Severe Thunderstorm Warning 183, NWS Topeka, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
354 PM CDT THU JUL 25 2002

HEAT AND HUMIDITY MAIN CONCERNS NEXT FEW DAYS WITH SOME
PRECIPITATION CHANCES...THEN PRECIPITATION CHANCES SUNDAY AFTERNOON
INTO MONDAY NIGHT.

TEMPERATURES AROUND THE CENTURY MARK ACROSS CWA WITH HEAT INDICES
FROM AROUND 100 TO 108 DEGREES.  MID LEVEL WARMTH STILL HOLDING AS
CAP.  OVERNIGHT FOCUS WILL ON SHORTWAVE COMING OUT OF ROCKIES...FLAT
FLOW HAS IT MOVING DUE EAST...WILL KEEP 30 PERCENT POPS OVER
NORTHERN COUNTIES AND PUSH SOME 20 PERCENTS FURTHER SOUTH.  LOWS IN
THE UPPER 60S TO AROUND 70.  COULD SEE SOME LINGERING POPS IN THE
MORNING BUT FOR NOW KEPT TREND OF POPS IN THE AFTERNOON OVER THE FAR
NORTHEAST AT PARTS OF NORTH CENTRAL CWA.  GIVEN TODAYS
READINGS...WENT SIMILAR FOR FRIDAY...ONLY CONCERN OVER THE NORTHERN
COUNTIES WAS CLOUD COVER BUT NOT SURE IT WILL HAVE ENOUGH COVERAGE.
DEWPOINTS SIMILAR...HEAT INDICES SIMILAR AS WELL AND WILL ISSUE SPS.

ANOTHER WAVE ON FRIDAY NIGHT...BUT EXPECTED TO MOVE FARTHER NORTH
THUS POPS MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF I70.  EXPECT THIS ACTIVITY TO
PUSH NORTH BY DAYBREAK SATURDAY.  HOLDING SATURDAY DRY AND JUST A
TAD HOTTER.  EXPECT DEWPOINTS TO COME DOWN SOME ESP NORTH CENTRAL
BUT SHOULD STILL WARRANT SPS FOR HEAT INDICES.

FOR SUNDAY INTO MONDAY NIGHT...AVN EXTENDED AND ECMWF HINTING OF
NEXT SYSTEM WITH SURFACE BOUNDARY COMING THROUGH A LITTLE
FASTER...THUS PUSH UP POPS SOME ON SUNDAY AND ENDED MONDAY NIGHT.
DRY FOR REMAINDER OF EXTENDED WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE GENERALLY IN
THE LOWER TO MID 90S.

.TOP...NONE
FRANTZ

.TOP...NONE

KSZ008>012-020>024-026-034>040-054>056-058-059-261000-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
523 PM CDT THU JUL 25 2002

...HEAT INDICES OF 105 TO AROUND 110 DEGREES ARE EXPECTED
FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AFTERNOONS...

AFTERNOON HIGH TEMPERATURES BOTH FRIDAY AND SATURDAY ARE EXPECTED TO
RANGE FROM AROUND 100 DEGREES TO AROUND 105 DEGREES.  THESE
READINGS...WHEN COMBINED WITH HIGH HUMIDITY LEVELS...WILL BRING THE
HEAT INDEX TO DANGEROUS LEVELS AGAIN...FROM 105 DEGREES TO AROUND
110 DEGREES.  AT THIS TIME IT APPEARS TEMPERATURES ON SUNDAY WILL NOT
BE QUITE AS HOT AS CLOUD COVER IS EXPECTED TO BE ON THE INCREASE.

REMEMBER, EFFECTS OF THE HEAT CAN BE MINIMIZED BY REDUCING OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES...DRINKING PLENTY OF WATER OR OTHER NON-ALCOHOLIC
BEVERAGES...AND WEARING LIGHTWEIGHT AND LIGHT-COLORED CLOTHING. IF
POSSIBLE SPEND TIME IN AIR CONDITIONED FACILITIES.

IN ADDITION, THERE IS SOME CHANCE FOR THUNDERSTORMS TO MOVE ACROSS
THE AREA DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS...AND DURING THE HEAT OF THE
AFTERNOON. IF ANY STORMS DO DEVELOP, AN ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
COULD NOT BE RULED OUT. THE PRIMARY THREAT WOULD BE DAMAGING WIND
AND LARGE HAIL.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...AND OTHER LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
THE LATEST WEATHER INFORMATION FROM THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN
TOPEKA.

FRANTZ

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TOPEKA KS
640 PM CDT THU JUL 25 2002

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0631 PM    1 SE SOLDIER              KS    .88 INCH HAIL
07/25/02   JACKSON

0635 PM   1/4 N CIRCLEVILLE          KS    .75 INCH HAIL
07/25/02   JACKSON