUILD WESTWARD ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS
WEEK RESULTING IN SOUTH TO SOUTH EAST WINDS ACROSS THE CWA.
AFTERNOON HEATING WILL RESULT IN THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SEABREEZE
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP
ALONG THE SEABREEZE BOUNDARY. THIS GENERAL PATTERN OF SOUTH TO
SOUTHEAST WINDS AND A CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
DEVELOPING ALONG A SEABREEZE BOUNDARY WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT ACROSS THE AREA WILL TIGHTEN THIS
WEEKEND RESULTING IN AN INCREASE IN WINDS ON SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

MARINE...AT 1PM BUOY020 REPORTED NORTHEAST WINDS AT 6 KTS AND SEAS
AT 2 FEET 8 SECONDS. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE THE
RULE AS LOW PRESSURE HOLDS AT MID LEVELS AND LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
REMAINS ENTRENCHED.  THIS WILL REMAIN THE CASE THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...WITH A POSSIBLE INCREASE IN COVERAGE DURING THE LATE
WEEKEND WITH A SOMEWHAT MORE ORGANIZED MIDLEVEL DISTURBANCE.
SURFACE PRESSURE GRADIENT LOOKS TO INCREASE DURING THE WEEKEND AS A
SURFACE LOW DEVELOPS IN THE GREAT PLAINS.

AVIATION...SEABREEZE SHOWERS HAVE DEVELOPED ALONG THE SOUTH TEXAS
COAST AND ARE PUSHING INLAND AROUND 15KTS.  EXPECT BRIEF BOUTS OF
MVFR CONDITIONS WITH LOW CIGS...PRECIP AND WINDS GUSTS TO 25KTS.
SEABREEZE SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE WEEK AND INTO THE
WEEKEND...MAINLY DURING PEAK HEATING HOURS.

PRELIMINARY NUMBERS FOR COORDINATION PURPOSES ONLY...
BRO EE 076/093 077/094 077  20/40/20/30/20
HRL EE 077/094 077/095 077  20/40/20/30/20
MFE TE 076/095 076/096 076  20/40/20/40/20
RGC TT 076/096 076/097 076  20/40/20/40/30
SPI EE 081/088 081/089 081  20/40/20/30/20

SYNOPTIC/FIRE WX...63/65
AVIATION/MARINE/MESO...64

.BRO...NONE.

THIS PRODUCT IS ALSO AVAILABLE ON OUR INTERNET WEB PAGE AT:
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/BRO

TXZ248>257-031100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
415 AM CDT WED JUL 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR DEEP SOUTH TEXAS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE...MORE NUMEROUS IN
THE WESTERN VALLEY TODAY...AND CONTINUING THROUGH EARLY EVENING.
HEAVY RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED FROM ANY THUNDERSTORM. LONG PERIOD
SWELLS ARE STILL ARRIVING AT THE SOUTH PADRE ISLAND BEACHES...WITH
HEIGHTS OF ONLY 2 FEET. SOME RIP CURRENTS ARE STILL POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH RIPS THAN YESTERDAYS SURF. DRIVE CAREFULLY IN AND
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AND BE ALERT TO THE POTENTIAL FOR ROADWAY PONDING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY.

SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH MOST OF THE
WEEK. OTHERWISE...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

PHILO