Severe Thunderstorm Warning 313, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
223 PM CDT MON JUN 02 2003

THE SFC LOW OVER THE LOWER MS RIVER VALLEY CONTINUES TO DEEPEN AND
MOVE TO THE E-NE.  EXPECT THE SHOWERS AND STORMS TO INCREASE INTO THE
NIGHT TIME HOURS FOR US.  A COUPLE OF STORMS MAY REACH SEVERE LIMITS
TONIGHT AND TOMORROW.

WARM FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH SFC LOW WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHWARD
ACROSS THE CWA.  THIS WILL PUT US IN THE WARM SECTOR OVERNIGHT
KEEPING LOWS NEAR 70 FOR EVERYONE.

TRAILING COOL FRONT SHOULD PUSH ALL THE WAY THROUGH THE CWA BY
MID-DAY ON WEDNESDAY.  EVERYONE SHOULD SEE RAIN BETWEEN NOW AND
THEN.  SOME MORE THAN OTHERS OF COURSE.  MID TO HIGH CLOUDS RETURN ON
THURSDAY FROM THE ACTIVITY THAT WILL BE TAKING PLACE BACK TO OUR
WEST.  RAIN CHANCES LOOKING PRETTY GOOD FOR THE WEEKEND AS WX
PARAMETERS LINE-UP OVER US IN THE SWRLY FLOW.

BHM 070/079 064/080 060/ 7+30
MGM 072/083 067/084 064/ 4+42

.BHM...NONE.

ALZ011>015-017>050-022030-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
130 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR THE COUNTIES SERVED BY THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN BIRMINGHAM.

.DAY ONE (THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)...

A WARM FRONT WILL MOVE NORTHWARD ACROSS THE STATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING WHICH WILL BRING MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR BACK
INTO THE AREA. AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM ALONG WITH AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE TO BRING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS WEST ALABAMA THIS AFTERNOON AND TO THE REST OF THE STATE
THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. SOME STORMS WILL BE STRONG WITH AN
ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE.  THE MAIN THREAT FROM THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE STRONG GUSTY WINDS, HAIL, AND HEAVY RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)...

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MAKES ITS WAY THROUGH THE STATE ON TUESDAY.
SOME STRONG STORMS ARE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING.  ON
WEDNESDAY...THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY HANGS AROUND SOUTHEAST ALABAMA AS
MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIR WILL STILL BE IN PLACE AND MAKE CONDITIONS
FAVORABLE FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS.  FOR THE WEEKEND...ANOTHER
COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH ALABAMA...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF STRONG
THUNDERSTORMS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SEVERE STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
PERSONNEL IS NOT ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER THEY ARE ADVISED
TO KEEP UP WITH THE LATEST WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT.

ALZ022-022245-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
508 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2003

.A THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR PICKENS COUNTY UNTIL 545 PM
CDT...

.FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE FROM APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORMS.

AT 503 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED TWO
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...ONE STORM 7 MILES WEST OF REFORM...AND THE
OTHER STORM 7 MILES SOUTH OF CARROLLTON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH.

THESE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR
CARROLLTON...REFORM...PALMETTO...GORDO AND HARPERS MILL THROUGH 545
PM CDT.

LAT...LON 3346 8821 3353 8809 3353 8785 3319 8784
          3310 8798 3307 8813

ALZ013-023-022330-

THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
538 PM CDT MON JUN 2 2003

.A THUNDERSTORM ADVISORY IN EFFECT FOR TUSCALOOSA AND FAYETTE
COUNTIES UNTIL 630 PM CDT...

.FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING IS POSSIBLE FROM AN APPROACHING
THUNDERSTORM.

AT 529 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
THUNDERSTORM 15 MILES NORTHWEST OF ELROD...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25
MPH.

THIS THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT AREAS IN AND NEAR FAYETTE AND BERRY
THROUGH 630 PM CDT.

THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM THESE STORMS IS STRONG WINDS. WINDS 35 TO 45
MPH ARE LIKELY WITH THESE STORMS. OUTDOOR OBJECTS SUCH AS LAWN
FURNITURE...TRASH CANS....OR OTHER HOUSEHOLD ITEMS COULD BE BLOWN
AROUND.

LAT...LON 3354 8780 3315 8782 3349 8744 3365 8749
          3389 8769 3384 8792 3355 8791