Severe Thunderstorm Warning 60, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
955 AM CST THU MAR 13 2003

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT INCREASING RAPIDLY OVER THE FORECAST AREA AS A
SQUALL LINE OVER NORTH-CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI CONTINUES TO RACE
EASTWARD.  HAVE UPDATED THE ZONE FORECASTS TO INCREASE CHANCES OF
THUNDERSTORMS AT MOST LOCATIONS...AND TO MENTION THE THREAT OF HAIL
AND WIND DAMAGE.  EXPECT A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED
SHORTLY.

.BHM...NONE.

KP

ALZ011>015-017>050-132215-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1008 AM CST THU MAR 13 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE STATE LATER TODAY...AND STALL
SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 TONIGHT.  A THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX WILL MOVE OUT
OF MISSISSIPPI AND INTO ALABAMA LATE THIS MORNING.  THE STORMS WILL
RACE EASTWARD ACROSS CENTRAL AND SOUTH ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON...
PRODUCING LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WINDS. THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FOR AREAS SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20 FOR THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH A SLIGHT RISK NORTH OF THIS LINE.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY)...

THERE WILL BE A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY...FRIDAY
THROUGH WEDNESDAY.  ON FRIDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE ALONG THE STALLED OUT FRONTAL BOUNDARY.  A FEW OF THESE
STORMS MAY BE STRONG OR SEVERE...ESPECIALLY SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL
IS LIKELY TODAY.

ALZ011>013-022-131630-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
935 AM CST THU MAR 13 2003

.A THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PICKENS...FAYETTE...LAMAR AND
MARION COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CST...

.SMALL HAIL IS POSSIBLE FROM DEVELOPING THUNDERSTORMS.

AT 932 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS INDICATED
THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING ACROSS WEST-CENTRAL ALABAMA.  THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL LIKELY INCREASE IN INTENSITY DURING THE MORNING
HOURS...AND COULD BECOME SEVERE PRODUCING LARGE HAIL.

AT THIS TIME...THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS SMALL HAIL...
AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING.  IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS IN THE VICINITY OF
THESE STORMS...TAKE SHELTER NOW.

LAT...LON 3323 8862 3311 8848 3324 8803 3372 8769
          3423 8803

ALZ022-131730-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1033 AM CST THU MAR 13 2003

.A THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PICKENS COUNTY UNTIL 1130 AM
CST...

.WINDS 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FROM AN APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORM.

AT 1028 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM OVER CARROLLTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR PICKENSVILLE...
MCMULLEN...ETHELSVILLE...CARROLLTON...ALICEVILLE...GORDO AND REFORM
THROUGH 1130 AM CST.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS STRONG WINDS. STRONG WINDS
COULD KNOCK DOWN SMALL TREE LIMBS OR BRANCHES. UNSECURED SMALL
OBJECTS COULD BE BLOWN AROUND.

LAT...LON 3300 8833 3353 8826 3353 8785 3314 8790

ALZ012-013-131745-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
1046 AM CST THU MAR 13 2003

.A THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR FAYETTE AND LAMAR COUNTIES
UNTIL 1145 AM CST...

.WINDS 35 TO 45 MILES AN HOUR ARE POSSIBLE FROM APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORMS.

AT 1044 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 31 MILES WEST OF SULLIGENT TO 46 MILES
WEST OF MILLPORT...MOVING EAST AT 40 MPH.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR
SULLIGENT...VERNON...MILLPORT...BEAVERTON...KENNEDY...FAYETTE AND
BELK THROUGH 1145 AM CST.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS STRONG WINDS. WINDS 35 TO 45
MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN
FURNITURE...TRASH CANS....OR OTHER HOUSEHOLD ITEMS COULD BE BLOWN
AROUND.

LAT...LON 3356 8828 3357 8827 3400 8822 3400 8797
          3393 8796 3392 8777 3354 8789 3354 8828