Alert archive / Michigan / Severe Thunderstorm Watches in 2002

Severe Thunderstorm Watch 680

September 10, 200212 counties in Michigan

The Storm Prediction Center issued this severe thunderstorm watch at Sep 10, 2002, 5:20 PM EDT for 12 counties in Michigan. It was in force for 5 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 10, 2002, 5:20 PM EDT (21:20 UTC)
Expired
Sep 10, 2002, 10:00 PM EDT
In force
5 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center

Counties Genesee County, MI, Lapeer County, MI, Lenawee County, MI, Livingston County, MI, Macomb County, MI, Monroe County, MI, Oakland County, MI, Saint Clair County, MI, Sanilac County, MI, Tuscola County, MI, Washtenaw County, MI, Wayne County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 27 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Warnings issued inside it

2 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 10, 5:47 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSanilac43 min
Sep 10, 7:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaint Clair45 min

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 9.3 hours before the alert went out and 30 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2002-09-10Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 512 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2002-09-10The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -12 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
512 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-87 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1163 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-12 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-23 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.3

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
WWUS20 KWNS 102120
SEL0  
SPC WW 102120
MIZ000-110200-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH NUMBER 680
STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
520 PM EDT TUE SEP 10 2002

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

   SOUTHEAST LOWER MICHIGAN                           
   WESTERN LAKE ERIE                          
   SOUTHERN LAKE HURON                         

EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING FROM 520 PM UNTIL 1000
PM EDT.

HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS TO 70
MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 35 STATUTE MILES
EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 35 MILES SOUTH OF ANN ARBOR MICHIGAN
TO 60 MILES NORTHEAST OF FLINT MICHIGAN.

REMEMBER...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE
FAVORABLE FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. 
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.  SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAN AND OCCASIONALLY DO PRODUCE
TORNADOES.


DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WITH A THREAT OF DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL WILL CONTINUE TO SPREAD EWD ACROSS SOUTHEAST LOWER MI
THROUGH THE EARLY TO MID EVENING.  STRONG UPPER TROUGH NOW
APPROACHING THE AREA...COMBINED WITH SUFFICIENT CAPE AND SHEAR...
SHOULD SUSTAIN A THREAT OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS.


AVIATION...A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT
TO 2 INCHES.  EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND GUSTS TO 60
KNOTS.  A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.  MEAN STORM
MOTION VECTOR 27030.


...EVANS

414,0842 433,0833 433,0821 414,0830

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Watches in Michigan, 2002Every severe thunderstorm watch in 2002

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.