Severe Thunderstorm Warning 213, NWS Topeka, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
335 PM CDT SUN AUG 18 2002

FNTS WILL TRAVERSE THE AREA THRU NEXT 36 HRS BRINGG CHC OF PCPN AND
CHANGES IN WX. CURRENTLY WARM FNT ALNG KS-NE BRDR CONTS TO DRIFT
NORTH WITH GOOD CLEARING NOTED OVER CWA. TEMPS AND DEW PTS HAVE SHOT
UP AS SRLY WINDS INCRSG. HOWEVER RATHER VIGOROUS SHORTWV CONTS TO
MOVE SEWD AND WILL MOVE MAINLY ACRSS NRN PLNS TONIGT AND ERLY MON.
SRN PTN OF WAVE WILL AFFECT LOCAL AREA AND PUSH FNT SWD LATE TONGT
AND MONDAY WITH NERLY FLO AT SFC. FNT WILL STALL LT MONDAY AND THEN
RETURN NORTH AGAIN MON NGHT AND TUES AS WARM FNT...THIS TIME TO STAY
NORTH OF AREA FOR A COUPLE OF DAYS.

UPR SHORTWV TNGT MVG ACROS FNT SHUD FIRE LARGE CONVECTIVE AREA WHICH
WILL MOVE THRU MOST OF CWA, ESPECIALLY NRN PTNS, LATE. WOULD NOT
EXPECT PCPN UNTIL AFTR MIDN OR SO WITH EVENG HOURS DRY DUE TO ATMOS
BEING WARM AND CAPPED. WILL MENTION PSBL HVY RAINFALL TONIGHT DUE TO
HIGH DEWPTS, PWS AND PSBL TRAING ECHOES.

ON MONDAY WITH FNT AGAIN SOUTH OF AREA WOULD EXPCT CLDS AND COOLER
TEMPS WITH MINIMAL CHC OF PCPN. WILL KEEP CURRENT LO POPS. BY MON
NGT FNT AGAIN WORKS NWD WITH BETTR CHC OF PCPN AS LO LVL JET SETS UP
AND OVERRNG PCPN.

IN LATR PDS, APPEARS ANOTHER FROPA LATE FRIDAY OR SATURDAY. PRIOR TO
FNT TEMPS PEAK IN THE 90S, ALITTLE HIGHER THAN FMR TEMPS. NO PCPN
WITH LATE WEEK FRNT, BUT MAY HAVE TO ADD IN LATR FCSTS.

.TOP...NONE

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