Flash Flood Warning 15, NWS Wakefield, VA

000 
WGUS71 KAKQ 040229
FFSAKQ
VAC007-111-135-147-040255-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1030 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 1215 AM EDT FOR   
AMELIA...PRINCE EDWARD...LUNENBURG AND NOTTOWAY COUNTIES...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED THUNDERSTORMS AND 
SHOWERS...SOME WITH HEAVY RAINFALL...CONTINUING OVER 
NOTTOWAY...PRINCE EDWARD...AMELIA AND NORTHERN LUNENBURG COUNTIES. 
ALTHOUGH THE RAINFALL INTENSITY HAS DIMINISHED...SOME AREAS FROM 
CENTRAL AMELIA COUNTY SOUTHWEST INTO NORTHERN LUNENBURG COUNTY HAVE 
RECEIVED 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAIN. ANOTHER ONE HALF TO ONE INCH OF RAIN 
IS POSSIBLE THROUGH 1130 PM.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

$$

SAMMLER
&&
LAT...LON 3701 7847 3692 7810 3735 7776 3742 7823

000 
WGUS71 KAKQ 040313
FFSAKQ
VAC007-111-135-147-040340-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
1110 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2003

...THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WHICH WAS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1215 AM EDT FOR 
AMELIA...PRINCE EDWARD...LUNENBURG AND NOTTOWAY COUNTIES HAS BEEN 
CANCELLED...

AT 1110 PM...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED 
THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUING ACROSS NOTTOWAY...LUNENBURG...PRINCE EDWARD 
AND AMELIA COUNTIES. HOWEVER...THE STORMS HAVE WEAKENED...AND ONLY 
ISOLATED AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNED AREA. NO 
FLOODING REPORTS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED AT THIS TIME. HOWEVER...SOME 
RURAL ROADWAYS STILL MAY BE COVERED WITH WATER. MOTORISTS ARE 
ADVISED TO AVOID DRIVING THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

$$
SAMMLER
&&
LAT...LON 3705 7845 3695 7811 3732 7776 3747 7815

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD, VA
740 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2003

SENDING A QUICK UPDATE TO INCRS POPS TO LKLY WRN 1/3 OF CWA BASED
UPON CURRENT CONDS...WATER VAPOR IMAGERY AND 18Z META/GFS. ALL APPR
TO HAVE LATCHED ONTO SHRTWV CURRENTLY SEEN EXTDG FROM NWRN SC INTO
ERN OH. THIS FTR SHOULD MAINTAIN CURRENT CNVTV PATTERN ACRS WRN 1/3
OF RGN...MOVG SLOWLY EWD OVERNGT. DONT THINK WELL SEE MUCH ACTVTY
BEFORE MRNG ACRS THE ERN 1/3...AND HAVE THUS LWRD POPS THERE. TEMPS
LOOK FINE...BUT WILL MONITOR FOR PSBL UPDATE LATER.

CONSIDERED FFA FOR WRN PTNS...BUT WILL HOLD OFF ATTM.

***************PREVIOUS DISCUSSION*****************

.OVERVIEW...CONVECTION WELL UNDERWAY THIS AFTN AS WK S/W
ALONG WITH COASTAL TROF FEATURE HAVE TRIGGERED SHRA/TSRA
ACRS ERN PORTIONS OF THE CWA. WITH PWS NEAR 2.0...MOISTURE
CONTS TO STREAM NORTHWARD...WITH THE HEAVIER RAIN ALONG
CONVERGENCE ASSOCIATED WITH CSTL TROF. LOCALIZED NUISANCE
FLOODING LIKELY THE THREAT THIS AFTN/EVE...BUT WL QUICKLY
DIMINISH WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HTG.

STEADY STREAM OF TROPICAL MOISTURE AND PERSISTENT UPPER TROF
WL KEEP THE CHC FOR AFTN AND EVE CONVECTION THROUGH MUCH OF
THE WEEK. XPCT A VERY BRIEF BRK TUE NIGHT/WED TIME FRAME MAYBE.
SEEMS LIKE A BKN RECORD BUT WITH MOISTURE REMAINING IN PLACE
WL KP CHC FOR AT LEAST SCT ACTIVITY THRU THE PD.

.MARINE...NO FLAGS XPCTD.

FCSTID =   59
SBY   71  85  70  83 /  40  50  50  50
OXB   72  84  71  79 /  40  40  40  50
ECG   75  87  74  84 /  40  40  40  50
ORF   75  87  74  84 /  40  40  40  50
PHF   71  86  72  83 /  50  50  50  50
AKQ   71  87  72  84 /  50  50  50  50
RIC   71  86  71  84 /  50  50  50  50
FVX   71  85  69  85 /  50  50  50  50

.AKQ...
MD...NONE.
NC...NONE.
VA...NONE.

SAMMLER

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>100-031600-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
430 AM EDT SUN AUG 03 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

OTHER THAN SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WITH OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL...NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS
TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

44

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES...AND
STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
WAKEFIELD, VA CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING
(LOWER CASE): WEATHER.NOAA.GOV/AKQ.

VAZ048-049-061-062-032130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
358 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORM MOVING INTO **LOCATION**...

AT 355 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHARLOTTESVILLE TO
12 MILES EAST OF BENT CREEK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR PALMYRA AROUND 420 PM...FORK UNION
AROUND 425 PM...LOUISA AROUND 450 PM AND CARTERSVILLE AROUND 455 PM.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER AND ROAD
CONDITIONS...AND SLOW DOWN DUE T0 THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

IT ONLY TAKES ONE LIGHTNING STRIKE TO KILL. PERSONS OUTSIDE SHOULD
SEEK SAFE SHELTER IF LIGHTNING IS SEEN...THUNDER HEARD...OR
THREATENING CLOUDS APPROACH.

SAMMLER
&&
LAT...LON 3813 7864 3759 7859 3752 7813 3816 7793

VAZ048-049-061-062-032130-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED HEADLINE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
358 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2003

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS MOVING INTO THE EASTERN VIRGINIA PIEDMONT...

AT 355 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS FROM 5 MILES NORTHEAST OF CHARLOTTESVILLE TO
12 MILES EAST OF BENT CREEK...MOVING EAST AT 20 MPH. THE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR PALMYRA AROUND 420 PM...FORK UNION
AROUND 425 PM...LOUISA AROUND 450 PM AND CARTERSVILLE AROUND 455 PM.

FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL RAINFALL ARE POSSIBLE IN
THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD BE ALERT FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER AND ROAD
CONDITIONS...AND SLOW DOWN DUE T0 THESE THUNDERSTORMS.

IT ONLY TAKES ONE LIGHTNING STRIKE TO KILL. PERSONS OUTSIDE SHOULD
SEEK SAFE SHELTER IF LIGHTNING IS SEEN...THUNDER HEARD...OR
THREATENING CLOUDS APPROACH.

SAMMLER
&&
LAT...LON 3813 7864 3759 7859 3752 7813 3816 7793

VAZ063-064-070>075-081>083-032100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
409 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2003

...THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAIN OCCURRING ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

AT 400 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDING FROM NEAR
COLONIAL BEACH SOUTHWARD TO THE TRI CITIES AREA. THE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS WERE MOVING NORTH AROUND 25 MPH...AND WILL AFFECT THE
RICHMOND METRO AREA...AS WELL AS THE I-95 CORRIDOR BETWEEN THE TRI
CITIES AND ASHLAND THROUGH 5 PM. FREQUENT LIGHTNING AND BRIEF
TORRENTIAL RAINFALL CAN BE EXPECTED.

MOTORISTS TRAVELING THIS AFTERNOON BETWEEN THE TRI CITIES AREA AND
FREDERICKSBURG SHOULD BE ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD AND WEATHER
CONDITIONS...AND SLOW DOWN IF HEAVY RAIN IS ENCOUNTERED. KEEP PLENTY
OF DISTANCE BETWEEN YOURSELF AND THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF YOU.

MOST LIGHTNING FATALITIES AND INJURIES OCCUR IN OPEN FIELDS OR UNDER
TREES. IF OUTDOORS...SEEK SHELTER IN A STURDY BUILDING OR CAR. DO NOT
TAKE SHELTER IN SMALL SHEDS...UNDER ISOLATED TREES...OR IN
CONVERTIBLE AUTOMOBILES.

SAMMLER

VAZ060-065>067-079-080-040000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
711 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2003

...THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING OVER SOUTHSIDE VIRGINIA...

AT 705 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS INCREASING ACROSS BRUNSWICK...MECKLENBURG AND
LUNENBURG COUNTIES...LIFTING NORTH AT 25 MPH. THE STRONGEST STORMS
WERE IN VICINITY OF JOHN KERR RESERVOIR IN SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST MECKLENBURG COUNTY. THE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL
AFFECT THE CLARKSVILLE...CHASE CITY...SOUTH HILL...VICTORIA AND
LAWRENCEVILLE AREAS THROUGH 8 PM.

EXPECT FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN
THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS.
BOATERS ON JOHN KERR RESERVOIR SHOULD REMAIN IN PORT UNTIL ABOUT 8
PM.

SAMMLER
&&
LAT...LON 3721 7785 3656 7771 3654 7874 3736 7869

VAZ060>062-065>070-079-080-040100-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
757 PM EDT SUN AUG 3 2003

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTH CENTRAL AND CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

AT 755 PM...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS...SOME CONTAINING TORRENTIAL RAIN AND FREQUENT
LIGHTNING...EXTENDING FROM 10 MILES NORTH OF LAWRENCEVILLE TO 5
MILES NORTHWEST OF CHASE CITY. OTHER THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING
IN A LINE FROM NORTHERN LUNENBURG COUNTY NORTHWARD TO NEAR POWHATAN.
ALL OF THE SHOWERS AND STORMS WERE MOVING NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.

EXPECT FREQUENT DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IN
THE PATH OF THESE STORMS. HEAVY RAINFALL MAY CAUSE PONDING OF WATER
ON ROADWAYS AND POSSIBLE LOCALIZED FLOODING IN LOW LYING AREAS.
MOTORISTS SHOULD USE EXTRA CAUTION WHILE TRAVELING THIS
EVENING...AND BE PREPARED FOR RAPIDLY CHANGING ROAD AND WEATHER
CONDITIONS. MAKE SURE YOU KEEP PLENTY OF ROOM BETWEEN YOURSELF AND
THE VEHICLE IN FRONT OF YOU.

SAMMLER
&&
LAT...LON 3673 7860 3670 7773 3766 7760 3780 7877