Severe Thunderstorm Warning 1, NWS Birmingham, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM, AL
303 AM CST WED JAN 22 2003

OK...IM COMING TO GRIPS.

A BAND OF ELEVATED SHOWERS...WITH A COUPLE OF THUNDER BOOMERS...ARE
STREAMING ACROSS CENTRAL AL/MS AT THIS HOUR...BEHIND THE FRONT.  THE
FRONT (FIRST PUSH OF COLD AIR) IS CURRENTLY STRETCHED ACROSS THE
CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE GULF STATES.  IM EXPECTING THE SHOWERS...
AND OCCASIONAL BOOMER...TO CONTINUE THROUGH MID-DAY FOR GOOD OL
AL...AS THE SHORTWAVE (ENERGY) SLIDES SOUTHWARD AND EASTWARD INTO THE
BASE OF THE BROAD LONGWAVE TROF.

NOW...THE SURE NUFF MEANS BUSINESS...I RENAMED IT...COLD BLAST OF
AIR IS GOING TO HIT THE STATE THIS EVENING.  NO MATTER HOW
RIDICULOUS I THINK THESE NUMBERS ARE...IM BELIEVING THEM ENOUGH TO
ADJUST THE TEMPS DOWNWARD YET AGAIN.  IM SHAKING MY HEAD IN THOUGHT
THAT THE DAYTIME TEMPS ON THURSDAY ARE GOING TO BE AT FREEZING OR
BELOW...AND THAT MOST WILL SEE LOWS IN THE SINGLE DIGITS ON FRIDAY
MORN.  BUT...IM GOING TO PUT IT IN THE FORECAST...AND YOUVE GOT TO
BELIEVE ME...BECAUSE I NEVER BOMB A FORECAST.  TO ADD INSULT TO
INJURY...WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL BE OUT OF THE NW AT 10 TO 20 MPH...
CAUSING A SERIOUS WINDCHILL FOR US SOUTHERNERS.  TO EARLY FOR THIS
SHIFT TO ISSUE A FREEZE WATCH...BUT ONE WILL BE COMING SOON

THE WEEKEND IS LOOKING A LITTLE MORE CLOUDY THAN YESTERDAYS
FORECAST...BUT STILL DRY. TEMPS WILL BE SLOW RECOVERY.

BHM TU 047/021 027/006 033/21 9000
MGM EU 054/029 033/010 035/21 4100

.BHM...NONE.

JONES/90

ALZ011>015-017>050-212100-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
107 PM CST TUE JAN 21 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL ALABAMA...AND A PART OF
NORTH ALABAMA.

.DAY ONE (THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT)...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN (WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...

ANOTHER ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL INVADE ALABAMA BY THE END OF THE WEEK.
THE COLDEST MORNING WILL LIKELY BE FRIDAY MORNING...WHEN
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE TEENS ACROSS ALL OF
CENTRAL ALABAMA.  THERE MAY EVEN BE A FEW SINGLE DIGIT READINGS IN
OUTLYING AREAS NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.  WIND CHILL VALUES WILL BE
EVEN COLDER.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL WILL
NOT BE NECESSARY.

ALZ011>015-017>050-222205-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
421 AM CST WED JAN 22 2003

...FRIGID WEATHER TO RETURN TO CENTRAL ALABAMA...

A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
EARLY THIS MORNING...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALL THE WAY INTO
SOUTH ALABAMA BY NOONTIME.  A COLD SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL BEGIN TO
INVADE THE DEEP SOUTH BY THIS EVENING.  AS A RESULT TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STEADY THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND BEGIN FALLING
THIS EVENING.  IT LOOKS LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING
TONIGHT...AND MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING THROUGH
SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY MAY STRUGGLE TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 20S
FROM THE CITIES OF TUSCALOOSA...BIRMINGHAM...AND WEDOWEE NORTHWARD.
EVEN AS FAR SOUTH AS TROY AND EUFAULA...THE MERCURY WILL LIKELY HAVE
A TOUGH TIME CLIMBING ABOVE FREEZING THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  WITH STEADY
NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MILES AN HOUR...TEMPERATURES WILL FEEL MUCH
COLDER.

THE COLDEST MORNING IS WILL BE FRIDAY MORNING.  LOW TEMPERATURES IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL LIKELY BE COMMON NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.
TEMPERATURES NEAR TEN DEGREES CAN BE EXPECTED SOUTH OF THERE.
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL BE NOT AS COLD.

NOW IS THE TIME TO MAKE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
MAKE FREQUENT CHECKS ON THE ELDERLY.  MAKE SURE FURNACES ARE WORKING
AND HEATING THE HOUSE PROPERLY.  ENSURE THAT PORTABLE HEATERS ARE IN
PROPER WORKING ORDER.

PETS ARE ALSO SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE EXTREME COLD.  KEEP PETS INDOORS AS
MUCH AS POSSIBLE.  IF THIS IS NOT POSSIBLE...MAKE SURE OUTDOOR PETS
HAVE WARM DRY SHELTER...AND PROVIDE SUFFICIENT FOOD AND FRESH
UNFROZEN WATER.

ALZ011>015-017>050-222205-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BIRMINGHAM AL
430 AM CST WED JAN 22 2003

...FRIGID WEATHER TO RETURN TO CENTRAL ALABAMA...

A COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED THROUGH MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
EARLY THIS MORNING...AND IT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ALL THE WAY INTO
SOUTH ALABAMA BY NOONTIME.  A COLD SURGE OF ARCTIC AIR WILL BEGIN TO
INVADE THE DEEP SOUTH BY THIS EVENING.  AS A RESULT TEMPERATURES WILL
REMAIN NEARLY STEADY THROUGH LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND BEGIN FALLING
THIS EVENING.  IT LOOKS LIKE TEMPERATURES WILL DROP BELOW FREEZING
TONIGHT...AND MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN BELOW FREEZING THROUGH
SATURDAY.

TEMPERATURES ON THURSDAY MAY STRUGGLE TO CLIMB INTO THE UPPER 20S
FROM THE CITIES OF TUSCALOOSA...BIRMINGHAM...AND WEDOWEE NORTHWARD.
EVEN AS FAR SOUTH AS TROY AND EUFAULA...THE MERCURY WILL LIKELY HAVE
A TOUGH TIME CLIMBING ABOVE FREEZING THURSDAY AFTERNOON.  WITH STEADY
NORTH WINDS OF 10 TO 20 MILES AN HOUR...TEMPERATURES WILL FEEL MUCH
COLDER.

THE COLDEST MORNING WILL BE FRIDAY MORNING.  LOW TEMPERATURES IN
THE SINGLE DIGITS WILL LIKELY BE COMMON NORTH OF INTERSTATE 20.
TEMPERATURES NEAR TEN DEGREES CAN BE EXPECTED SOUTH OF THERE.
TEMPERATURES ON SATURDAY MORNING WILL NOT BE AS COLD.

NOW IS THE TIME TO MAKE PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY.
MAKE FREQUENT CHECKS ON THE ELDERLY.  MAKE SURE FURNACES ARE WORKING
AND HEATING THE HOUSE PROPERLY.  ENSURE THAT PORTABLE HEATERS ARE IN
PROPER WORKING ORDER.

PETS ARE ALSO SUSCEPTIBLE TO THE EXTREME COLD.  KEEP PETS INDOORS AS
MUCH AS POSSIBLE.  IF THIS IS NOT POSSIBLE...MAKE SURE OUTDOOR PETS
HAVE WARM DRY SHELTER...AND PROVIDE SUFFICIENT FOOD AND FRESH
UNFROZEN WATER.