Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 62, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

October 13, 2002Levy County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Oct 13, 2002, 1:35 PM EDT for Levy County, Florida. It was in force for 40 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 13, 2002, 1:35 PM EDT (17:35 UTC)
Expired
Oct 13, 2002, 2:15 PM EDT
In force
40 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Counties, with a storm outline in the text

County Levy County, FL

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 156 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 17:34 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 13, 1:50 PM EDTHail 0.75Otter Creek, FL

NCEI Storm Data entries that began inside the alert's area while it was in force. Before 2003 the local storm report archive is thin, so this is the record of what happened rather than what was phoned in.

Did it verify

Not verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow found no qualifying storm report inside this severe thunderstorm warning while it was in force. That is not proof nothing happened: reports are thin where few people live.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 5.6 hours before the alert went out and 158 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2002-10-13Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1183 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Jacksonville, FL at 12:00Z on 2002-10-13The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 16 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1183 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-25 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
707 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
16 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KTBW 131735
SVRTBW
FLC075-131815-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
135 PM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  NORTHERN LEVY COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 215 PM EDT

* AT 135 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS...14 MILES SOUTHWEST OF
  BRONSON...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  OTTER CREEK.
  BRONSON.
  
SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND
HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

&&

LAT...LON 2938 8293 2921 8285 2937 8236 2957 8245

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Oct 13, 9:31 AM EDT, 4 hours 4 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 13, 9:31 AM EDT, 4 hours 4 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
931 AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002

12Z SOUNDING SHOWS DEEP MOISTURE HAS CONTINUED TO INCREASE WITH PWS
IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT ANOTHER ROUND OF LOCALLY
HEAVY RAIN LATE TODAY...MAINLY NEAR THE COAST WHERE THE SEA BREEZE
COLLISION IS EXPECTED TO TAKE PLACE. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON
TRACK FOR TODAY...SO NO CHANGES PLANNED.

MARINE: LIGHT WINDS CONTINUE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS WITH SEAS 2
FEET OR LESS.

.TBW...NONE.

ALSHEIMER
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 13, 5:52 AM EDT, 7 hours 43 minutes before
FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-131500-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
552 AM EDT SUN OCT 13 2002

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY:

...SCATTERED LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING THUNDERSTORMS ESPECIALLY
ACROSS COASTAL COUNTIES...

HOT AND HUMID AIR WILL BE LIFTED BY THE COLLISION OF EASTERLY FLOW
WITH THE GULF COAST SEA BREEZE TO PRODUCE MORE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING THUNDERSTORMS.

A FEW STORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER INTERIOR WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA BETWEEN
2 AND 4 PM.  THESE STORMS WILL CONTAIN OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING AND A
BRIEF DOWNPOUR.

BOUNDARIES FROM THESE STORMS WILL IGNITE MORE ACTIVITY OVER THE
COASTAL COUNTIES BETWEEN 5 AND 7 PM.  STRONGER STORMS ARE POSSIBLE
BY SUNSET IN AREAS WHERE THE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE PROVIDES
ADDITIONAL LIFT.

THESE STRONGER STORMS WILL CONTAIN FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND
LIGHTNING...RAINFALL RATES OF 2 OR 3 INCHES PER HOUR...AND BRIEF
WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH.  CONDITIONS WILL GRADUALLY IMPROVE LATER THIS
EVENING.

WHEN SKIES DARKEN...MOVE INDOORS. IF THERE IS TIME...UNPLUG
APPLIANCES AND ELECTRICAL EQUIPMENT. WAIT UNTIL THE STORM ENDS BEFORE
USING THE TELEPHONE OR RUNNING WATER.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT EXPECTED.

DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY:

...LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY...

AN AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP IN THE EASTERN GULF MONDAY
NIGHT...THEN BEGIN TO INTENSIFY TUESDAY AS AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE APPROACHES FROM THE WEST.  DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE WILL
BE DRAWN NORTHWARD AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM...RESULTING IN NUMEROUS
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY.

THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR 1 TO 2 INCHES OF RAIN ACROSS A GOOD PART OF
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA...WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS WHERE
STRONGER CELLS DEVELOP.

THE ENERGY PROVIDED BY THE DISTURBANCE WILL ALSO INCREASE THE THREAT
FOR STRONG THUNDERSTORMS...ESPECIALLY LATE MONDAY NIGHT AND EARLY
TUESDAY MORNING.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA OUTLETS FOR
FURTHER INFORMATION AS THE SITUATION UNFOLDS.

FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...CHECK OUT OUR WEBSITE AT
HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TBW

BSG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 13, 2:39 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPinellas36 min
Oct 13, 2:42 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWCitrus48 min
Oct 13, 2:55 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough50 min
Oct 13, 3:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPinellas30 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; verification from NCEI's Storm Data; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.