Flash Flood Warning 14, NWS Wakefield, VA

000 
WGUS71 KAKQ 301942
FFSAKQ
VAC131-302045-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
340 PM EDT WED JUL 30 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR              
   NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED NEARLY 3 INCHES OF 
RAIN HAS FALLEN DURING THE PAST 2 HOURS. HEAVY RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO 
FALL AT THE RATE OF ONE AND ONE HALF INCHES PER HOUR THROUGH AT 
LEAST 415 PM. THE BACK EDGE OF THE HEAVY RAIN WILL MOVE FROM 
SOUTHWEST TO NORTHEAST ACROSS NORTHAMPTON COUNTY BETWEEN 415 AND 445 
PM.

THE HEAVY RAINFALL WAS CAUSING FLASH FLOODING IN EASTVILLE. 

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

$$

CULLEN

000 
WGUS71 KAKQ 302024
FFSAKQ
VAC131-302045-

FLASH FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
423 PM EDT WED JUL 30 2003

...A FLASH FLOOD WARNING CONTINUES UNTIL 445 PM EDT FOR  
   NORTHAMPTON COUNTY...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED BETWEEN 3 AND 4 
INCHES OF RAIN HAS FALLEN DURING THE PAST 3 HOURS. AT 420 PM...RADAR 
SHOWS THE HEAVY RAIN HAS BEGUN TO TAPER OFF OVER THE SOUTHERN PART 
OF THE COUNTY...SOUTH OF EASTVILLE. THE BACK EDGE OF THE HEAVY RAIN
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE NORTHEAST ACROSS THE COUNTY REACHING EXMORE 
AND WILLIS WHARF BY AROUND 445 PM.

DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE INTO AREAS WHERE THE WATER COVERS THE
ROADWAY. VEHICLES CAUGHT IN RISING WATER SHOULD BE ABANDONED. MOVE TO
HIGHER GROUND.

$$

CULLEN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
445 AM EDT WED JUL 30 2003

.OVERVIEW...RELATIVELY GREY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
THROUGH SAT...AS LINGERING FRONTAL BOUNDARY AND MOIST FLOW ALOFT
PERSIST. BERMUDA HIGH BUILDS IN LATE SAT TO DRY THINGS OUT A BIT.
APPRCHNG UPR LOW IS GUD FOR DIURNAL POPS FOR START OF NXT WEEK.

.SHORT TERM...INTERESTING PATTERN...MORE TYPICAL OF EARLY SPRING OR
LATE FALL THAN MID SUMMER. HAVE SFC WEDGE OF HIGH PRES SETTING UP
OVER CWA...W/ FRNTL BNDRY TO S...W/ WAVES OF LW PRES RIDING ALNG IT.
THIS SHLD ALLOW FOR OVER RUNNING PRECIP TO N OF FRONT ADN SHRA/TSTMS
TO S. KEY TO HOW FAST FRONT LIFTS N THRU CWA IS HOW FAST THE EDGE
ERODES. GFS IS THE MOST PROGRESSIVE  W/ THE FRONT...AND THE ETA
SLOWER...BECAUSE IT HOLDS THE WEDGE IN UNTIL THU NIGHT...WHILE GFS
BREAKS IT DOWN TONIGHT. GIVEN THE FACT THAT THE ETA HISTORICALLY
HANDLES DAMMING SITUATIONS BETTER IN THE SHORT TERM THAN THE GFS...
AND RECENT IMPROVEMENTS TO THE ETA THAT SHLD HELP IT MAINTAIN THE
WEDGE LONGER THAN IT USED TO (AN IMPROVEMENT)...LEANED TOWARD ETA
AND MET GDNC IN SHORT TERM. AS FAR AS SENSIBLE WX GOES UPPED POPS
TO LKLY ACRS SRN 1/3 OF CWA...W/ SCT SHRA REMAINDER. THEN MAINTAIN
CHC SHRA N OF FRONT TSTM S OF FRONT THRU THU...THEN CHC TSTM THU
NIGHT AND FRI...W/ FRONT FINALLY TO N OF CWA. INCREASED CLD CVR...
KEEPING ENTIRE CWA AT LST M CLDY...AND AS A REULT TWKD HIGHS DWN A
BIT...FCST LWS ALRDY WHERE CLOSE TO TDS...SO NO MAJOR ADJUSTMENT
THERE. THE RESULT WILL BE BLW NRML TMPS TO CLOSE OUT THE WORK WEEK

.EXTENDED...SAT SHLD BE LAST MAINLY GREY DAY...AS BERMUDA HIGH BLDNG
IN SHLD DRY THINGS OUT FRM E TO W SAT NIGHT. RETURN OF SUN...AND 850
TEMPS IN UPR TEENS...SPELL ABV NORMAL TEMPS SUN AND MON...W/
APPRCHNG UPR LOW AND ASSOC SFC RFLCTN ALLWNG FOR DIURNAL POPS.
WHILE DID NOT CHANGE FCST FOR TUE...THERE SEEMS TO BE A CONSENSUS FOR
A CUT OFF LW TO BE ARND THE MID ATLC STATES ON TUE...SO DRY FCST
MIGHT BE A BIT OPTIMISTIC...EVEN THOUGH SFC CLD FRNT SHLD BE E OF
CWA.

.MARINE...STILL A MARKEDLY QUITE SUMMER ON THE MARINE FRONT...WINDS
BLW 20 KTS...XCPT ON CSTL WTRS SAT AND SUN DUE TO TIGHTENING PRES
GRAD BTWN BLDG IN OF BERMUDA HIGH AND SLW MVNG SFC LOW OVR GRT LKS.

.PRELIMINARY TEMPS/POPS...
SBY 76 66 77 67 / 30 30 40 30
OXB 74 70 75 70 / 30 30 40 30
WAL 75 71 76 71 / 30 30 40 30
FVX 76 67 79 68 / 50 40 40 30
RIC 77 69 78 70 / 50 40 40 30
PTB 78 68 79 70 / 60 40 40 30
AKQ 78 68 80 69 / 60 50 40 30
PHF 78 69 81 71 / 60 40 40 30
ORF 79 72 80 74 / 60 50 40 30
ECG 80 70 82 72 / 70 50 40 30

.AKQ...
.MD...NONE.
.VA...NONE.
.NC...NONE.

MALOIT

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-049-060>100-301600-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
530 AM EDT WED JUL 30 2003

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL AND EASTERN VIRGINIA...
NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA AND THE LOWER MARYLAND EASTERN SHORE.

.DAY ONE...TODAY

OTHER THAN SOME SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WITH LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...POSSIBLY CAUSING LOCALIZED FLOODING...NO HAZARDOUS
WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

33

THIS PRODUCT...ALONG WITH OTHER WATCHES...WARNINGS...ADVISORIES
AND STATEMENTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN
WAKEFIELD, VA CAN BE FOUND ON THE INTERNET AT THE FOLLOWING (LOWER
CASE): WEATHER.NOAA.GOV/AKQ.