Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 32, NWS Bismarck, ND

June 15, 2003Renville County, Ward County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 15, 2003, 4:45 PM CDT for Renville County, Ward County, North Dakota. It was in force for 60 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jun 15, 2003, 4:45 PM CDT (21:45 UTC)
Expired: Jun 15, 2003, 5:45 PM CDT
In force: 60 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

Counties Renville County, ND, Ward County, ND

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The watch it was issued in

The SPC watch in force over the same counties when this warning went out.

Issued	Product	Office	Lasted
Jun 15, 3:40 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Watch	SPC	5 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 9.8 hours before the alert went out and 241 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 409 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -198 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1369 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 36 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 129 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

015 
WUUS53 KBIS 152145
SVRBIS
NDC075-101-152245-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
444 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  RENVILLE COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA
  NORTHWESTERN WARD COUNTY IN NORTH CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA

* UNTIL 545 PM CDT

* AT 444 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF DONNYBROOK...OR ABOUT 39
  MILES NORTHWEST OF MINOT...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  NORMA...TOLLEY AT 510 PM CDT
  GRANO AT 520 PM CDT
  MOHALL...LORAINE AT 545 PM CDT

HEAVY RAINS MAY FLOOD LOW LYING AREAS SUCH AS DITCHES AND
UNDERPASSES. AVOID THESE AREAS AND DO NOT CROSS FLOODED ROADS AS THEY
MAY BE WASHED OUT. WATER LEVELS OF SMALL STREAMS AND RIVERS MAY ALSO
RISE...THEREFORE SEEK HIGHER GROUND IF THREATENED BY FLOOD WATERS.

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 900 PM CDT SUNDAY
EVENING FOR WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA.

LAT...LON 4899 10200 4880 10201 4880 10217 4846 10194
          4848 10146 4899 10152

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 15, 2:45 PM CDT, 2 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 2:45 PM CDT, 2 hours before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
245 PM CDT SUN JUN 15 2003

THUNDERSTORM THREAT REMAINS THE MAIN CONCERN THIS FORECAST PERIOD.
WILL ALSO MENTION HEAVY RAIN...

CURRENT INDICATIONS ARE MOISTURE AND INMSTABILITY INCREASING ACROSS
THE REGION. BAND OF WEAK CONVECTION HAS BEEN SLOWLY DEVELOPING
ACROSS MONTANA INTO NORTHWEST MINNESOTA. WAITING FOR SHORT WAVE
ASSOCITED WITH JET STREAK FORECAST BY ETA MODEL TO FOCUS THE
THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHWEST NORTHEAST LINE. THIS WILLLEND TO TRAINING
CELLS SO ALONG WITH ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY HEAVY RAINFALL
IS POSSIBLE. WILL MENTION IIN ZONES. HAVE USED ETA MODEL AS THIS
SEEMED TO BETTER FOCUS THE PRECIPITATION AREAS AROUND THE JET STREAK
AND SURFACE BOUNDAY THROUGH 36 HOURS. BY MONDAY AFERNOON TRHE
SURFACE BOUNDARY SLIDES SOUTHEAST ND H5 RIDGING BEGINS TO BUILD INTO
TEH NORTHERN PLAINS. THIS SHOULD CUT OFF PRECIP CHANCES MONDAY NIGHT
INTO THE MIDDLE OF THE WEEK. IN THE EXTENDED...WILL BROAD BRUSH
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORSM FROM FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

.BIS...NONE.

WAA

Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 9:20 AM CDT, 7 hours 25 minutes before

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-161420-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
920 AM CDT SUN JUN 15 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. A TROUGH OF LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN NORTH DAKOTA WILL
MOVE SLOWLY EAST TODAY. STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
DEVELOP...SOME OF WHICH MAY BECOME SEVERE. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND LARGE HAIL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ANOTHER FAIRLY STRONG SYSTEM WILL BRING THE CHANCE
OF ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THE MAIN THREAT WILL BE LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING
THUNDERSTORM WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED

SHULZ

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jun 14, 7:24 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mountrail	61 min
Jun 15, 4:31 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau	59 min
Jun 15, 5:34 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bottineau	56 min
Jun 15, 5:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bowman, Slope	56 min
Jun 15, 6:45 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Dunn	60 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.