Alert archive / North Dakota / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2003

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 128, NWS Bismarck, ND

July 18, 2003Mountrail County, North Dakota

NWS Bismarck, ND issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 18, 2003, 7:53 AM CDT for Mountrail County, North Dakota. It was in force for 52 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued: Jul 18, 2003, 7:53 AM CDT (12:53 UTC)
Expired: Jul 18, 2003, 8:45 AM CDT
In force: 52 min
Issued by: NWS Bismarck, ND
Area: Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Mountrail County, ND

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Bismarck Municip, ND (KBIS), launched 12:00Z, 0.9 hours before the alert went out and 230 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL: 1332 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 52 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 29 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 118 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.0
Supercell composite: 0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS53 KBIS 181253
SVRBIS
NDC061-181345-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
752 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2003

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN BISMARCK HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN MOUNTRAIL COUNTY IN NORTHWEST NORTH DAKOTA

* UNTIL 845 AM CDT

* AT 752 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM 7 MILES NORTHWEST OF WHITE EARTH...OR ABOUT 37
  MILES SOUTHEAST OF CROSBY...MOVING SOUTHEAST AT 25 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR...
  WHITE EARTH AT 800 AM CDT
  ROSS AT 820 AM CDT

IN ADDITION TO THE THREAT OF STRONG WINDS AND LARGE HAIL...THIS 
STORM HAS THE POTENTIAL FOR VERY HEAVY RAIN. DO NOT CROSS FLOODED 
ROADS.

LAT...LON 4856 10288 4840 10285 4817 10275 4800 10255
          4827 10234 4846 10260

$$

VINING

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Bismarck, ND wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 18, 2:35 AM CDT, 5 hours 18 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 18, 2:35 AM CDT, 5 hours 18 minutes before

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
235 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2003

SURFACE LOW PRESSURE TROUGH FROM SRN SASKATCHEWAN THROUGH ERN
MONTANA TO ERN WYOMING PROGGED TO LIE ACROSS WRN
MANITOBA/MINOT/DICKINSON LINE BY AROUND 18Z...THEN DRIFT EASTWARD TO
A DEVILS LAKE/BISMARCK LINE BY 00Z. PLENTY OF CAPE WITH OVER 2000
VALUES ACROSS MUCH OF WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA TODAY. MAIN
FOCUS OF THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT WILL BE ALONG THIS BOUNDARY THAT
WILL HAVE THE BEST SURFACE CONVERGENCE AND POOLING OF LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE. CAPPED ENVIRONMENT AT MID LEVELS WILL PROBABLY BE BROKEN
BY GOOD SURFACE HEATING ALONG SURFACE BOUNDARY. RAISED POPS TODAY
AND THIS EVENING FOR AREAS IN VICINITY OF SURFACE BOUNDARY. WILL
MENTION SEVERE POSSIBILITIES.

BY SATURDAY MORNING THE SURFACE BOUNDARY IS MAINLY SOUTH AND EAST OF
FORECAST AREA WITH DRY HIGH PRESSURE FROM WESTERN CANADA FILTERING
INTO ND. WILL LOWER POPS A TAD AND PUT ONLY SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDER
IN FOR SATURDAY. A COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH SATURDAY NIGHT BRINGING A
CHANCE OF SHOWERS OR THUNDERSHOWERS. NO CHANGES IN EXTENDED PLANNED.

BIS...NONE.

VINING

Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 18, 5:08 AM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before

NDZ001>005-009>013-017>023-025-031>037-040>048-050-051-191000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND
508 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WESTERN AND CENTRAL NORTH
DAKOTA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THERE IS A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TODAY OVER ALL OF WESTERN AND
CENTRAL NORTH DAKOTA. SOME STORMS MAY BE SEVERE AND CONTAIN HEAVY
RAINFALL.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED ACROSS WESTERN AND CENTRAL
NORTH DAKOTA TODAY.

VINING

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 18, 7:14 AM CDT, 39 minutes before

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BISMARCK ND

714 AM CDT FRI JUL 18 2003

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...

           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0610 AM    CROSBY                    ND   .88 INCH HAIL

07/18/03   DIVIDE                         Reported by Law

                                          Enforcement

The office that day

Everything else NWS Bismarck, ND issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
Jul 17, 7:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Bowman, Slope	50 min
Jul 18, 5:56 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Divide	59 min
Jul 18, 6:35 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke	55 min
Jul 18, 6:37 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Williams	48 min
Jul 18, 7:21 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Williams	59 min
Jul 18, 8:43 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Mountrail	32 min
Jul 18, 10:17 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Ward	28 min
Jul 18, 10:26 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke	34 min
Jul 18, 11:03 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Burke	57 min
Jul 18, 11:57 AM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Ward	63 min
Jul 18, 12:51 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Renville	39 min
Jul 18, 1:02 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	BIS	Ward	58 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in North Dakota, 2003 Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2003

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.