Alert archive / Florida / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 19, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

June 29, 2002Manatee County, Florida

NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jun 29, 2002, 5:43 PM EDT for Manatee County, Florida. It was in force for 47 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 29, 2002, 5:43 PM EDT (21:43 UTC)
Expired
Jun 29, 2002, 6:30 PM EDT
In force
47 min
Issued by
NWS Tampa Bay, FL
Area
Whole counties

County Manatee County, FL

The radar

The Tampa radar (KTBW), 26 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:42 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Tampa Bay, FL (KTBW), launched 12:00Z, 9.7 hours before the alert went out and 26 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2002-06-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 576 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Tampa Bay, FL at 12:00Z on 2002-06-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -2 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
576 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-45 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
880 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
9 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WUUS52 KTBW 292143
SVRTBW
FLC081-292230-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
538 PM EDT SAT JUN 29 2002

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
  WESTERN MANATEE COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT.

* AT 543 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
  SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WITH DAMAGING WINDS...7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF
  PALMETTO...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 10 MPH.

* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT...
  ELLENTON.
  PALMETTO.
  BRADENTON.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTAIN WIND GUSTS OF 60 MPH OR HIGHER...AND
HAIL THE SIZE OF DIMES OR LARGER. MOVE TO A PLACE OF SAFETY.

$$

LAT...LON 2740 8250 2750 8233 2765 8248 2756 8266

NNNN

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Tampa Bay, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jun 29, 3:10 PM EDT, 2 hours 33 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 29, 3:10 PM EDT, 2 hours 33 minutes before
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA FORECAST DISCUSSION...COR WORDING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
310 PM EDT SAT JUN 29 2002

WET PATTERN ACROSS THE REGION WILL CONTINUE INTO NEXT WEEK.
LIGHT SOUTHEAST BOUNDARY FLOW WILL PERSIST ONE MORE DAY BEFORE
BECOMING SOUTHERLY ON SUNDAY NIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH TEMPORARILY
RETREATS EAST OF FLORIDA.  MOISTURE WILL POOL OVER THE NORTHERN FA
INVOF A WEAK U/L LOW.  THIS WILL INCREASE AFTERNOON SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY NORTH OF TAMPA.  MONDAY APPEARS VERY SIMILAR
WITH WEAK SOUTHERLY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW AND DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE
OVER THE REGION.  HIGH POPS ACROSS THE AREA WITH HEAVIEST RAINFALL
LIKELY NORTH OF TAMPA...WITH TRAINING OF CELLS AND LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN POSSIBLE.

SURFACE HIGH WILL BEGIN TO BUILD OVER SOUTH FLORIDA MONDAY NIGHT
CAUSING THE BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW TO SHIFT SOUTHWEST.  WITH U/L LOW
POSITIONED OVER THE NORTHEAST GULF...ALTHOUGH WEAK...DEEP SOUTHWEST
FLOW WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE FA.  THIS WILL LEAD TO LATE NIGHT
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO AND SPREADING LOCALLY ONSHORE DURING THE MORNING HOURS.
LOCALIZED TRAINING OF CELLS MAY DEVELOP ALONG PORTIONS OF THE COAST
WITH HEAVY RAINFALL POSSIBLE. THIS PATTERN WILL PERSIST THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

TIMING IS DIFFICULT...BUT IT APPEARS THE U/L LOW AND POSSIBLE WEAK
SURFACE LOW WILL BEGIN TO LIFT EAST OF FLORIDA THURSDAY WITH
FLOW BECOMING WEST TO NORTHWEST ACROSS THE FA FOR THURSDAY AND
FRIDAY.  THIS WOULD DECREASE AFTERNOON CONVECTION OVER MUCH OF THE
FA WITH THE BEST CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE INTERIOR.  SURFACE
HIGH WILL BUILD OVER THE SOUTHEAST U.S. ON SATURDAY WITH DRIER
AIR ALOFT ADVECTING OVER MUCH OF THE FA SIGNIFICANTLY LOWERING POPS
ACROSS WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA SATURDAY.

MARINE...WINDS AND SEAS LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AND SEAS LESS THAN 4
FEET THROUGH THE PERIOD.

PRELIM S:
BKV 071/089 071/088 3737
TPA 073/089 075/088 4747
GIF 073/091 074/091 3636
SRQ 072/089 074/088 4747
FMY 073/091 074/090 4747=

TBW...NONE.

OGLESBY

The office that day

Everything else NWS Tampa Bay, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 29, 3:37 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW83 min
Jun 29, 3:37 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW83 min
Jun 29, 6:29 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWHillsborough46 min
Jun 29, 6:38 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningTBW52 min
Jun 29, 7:04 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTBWPinellas41 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Florida, 2002Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.